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Here is another article of delusional hopium courtesy of the folks at War on the Rocks. HOLD, BUILD, AND STRIKE: A VISION FOR REBUILDING UKRAINE’S ADVANTAGE IN 2024 by Michael Kofman, Rob Lee and Dara Massicot is a well-written exercise in fantasy. They start off with a moment of clarity:

This winter, Ukraine’s military is visibly running on fumes, as recent reporting shows M109 Paladin artillery outside Bakhmut receiving only smoke shells for ammunition. When we were last there in November, shell hunger was widespread along the front, and the situation has only gotten worse.

But after that bit of reality they veer off into the world of magical thinking:

However, with tailored Western support, Ukraine could hold against Russian forces this year and rebuild the necessary advantage to conduct large-scale offensive operations in 2025, recreating another opportunity to deal Russia a battlefield defeat. . . .

Territorial control is one measure of progress toward one’s objectives, but the balance of attrition, capacity for reconstitution, defense industrial mobilization, and the ability to employ force effectively at scale are more important determinants of long-term success. . . .

If this year is used wisely, core problems are addressed, and the right lessons are applied from the 2023 offensive, Ukraine can take another shot at inflicting a major defeat on Russian forces. However, this demands a new strategy, premised on three central elements: hold, build, and strike. Holding will require a well-prepared defense, consolidating, and rationalizing the Ukrainian armed forces’ diverse park of equipment. Building focuses on reconstituting force quality, training, and expanding defense industrial capacity. Finally, the strike element will degrade Russian advantages and create challenges for Russian forces far behind the front lines, as Ukraine works on rebuilding its capacity to resume offensive operations. Ideally, Ukraine can absorb Russian offensives while minimizing casualties and position itself to retake the advantage over time.

What planet are these three living on? Starting in mid-December 2023, Russia has unleashed a devastating barrage of missile and rocket attacks on Ukraine’s military industrial plants, munition storage facilities and infrastructure. I can excuse Michael Kofman and Dara Massicot’s ignorance — neither has experience with actual military operations and are quintessential analysts from the ivory castle of political science — but how can Rob Lee, a former Marine infantry officer, sign on to something so imbecilic? They claim to be Russian experts but reveal a profound ignorance about Russia’s military and economic capability.

I will make this real simple. Ukraine does not have the ability to implement the War on the Rocks prescription. First, manpower. Even Ukrainian sources are conceding that Ukraine has suffered more than a million casualties. The average age of the frontline troops is 43. For the math challenged out there (this clearly applies to Kofman, Lee and Massicot), if the average age is 43 that means you have a large number of 50 and 60 year old cannon fodder manning the trenches and bunkers. The under 40 crowd is not flocking to the recruiting office in Kiev to sign up. Just the opposite. They are going to extreme lengths to avoid being dragooned into the army. We’ve seen guys wearing disguises that make them look like 70 year old men and others dressing as women. Not because they are transgender but because the Ukrainian recruiters are not grabbing women off the street and throwing them on to the military bus.

Let’s assume that Ukraine can somehow find an additional 500,000 potential soldiers. (They will need at least that many to keep up with Russia who added that number to their armed forces in 2023 and continue to sign up new recruits at the rate of more than 40,000 a month.) Where are they going to train? Russia’s missile strikes during the past month have hit some major troop locations. For example, the strike in Kharkiv last week wiped out a 200 man contingent of foreign mercenaries. Russia can and will hit every training center in Ukraine, which means the new Ukie recruits will have to be sent to bases in Europe.

We have clear evidence based on the Ukrainian failure in the 2023 counter offensive of how inadequate that training was. And the training I am talking about is Basic Training. Decent Basic Training takes 13 weeks. Do the math — even if Ukraine can marshall 20,000 new recruits a month and run them through Basic Training, Ukraine would only have 160,000 troops trained in rudimentary skills by the end of the year. Ukraine failed to do that during 2023. What miracle drug will they be taking that allows them to train three to four times the number of troops they assembled for the failed counter offensive?

The vast majority of the Ukrainian troops sent to attack the Surovikin lines of defense did not receive Advanced Individual Training nor did they participate in large unit exercises. Knowing how to shoot, clean and maintain a fire arm in combat conditions is a good thing. But that does not automatically translate into how to conduct an assault on heavily defended positions. And don’t tell me the Brits and Germans can handle that training task. Hell, the U.K. cannot even meet its own recruitment needs. The Brits are a puny, inexperienced force lacking in knowledge how to carry out a combined forces attack against the Russians. Ditto for the Germans. The Wehrmacht is kaput.

The War on the Rocks clown show pays lip service to Ukraine’s need for air defense, artillery, artillery rounds, tanks and armored vehicles, but ignores the real world. No country in the West has the ability to produce these items and send them to Ukraine in the quantities required to sustain a force in the field for the foreseeable future. The authors are particularly lost in La La land when they talk about Ukraine being able to launch long range missiles to hit critical infrastructure in Russia. There is no other country in the world with an air defense system like Russia’s. Moreover, if such attacks are launched Russia has the ability to launch successful counter strikes to eliminate those threats.

Where the hell is the West going to come up with a thousand tanks and armored personnel carriers? There are no factories in the West churning these out. To the contrary, the West is struggling to produce 155 mm shells. All of the War on the Rocks “analysis” rests on the assumption that the West’s only concern is Ukraine. That dog won’t hunt anymore. Israel, Yemen, Iran and China are becoming greater priorities than Ukraine.

Finally, let’s assume that Ukraine is able to muster a new army of cannon fodder to attack Russia’s heavily defended lines? Where is the Ukrainian air power? It does not exist and will not exist. If the United States is able to deploy a few F-16s to Ukraine, they will meet the same fate that Ukraine’s now non-existent air force met. They will be shot down.

Let me leave you with this. It is a report from the front lines by Russia’s pre-eminent war correspondent, Marat Khayrullin. Here is the current reality:

Krynki, if anyone doesn’t remember, it was such a conditional bridgehead (it still exists) on our bank of the Dnieper, which the Ukrainians tried to sell to the West as another success. And it was this PR campaign that became symbolic, because for the first time, without even having time to properly swing, it failed due to obvious senselessness. And the Ukrainians themselves and, most importantly, their Western allies themselves saw the futility of Krynoki as a military operation.

The story with the Krynki was so stupid and wretched that it could not be sold even to the Ukrainian society, which believes, as experience shows, any fairy tales about victory over the Russian Federation.
And today we are seeing how this Krynok syndrome is beginning to spread across the entire front. What does this mean?

Today it is already obvious that the initiative has completely passed to our troops. But, nevertheless, the dill continue to desperately resist. Going completely on the defensive. And the most pressing question now is how long the dill will be able to hold the front line.

Here it is interesting to remember the recent words of the leadership of the Armed Forces of Ukraine: they say we will prepare a certain Zaluzhny line, 10-15 kilometers deep in defense, and calmly withdraw there. And here we need to understand two points. Firstly, on the existing line of contact, the dill have already created an unprecedented complex of protective structures. I have already given an example that in the summer only in the zone of responsibility of my native Slavyanka near Avdeevka, about 6 kilometers wide and up to 10 km deep, dill dug more than 600 different types of fortifications. From oporniks to pillboxes, bunkers, underground bunkers, etc., using any advantages on the ground.

They created something similar along almost the entire front line. This, by the way, partly explains that the war is not going so quickly.

To successfully overcome such a line of fortifications, it is necessary to significantly increase the capabilities of our army. This is what we are doing now.

And the second point: by and large, our troops can overcome such fortifications anywhere, it’s just a matter of losses.

Here it is appropriate to recall the years of the Great Patriotic War – for the complete liberation of Ukraine it took 15 military operations, and the total losses of Soviet troops amounted to several million people. During the Donbass operation alone (August 13-September 22, 1943), our troops lost about 270 thousand soldiers, despite the fact that the total number of the group was just over one million. That is, almost every third.

Today we cannot afford such losses. So you have to pick ukrov out of every hole. Especially considering that the Ukrainian command behaves completely inhumanely – not counting its soldiers, who are simply openly sent to their deaths. And their obvious tactic is precisely to inflict on us the most significant losses possible, not counting their soldiers. Because then, according to the theory of the Western masters of Ukraine, this will provoke unrest in Russia, and the people will demand the end of the Northern Military District without achieving the main goals. This will be considered a victory for the West. I repeat, no one cares how many Ukrainians will have to be killed. And the fact that our command is not accepting these giveaways is very disappointing to the Ukrainian Armed Forces and the collective West as a whole.

Therefore, we will all have to be patient and wait for so many of the enemy’s reserves to be processed so that he is no longer able to cover certain sectors of the front.

Speaking figuratively, today the entire front line is turning more and more into conditional Krynki. The Ukrainians are stupidly sitting in their holes and trying to somehow survive. And we continue to destroy them with greater and greater intensity.

There is no point in eliminating this conditional bridgehead at the cost of the lives of our fighters – the enemy is already doomed. It’s much wiser to just wait. Moreover, we have nowhere to rush – assistance to the enemy from the West is drying up, human reserves are running out. And most importantly, the collective enemy is increasingly realizing the futility of resistance.

(Republished from Sonar21 by permission of author or representative)
 
• Category: Foreign Policy • Tags: NATO, Neocons, Russia, Ukraine 
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  1. anonymous[139] • Disclaimer says:

    What planet are these three living on?

    Well, they’re just Ukrainians, cannon fodder on behalf of people who care nothing about them, just meat. The US and other NATO countries have poured in vast stocks of weaponry and equipment, the output of a large group of the most well to do and industrialized countries on earth. Yet the Russians have matched them. This from a country whose economy and standard of living have been derided endlessly, a gas station posing as a country, their economy is the size of Italy, etc.Yet they’re able to field nuclear subs, a full spectrum military with peer air capabilities, satellites, etc. Not what one would expect based on all the propaganda blasted out all these years. Apparently they have a greater depth than many carelessly thought. One wonders if, facing the catastrophe their regime has led them to, Ukrainians might not start refusing orders. Perhaps some of their political police might be defied. Wonder how stable Zelensky really is?

    • Agree: showmethereal
    • Replies: @follyofwar
    , @Anymike
  2. Apostolos says:

    As stable as Biden, Bibi and the lot of sickly mentally infected by Satan to kill, kill, kill …

    • Replies: @anonymous
    , @ariadna
  3. Notsofast says:

    did you hear the joke about the gay french general’s, gay colonel son, being killed with his gay military bottom, rainbow warrior lover? oh, wait a minute….. that’s not a joke, but it’s still funny 🤣 as hell, (which is where they are right now). you might not find it funny but i assure you the russians do. the french are shocked at the lack of sportsmanship on the russians part, killing “military advisors”, what bad form.

    now you can begin to understand why they float like a butterfly and sting like a bee, as they rope these dopes into a corner. soon vvp will be stand over them, saying “what’s my name?”.

    when will they figure out, they are being de-nazified along with their ukranazi pets? perhaps never, they may just feed themselves into the russian meat grinder until there’s nothing left but a fine pate. you know the way those frogs love their exploded goose livers and scholz is the wurst chancellor of all time and the perfidious albanians loves their bangers all mashed up. the russians will continue cranking out the sausage, and flame grilling it, on burning challengers and panzers (you can call them leopards all you want, they’re panzers to me).

    • Replies: @Pheasant
    , @Piglet
  4. It’s clear as daylight. When you pay to say what is appropriate, those who know what they should say in exchange for the money always appear. If they say anything else they don’t charge.

    It is the great Western tragedy, for decades it has constructed a story at its convenience but in the end it is of no use to it. Nobody believes him anymore and those who say they believe him do so because they must be paying for it.

    • Thanks: Robertson
  5. Territorial control is one measure of progress toward one’s objectives

    Explain that one to Bobby Lee or Ulysses Grant. In war you win by destroying the enemy’s army, not by weakening your army by occupying land. The land becomes yours after its defenders are eradicated.

    • Agree: Ocko, ariadna
    • Replies: @Zachary Smith
  6. Robertson says:

    The three War on the Rocks writers are paid to write lies, so the money spigot is not turned off.

    The Stink Tank planners have planned this victory over the East for so long, that it’s failure just cannot be! “Change the Narrative,” they bark, and a new line of propaganda is put out. One moar year is all we need!

    I’m afraid the US will give the Ukies a few tactical nukes in hopes of hitting the Russians when they are gathered in large enough numbers. Im afraid the Russian response will be a hit on America. They will know where the nukes came from.

    • Agree: Oscar Goldman
  7. Sarita says:

    Yawn
    Three (3) more IDF Reservists Killed in Gaza, Three (3) American negroe goy soldiers smoked in Jordan and three (3) suspected Hamas fighters killed in Jenin when ‘brave’ IDF soldiers dressed as nurses (James Bond style) entered a hospital and killed them. (Hollywood already planning a movie about that, staring The Rock, Vin Diesel and that tit-less Puerto Rican lesbian who plays his wife)….

    There is something about the 3 number nowadays…
    I’m playing it tomorrow, maybe a hit the jackpot and move to Ashkelon and get ready for one of those kosher rave parties 😜

    • LOL: Ocko
  8. @Observator

    The land becomes yours after its defenders are eradicated.

    God’s Most Favorite Army has somehow got the notion that destroying all the above-ground structures AND the population works too. They’re murderous barbarians, but if they play it right they’ll get the “enemy’s army” too.

    1) Run a big distraction somewhere else (Lebanon/Iran) so nobody will pay much attention when Palestinians start dying like flies from biowar agents. A few scary nuclear weapons exploding somewhere would help with this diversion of attention. First version press releases would say it was a genuine tragedy which a Hamas Surrender would have prevented. (crocodile tears for the TV cameras) In the unlikely event anybody ever investigates the multiple plagues, they can tell dopey American Fundies that God took some action. (praise the Lord!) They’d have different authors in the Warmongering Post and Neocon York Times declaring that Hamas had done it – towelhead germ weapons had killed off their own nasty users! (Admiral Kirby says “sounds reasonable!”)

    2) With the above-ground portions of Gaza mostly depopulated, teams of heroic shithole state soldiers would start pouring nerve gas into the tunnels. A version of what the US Military had proposed to do at Iwo Jima, (vetoed by a dying Roosevelt). No signals would reach the outside world due to the jamming of all wavelengths.

    • Agree: Anonymous author
  9. anonymous[112] • Disclaimer says:
    @Apostolos

    The USA NEOCONS are not using wars not to purseue the advacemnet of American INTERESTS its nations or its peoples..NEOCONS ARE USING WARS TO PURSUE PROFITS…chaos/anarchy/violence war not win or lose but to PROFIT$$$…Thei narratives changes as the conditiosn on the round changes…but the narratives howver derange. insane, ridicolous they are It doesnt really matter…as long as the proits keep flowing…catgeoies usch as deaths, human suffering, bleeding children are ultimately irrelkevant..FOR THE NEOCONS WAR IS THE PURSUE OF PROFITS BY WHATEVER/OTHER MEANS..

    • Agree: HdC
  10. @Carlton Meyer

    Yes i have been watching for about 18 months, Dima can get a little scatty or a little over excited however still listen every day, sometimes twice.

  11. Dumbo says:

    Whatever, just end that stupid and pointless war. Stop sending money and weapons to those corrupt hohol losers and the war will end, simple as that.

  12. Rogue says:
    @Dumbo

    I agree with you, but the West has put so much effort into harming Russia – and spewed so much propaganda as well – that it’s difficult to end all this without major loss of credibility.

    Although, as far as I’m concerned, the West lost pretty much all it’s credibility when they decided to embrace and celebrate the homosexual and transgender agenda.

    • Agree: showmethereal
  13. Anon[334] • Disclaimer says:

    The authors of this heap of rubbish must be Jewish. I would bet 10 shekels they are related to our dear commenter here on UR, Mrs Poop On Max. The idiocy is dazzling.

    I disagree with the author though. By the end of the first 5 lines it is obvious this is no fantasy but the product of mixing Speed and Fentanyl and a wash down with Moonshine.

    We have entered the era where bullshit no longer baffles brains but baffles the purveyors.

    • Replies: @Anonymous
  14. Wokechoke says:

    When Germany overran Holland, France, Belgium the men of these three armies had never received a bombardment from the air before. The effect of the Stuka and strafing had always been the reserve of white men attacking browns n blacks from the air. Predictably the three armies folded. Although I suspect there was no political commitment to fight the Germans at the time. The British had never been on the receiving end of an airforce but had always been the side dishing it out. They had a little breathing room though.

    Fortunately for the UK, and it’s ground forces, men like the much derided Chamberlain had paid particular attention to buying Spitfires and Hurricanes and training enough pilots to act as high speed interceptors over the channel, guided into oncoming Luftwaffe attacks by radar and a solid network of civilian spotters.

    Russian soldiers have now been under attack from aerial bombardment and are not all that likely to simply fold if Ukraine somehow improbably gained a Luftwaffe level advantage.

    • Replies: @Poupon Marx
  15. Larry Johnson does a fine job of refuting the trio’s arguments with facts, but there’s another way to expose them as frauds.

    If you read carefully, you’ll note that none of the predicates explicates the subject, they restate the same notion.

    “Territorial control is one measure of progress toward one’s objectives, but the balance of attrition, capacity for reconstitution, defense industrial mobilization, and the ability to employ force effectively at scale are more important determinants of long-term success. . . .”

    Okay.

    “Territorial control”.

    “balance of attrition”

    “capacity for reconstitution”

    “defense industrial mobilization”

    “ability to employ force effectively at scale”

    Obviously, if you are losing the “territorial control” battle, you are losing the “balance of attrition”. After all if the other guy were losing more soldiers and equipment that you are then he would be back on his heels.

    “capacity for reconstitution” is a component of “balance of attrition”. If you’re losing the “balance of attrition” battle, then obviously, your “capacity for reconstitution” is not keeping pace with your loses.

    “defense industrial mobilization” is a component of “capacity for reconstitution”.

    “employ force effectively at scale” is another name for winning. Obviously, again, if your losing all of the above, you’re losing at “employ etc….”.

    “this year is used wisely, core problems are addressed, and the right lessons are applied from the 2023 offensive, Ukraine can take another shot at inflicting a major defeat on Russian forces. However, this demands a new strategy, premised on three central elements: hold, build, and strike.”

    “hold, build and strike”—a “new strategy”?

    Hold build and strike is just a restatement of the elements in the first quote.

    “Hold” = “territorial control”

    “build” = “capacity for reconstitution” + “defense industrial mobilization”

    “strike” = “employ force effectively at scale”

    And so on. You get the idea.

    This screed–like so much of what passes for liberal thinking–explicates nothing. The predicate merely restates the subject. Larry Johnson, on the other hand, presents his case for precisely why all of the above will fail, and does so with examples drawn from real life events and data.

    Virtually all liberal thinking is nonsense like the stuff above. Sentences are tautological. Words restating what is taken for granted to begin with. This stuff gives the illusion of knowledge–to the ignorant–but it is “word salad”, as many here on Unz have noted.

    The reason a nation led by liberals cannot but sink deeper into dysfunctionality is because they are mired in a quagmire created by their misuse and abuse of language and logic.

    • Replies: @Levtraro
  16. Raelyn says:

    Ukraine sells its soul to the WEF’ers: Launches program to fully digitize citizenry in partnership with globalist World Economic Forum

    The road to the New World Order runs through Ukraine
    https://leohohmann.substack.com/p/ukraine-sells-its-soul-to-the-wefers

    Must read article:

 The veil is being torn: the Hidden Truths of Jabotinsky and Netanyahu
 by Thierry Meyssan


    “This brief historical summary shows us that there is no Arab-Israeli problem any more than there is a Ukrainian-Russian problem, but a huge problem of all of us with an ideology which, in different places and times, has done nothing but sow suffering and death. We must open our eyes and no longer accept to mobilize with false-flag actions and other lies.”

    https://www.voltairenet.org/article220334.html

    RESET
    Black’s Law Dictionary: 2nd Edition
    The receiving or harboring an outlawed person.

    Cowell. 
—Reset of theft.

    In Scotch law. The receiving and keeping stolen goods, knowing them to be stolen, with a design of feloniously retaining them from the reni owner.

  17. Che Guava says:
    @Dumbo

    Agree, though my pref. would be for RF to take at least Karkhov and Odessa before the end, and to return to Slovakia, Hungary, Poland and Romania desired parts in the west.

    A friend dragged me to a demo for the Ukraine in late Mar. of 2022. Me: I will accompany you, but not march, because of the background.

    To me, except that it was in a part of Tokyo that I seldom visit, the most interesting thing was the absence of ultra-nationalist loudspeaker trucks and groups, which would usually turn out in force for anything even vaguely anti-Russian.

    Their political masters and the police must have ordered them to stay away.

    Really, the bad clown Zelensky (defender of democracy) has been downhill all the way since, banning any oppositional party or media, allowing torture (the pole-tapings and anal rapes by stick as most obvious, but it seems clear that it would go further in lock-up) of people who just speak Russian, and so on.

    Putin appears to have unhealthy pro-Zio tendencies at times, but the entire polity of the Ukraine is blatantly under Zio control. Zelensky’s constant sweaty olive-green or black T-shirts and real-estate purchases just confirm that he is an evil clown.

  18. nickels says:

    The grift must go on.

  19. Levtraro says:
    @ThreeCranes

    Virtually all liberal thinking is nonsense like the stuff above.

    Exactly. It is a mix of liberal thinking and post-modernism.

    In science there used to be a cottage industry of sending obviously fake articles to social sciences journals and get them published just for the fun of exposing the fake scholars that composed the editorial boards of those journals.

    https://www.sciencealert.com/cultural-studies-sokal-squared-hoax-20-fake-papers

    Now it might be a good time to send fake articles to outlets such War on the Rocks and Foreign Policy to expose their negligent editorial review.

    • Replies: @Poupon Marx
  20. The Ukraine has a million man army – of Old Age Pensioners.

  21. @Wokechoke

    if Ukraine somehow improbably gained a Luftwaffe level advantage.

    LOL. And Zelensky walked on water. And confessed his main purpose was to kill the Goy, and sell Ukraine to Blackrock and the Jewish All Stars Hedge Funds and Investment Banks.

    I’m watching and waiting:


    Video Link

    • Replies: @Wade Hampton
  22. John1955 says:

    I wonder if there is someone in Russia who sees the Big Picture…

    Ukraine War — Chabad’s Strategy for Slavic Genocide

    https://henrymakow.com/2023/02/russia-khazaria-ukraine.html

    Just like Soviet Golem was used by JUDEA to destroy Germany-

    Icebreaker Vlad is doing his best to prepare ground for Khazarian Kaganat #2

    All it takes to achieve everlasting peace is to close Synagogues of Satan in Russia and Ukraine and permanently evict Talmudists from Slavic lands.

    But no. Synagogues of Satan are flourishing there, Holohoax denial is a crime, Holohoax Museum in Kiev is bigger than Empire State Building, “International Jew” by Henry Ford and “Protocols of the Learned Elders of Zion” are prohibited etc.

    Russian Federal List of Prohibited Books

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_List_of_Extremist_Materials

  23. @Levtraro

    Virtual Reality, surrogates, substitution, and stupefying subtraction from zero, have been going on for too long in the West. Specifically, the incidence of virtual masturbation, video games, university generated bullshit courses for elite jobs in grubmint, NGOs, and other parasitic groups has metastasized. An “expert” in the West is as hard to find as a pearl in a pig’s ass.

    It’s been “Who You Blow” rather than “What You Know” for a loooooong time.

    Ah, well, I needs a lil’ Electric Music Fo’ dey Mind and Body:


    Video Link

  24. A war of attrition does no good for either side. “Aggressive” Defensive tactics will not win any war..

    The Russians have wasted a year, content to fight off clumsy and poorly devised attacks by the Ukrainians, rather than lay waste to Ukraine’s supply line from NATO. Russia has one of the largest and most capable air forces in the world. It should have made supply and re-supply of weapons, ammunition and equipment from NATO to Ukraine impossible by now, through a systematic and relentless air campaign.

    By the beginning of June, NATO will have trained and reorganized its combat forces to the point when it can move an army into western Ukraine smoothly and quickly enough to forestall any Russian advance west of Kiev. The conflict will become frozen. Just like Korea, there will be no end to the conflict, although the intensity of the conflict will be reduced thereby.

    • Disagree: ariadna
    • Replies: @Wokechoke
    , @Rich
  25. Anonymous[366] • Disclaimer says:
    @Anon

    The authors of this heap of rubbish must be Jewish.

    Kofman is a Ukrainian Jew.

  26. “Make peace, you fools”.

  27. Kali El says:

    Larry, they will go on until they are forced to stop because for one thing look at the profits from oil companies ever since the start of the war. They went up by like 500% right away. The same people invested in oil are invested in the MIC, so until the politicians take away the money for the war or they lose on the field completely they simply will not stop because they clearly do not care about what happens.

  28. John1955 says:

    “Do not count the days, do not count the miles. Count only the Germans you have killed. Kill the German – this is your old mother’s prayer. Kill the German – this is what your children beseech you to do. Kill the German – this is the cry of your Russian earth. Do not waver. Do not let up. Kill.”
    ― Ilya Ehrenburg (Chief Propagandist of Stalin during WWII)

    Meet Putin’s Chief Propagandist Vladimir Solovyev:

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vladimir_Solovyov_(TV_presenter)

    “Solovyov has mentioned that he has Jewish roots and professes Judaism. He also holds a residence permit and tax resident status in Italy for himself and his children from his marriage to Elga Sepp since 2009.”

    “History repeats itself, first as Tragedy, second as Farce.”
    Karl Marx

    At least Stalin’s 2 sons, Yakov and Vassily, fought in WWII. Yakov died in KZ camp, Vassily was highly decorated fighter pilot…

    I doubt that Solovyev’s kids will ever see the battlefield.

  29. Wokechoke says:
    @anachronism

    The physics infrastructure needed for a western army to enter the battle simply doesn’t exist in Ukraine.

  30. ariadna says:
    @Apostolos

    And if Netanyahu is removed….

    Nir Barkat, a former mayor of Jerusalem who is favourite to succeed Netanyahu as leader of Likud, said that Israel could afford to keep fighting, and still open up a new front with Lebanon, despite the billion shekel (£200 million) a day cost of the conflict.
    Barakat said that as “big as the crisis is”,
    “it is also a really big opportunity: Iran is a legitimate target for Israel. They will not get away with it. The head of the snake is Tehran … Israel is edging towards a full-blown war with Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, having evacuated the north of the country”:

    “Whatever it takes … This is a religious war”.

  31. The Russians are now without a choice; they have to invade the rest of Ukraine before it can become another threat to Russia..

    Hopefully, President Putin has learned his lesson and he will never be foolish enough to ” negotiate ” with the west ever again.

    As long as NATO exists it will be Russia’s enemy!

  32. @anonymous

    I just heard a report yesterday that Zelenski asked General Zaluzhnyi to resign, and he refused. Zalenski is afraid to fire him because the troops will rally around Zaluzhnyi, and it could be curtains for the little Jewish beggar. The best outcome would be for Ukraine to go thru another coup, Zelenski is hung from the nearest lamp post, and Ukraine’s new leadership immediately sues for peace on Russia’s terms. Far too many Ukrainian men have died. Why do so many white men keep allowing themselves to be genocided by viscous Jews?

    • Agree: anonymouseperson
    • Replies: @Anymike
  33. @Dumbo

    Word is that new speaker Johnson was about to be fleeced by the treasonous Biden regime into accepting an offer of increased border security (which they would promptly violate) in exchange for another $60 billion into Zelenski’s coffers, which (most of it anyway) would wind up back in the hands of the big defense contractors.

    Then came Trump, who urged republicans to reject the phony deal. As he is the presumptive nominee the Gop-controlled house overrides his opinion at its own peril. And Texas should thumb its nose at the not-so-Supreme Court’s decision, with a special thanks-for-nothing to fake conservative ACB.

  34. Russia and Ukraine, need to just stop fighting. The people on the ground are the same people. Why make us war against each other? Regardless of the goofy guy in the green suit, the people are the same people. So what they want to live in separate nations? That they live in separate nations doesn’t mean they aren’t the same people. The real problem lies in the NGO’s that love to cause problems. NGO’s run by corporate and special interests not actually the governments.

  35. Rich says:
    @anachronism

    The Russians have said that any foreign troops that enter Ukraine will be considered hostiles and subject to being attacked. I wouldn’t think any Western leaders would be willing to start WW3, but with these lunatics, you never know.

  36. Sarita says:

    Pure oxímoron:

    “IDF Commander Killed in Gaza Fighting; Hamas Inches Toward Accepting Hostage Deal”..

    Soldiers get killed and the next day the ones in charge will be shaking hands with their enemy as if spitting on the dead man’s grave whose body is still warm.
    It’s always like that.
    I wouldn’t die for anybody.

  37. Anonymous[177] • Disclaimer says:

    Divide the Ukraine into two with the eastern half of the country going to Russia and the western half of the divided land going to Poland… Catholics to West and the Orthodox to the East… problems solved. No more Zelenskys to rule Gentile populations. Let them all go to Israel!

  38. Anymike says:
    @anonymous

    Zelensky is Jussie Smollett with an army and a country.

    • LOL: Digital Samizdat
  39. Anymike says:
    @follyofwar

    Russian terms are pretty simple. Accept Russian sovereignty over the Crimea. Given the circumstances, accept the Russian annexation of Donbass and Luhansk, with the caveat that once stability it achieved, the people who lived there will have to ratify the annexation. Of course they will, but it’s a sop to the West. And if they don’t, well, they will become independent under the protection and in alliance with Russia.

    The second element is that the victorious powers will have to jointly declare that the Helsinki Accords boundaries will be upheld, and that, if there are changes in boundaries, these will be considered only after stability is achieved. Don’t know who the victorious powers are? That’s the United States, the United Kingdom, France and the Russian Federation as the legal successor to the Soviet Union. There there’s China, the fifth and the only non-European member of the World War II grand alliance. Notably, upholding the Helsinki boundaries protect the western border of Ukraine. A settlement under these terms also preserves Ukrainian control of their Black Sea coast and the port of Odessa.

    The desire of small countries to recover lost territories is something that needs to be stepped down on, and only the greater powers can do it. There is another little issue that needs to be paid attention to. No matter how it all falls in place in the end, the Russo-Ukraine war is another reminder that almost all of the countries in the world are multilingual and multiethnic if not outright multiracial. Any settlement, even one of terms the most favorable to Ukraine, has to have the Ukrainian nationalists acknowledge that Ukraine is and inevitably will be a multilingual and multiethnic nation now matter how the pie is cut.

  40. Agent76 says:

    January 31, 2024 US to Deploy Nukes in the UK for the First Time in 15 Years Russia has said it would view the deployment as an escalation

    Pentagon procurement contracts show that the US is planning to station B61-12 nuclear warheads at RAF Lakenheath, a base in Suffolk, England. The US pulled its nuclear weapons out of the UK in 2008, and its decision to redeploy them demonstrates the low state of US-Russia relations.

    https://news.antiwar.com/2024/01/30/us-to-deploy-nukes-in-the-uk-for-the-first-time-in-15-years/

  41. @Poupon Marx

    When I think of the punk Zelensky, he reminds me of this.


    Video Link

    • Replies: @Poupon Marx
  42. Organic says:

    The article is correct of course, the great tragedy of course is the ongoing destruction of Ukraine and the decimation of its population. Will we never learn the dangers of fanatics leading the people into wars that cannot be won except in their own hate lusted imaginations? And behind this offense to humanity lies the oh so cultured US and EU, in reality sociopaths devoid of any remorse.

  43. @Wade Hampton

    I miss Frank and his insights and music.

  44. L.K says:

    LARRY JOHNSON • JANUARY 28, 2024

    I can excuse Michael Kofman and Dara Massicot’s ignorance — neither has experience with actual military operations and are quintessential analysts from the ivory castle of political science — but how can Rob Lee, a former Marine infantry officer, sign on to something so imbecilic? They claim to be Russian experts but reveal a profound ignorance about Russia’s military and economic capability.

    Yet, the ‘great’ Col. MacGregor, considered to be a brilliant US Army officer, has made all sorts of FAILED and IDIOTIC predictions for this war. In the case of Kofman and Rob Lee, they have at least made several trips to the frontlines. Has Johnson?
    At the end of the day, those mentioned by L. Johnson are biased in favor of Ukraine, just like L. Johnson, S. Ritter and MacGregor are biased in favor of Russia. I haven’t read their piece yet, will do later, but a Russian victory, a maximalist one or at leat a minimalist one, has always been the safest bet, given the very favorable odds for Russia, increasingly including the very unreliable nature of US/NATO arms/munitions support to Ukraine from the start.

    What surprised me was how badly the Russians fared and how they are still struggling & suffering heavy casualties in men and gear. If one only checks Russian propaganda, then the ‘ukronazis’ are cannon fodder, their commanders are heartless assholes sending their troops to certain death, etc. Hard to tell. But if one looks at it from the other side of the hill, there is plenty of evidence of how the Russian command is ruthlessly using its troops… and equipment. Perhaps nowhere is this more evident than in the ongoing Battle of Avdiivka, Donbas, which began in Feb 2022. Every other day I see vids showing Russian AFVs and infantry being blasted to oblivion. One vid that stuck with me was a tank going into fighting, actually going into the fray, not infantry taking a ride to the front, with a bunch of infantrymen on top of it, WW2 Soviet style; needless to say, just like in WW2, when the tank was hit the infantry got dead…

  45. L.K says:

    L. Johnson:

    I will make this real simple. Ukraine does not have the ability to implement the War on the Rocks prescription. First, manpower. Even Ukrainian sources are conceding that Ukraine has suffered more than a million casualties.

    Ok, I stopped reading it here, will continue later. On 19 DEC 2023(so not long ago), TASS, the Russian state-owned news agency published an article about the war based on the statements of Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu: https://tass.com/defense/1723781

    He summed up the results of the operation in Ukraine, disclosed Kiev’s losses that exceeded 383,000 men killed and wounded, set up the priorities of the ministry for 2024, and stressed that the military operation would be continued “until the goals are completely achieved.”

    [ In a 1KIA:3WIA ratio, this would mean some 95.750 kias ]
    This is more than reasonable, considering that in Gaza, under the most horrible conditions, there are about, for now, 1 dead Palestinian : 2 wounded.
    Casualties could include other catagories, such as the sick, pows, etc, but I don’t think this would make that big a difference, and perhaps some may have already been intended by Shoigu, such as sick soldiers.

    So, a significant discrepancy exists between the completely unverified figure of 1 million casualties Larry Johnson is pushing, and the figures offered recently by the Russians, which tend to be exaggerated, but in this case, at least in terms of personnel, seems quite plausible.
    What about Russian casualties??
    Just like with the Ukrainian losses, nobody really knows[ but the 2 parties involved in the fight. ]; nevertheless, there are some reasonable estimates out there.

    The Russian independent media outlet Mozhem Obyasnit, looked at pension payments out of the Duma draft 2024 budget to the families of those who lost men in the Ukraine war. The military dead would be over 102.000 soldiers, without including the ones who would die this year from serious wounds. This also obviously does not include the pro-Russia Donbas militias. If this is correct, then both sides would have suffered close to a parity in manpower losses, which would obviously be very advantageous to Russia, which has a much larger pop. to rely on as the fighting continues.
    https://t.me/mozhemobyasnit/16281

  46. Piglet says:
    @Notsofast

    Panzer is the German word for tank, so yes, a Leopard is a panzer.

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