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President Vladimir Putin gave a party rally speech in Moscow on Saturday in which he omitted to mention seven of the eight domestic issues most troubling Russian voters – inflation; high interest-rate caused stagnation in the economy; corruption; low quality education; poor public health care; terrorism; and illegal immigrants.
He made an exception for the Special Military Operation and “the front to fight for the Motherland”.
To Russians who tell pollsters the protracted war and the casualty rate are their biggest concerns, Putin said not to worry — he and his party are taking care of both: “The United Russia party has been supporting our troops literally from the first day of the special military operation: it submits important draft laws to create legal and social guarantees for our heroes and their families; assists the recovery of the liberated regions; collects and delivers everything the civilians there need. The party also does much for the veterans who are back from the combat areas, helps them realise themselves in civilian professions, in public and political life.”
Reading methodically without departing from his script, Putin told delegates at the 22nd Congress of United Russia that the party stands for “the unity of people, faith in the country and in our victory…the desire to ensure the safety of the Motherland, to protect our sacred historical memory, spirituality, traditions. This is political boilerplate — and it’s bullet-proof. The polls reinforce Putin’s message with the assurance that Russian voters see and fancy no alternative.
In the current State Duma, elected in September 2021 to a five-year term, United Russia holds 324 of the 450 seats. The opposition is led by the Community Party with 57 seats; Just Russia with 28, and New People with 16. In the Levada polling, support for United Russia is stable at 42%; the other political parties are polling between 4% and 10%.
Left: Party representation in the current Duma; click on source to enlarge: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/State_Duma
Right: Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin. For background and analysis of Mishustin’s performance since he replaced Dmitry Medvedev in January 2020, read this.
No other Russian politician represents a challenge to the president; he does not face a new election until 2030. Public approval for Putin remains at 87% according to the Levada Centre; 79% according to the All-Russian Centre for the Study of Public Opinion (VTsIOM), and stable. There is no government or party figure drawing current voter support in opposition, and no public canvassing for the succession.
Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin and Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov trail after Putin in the polls but far behind; their political profiles and approval ratings are based on the frequency of their media appearances. But public trust for them is a fraction of Putin’s rating, and they are not candidates to succeed him. Trust in former President Dmitry Medvedev is a fraction of that for Mishustin and Lavrov because Medvedev – though head of the United Russia party and deputy head of the Security Council — is almost invisible in the mainstream media.
Source: https://www.levada.ru/
The general public mood, as measured by Levada between November 2 and 27, is overwhelmingly positive and confident – 72% of Russians believe the country is going in the right direction; only 18% think it’s headed in the wrong direction.
In this domestic atmosphere, Putin is calculating there is no good reason for him to mention the Russian military withdrawal from Syria, or to answer press questions of why he decided to evacuate Russian bases in the country, allow Israel to destroy Syria’s military and industrial infrastructure, and accept Israeli, Turkish and American takeover of Syria’s sovereignty, territory, and natural wealth, particularly water and oil.
A Moscow source comments: “I think the Russian public will not be convinced to risk a presence there especially when the propaganda has changed its tune to the line, ‘it’s impossible to help those who can’t help themselves.’ With Syrian statehood gone, this battle is lost.”
This is the rationale, several Moscow sources believe, for Putin to cut his losses and run from Syria without risking the appearance to Russian voters of having done either. The military and strategic implications of Putin’s decision-making on Syria, argued behind closed doors with the General Staff, are unmentioned in the Duma and the media.
The Moscow source adds: “What happens in Ukraine and when are the main questions now. There could well be more surprises from the US. There might be a new ground assault into Russian territory and continuing missile attacks deep into Russian territory. So far, these are not disturbing the national mood of confidence and optimism. So for the time being Russians are not expecting and are not prepared for any escalation on any front – at least not on the ground. If Putin can negotiate to keep the four [Donbass] regions and a demilitarisation accord with [President Donald] Trump, there will be what the Defense Ministry calls retaliation, but no escalation. At least not for now, not for six months after Trump takes office if the talks head nowhere.”
“What is needed now from Russian point of view is time to build the army and the economy for a bigger war. That, according to everyone I talk with, is going to be war with Turkey when the stakes will be much higher than they are with Ukraine. Putin is adopting a wait-and-see stance.”Russian military sources believe that Putin and the General Staff have agreed to restrict their operations to electric war targeting; to avoid decapitation strikes at the Ukrainian leadership or US, French and British forces operating long-range Ukrainian missile units; and to characterize current air operations as “retaliation”, not “escalation”.
Map of Russian missile and drone strikes against electric grid targets, principally in western Ukraine, December 13.
In Beijing last week, Chinese President Xi Jinping told Dmitry Medvedev that his advice to Putin is “no expansion of the battlefield, no escalation of fighting and no provocation by any party”. Medvedev agreed.
A western veteran of electric war operations comments on the latest Russian strikes of December 13: “every time the aftermath is worse. More outages, longer duration, more misery for Ukrainians. Rail capacity and fuel storage are degrading as well. There’s a consistency in the General Staff’s operational thinking that’s been maintained since the start of the electric war. Draw in the enemy from outside of Ukraine, smash their equipment, kill their volunteers, immiserate and break the Ukrainians. It’s slow, but it’s working.”
“The paradox of this Russian success is that the more the General Staff beats NATO and the Ukrainians, the more they commit to the war. The more Putin applies the brakes, the more encouraged they are.”
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Could Levada possibly poll the population to discover how many believe one should be able to question the official Holocaust story, going wherever the evidence leads?
“What is needed now from Russian point of view is time to build the army and the economy for a bigger war. That, according to everyone I talk with, is going to be war with Turkey a”
What will trigger and precipitate a war with Turkey? Turkey and Israel will come to war- directly or into a cold war type or like what existed between Syria and Israel before 911.
Will Russia come to war against Turkey for Israel?
After half-baked approach to Syria by Russia as mandated by Israel ,nothing will look odd,impossible or ironic.
Russian population has to double to sustain with Turkey unless Russia uses few nukes and no one from west reacts ot unless Pakistan reacts.
Just to give some context about why I would think that Russia Federation is doing fine in Ukraine despite challenges. My perception was shaped by growing up in a country with a 30 year war happening in the background(I was too young to fight). Nothing in my world experience would suggest that your average war is won in quick blitzkrieg sessions, unless one side is an obvious underdog.
A 1980’s documentary about the old South African government’s counterinsurgency war in Angola, showing special forces and irregular units and regular white troops. We got cancelled when the Cold War ended, along with a few wars in Africa.
Video Link
more nafo bullshit from helmer. a larger war with turkiye makes zero sense because that would mean a larger war with zato. now zato may seek to instigate a larger war in ukraine and this is the larger war for which the russians are now preparing but that won’t include turkiye, as it seems the russians and turks have worked this out between them, in spite of all the propaganda being thrown around by zafo trolls.
if there is a larger war for turkiye, it would be with israel and no, the russians would not fight on behalf of israel. that’s part of the reason the russians got the hell out of dodge, so as not to get caught up in this cluster fuck that zato engineered in syria in order to trap and tap both russia and iran in the quicksand of a well funded terrorist action. using ukrainian drones and trainers they sought to mire the russians in a second front, in order to give them leverage in any talks on the final status of ukraine.
stupid supremacist izzies will now be the ones to find out you don’t want to bring tanks to a drone fight. times have changed, these people never do and will pay for their hubris in the end. give it time, it’s already starting to unravel, hts is now asking for international help in stopping israeli air strikes on syria, lol. they have created a hornets nest in syria and they will eventually get stung. the russians and iranian were very smart not to allow themselves to be pushed into this and to prepare for their real mutual enemy that of zato.
Turkey and Israel appear to be on a collision course over Damascus.
When-we-Was
Why Turkey and over what?
An implicit subtext of John Helmer’s recent articles is the escalating tensions between oligarch-Chabad frontman Putin, and Russia’s military General Staff
Helmer implicitly hints at how in many minds, they must be thinking that it is time for a coup in Russia, time to do what partly-Jewish-heritage Prigozhin was en route to accomplishing before his common sense failed him, time for real nationalists to take over, time to blow the Dnieper bridges, and quickly win the war
Australian-Jewish Helmer is at some risk writing these things from inside Russia, even in his veiled manner … but he is age 78 now (born 1946), his Russian wife has passed away, and he perhaps cares less now if he joins Strelkov in the Russian jails
Heaven help Russia and the rest of us as well
Yes, but Helmer never criticizes Putin directly or writes about his
past, motivation and shortcomings. He’s very careful about how
he phrases things. Understandably so as he’s in a vulnerable position
as you point out.
The military in RusFed have been neutered, cf. Rokhlin who despite his Jewish origins was a true Russian patriot and an outstanding military commander and was preparing a coup against Yeltsin, Lebed’ who was foolish enough to side with Yeltsin, Kvachkov who dared attacking the arch-Noviop Chubais, and recently Utkin/Wagner and Prigozhin plus a couple other high officers who distinguished themselves in Eastern Ukraine. The nationalists in RusFed have been put down, they are seen as enemy number one by the parasitic Noviop clique at the top of the state, cf. Tesak, Prosvirnin, all the other WN and NS types in Russian prisons, and in Donbas the likes of Bednov, Mozgovoy (more of a left wing pan-Slavic leader) and so on. There is no organized, genuine opposition to Putin and his cronies. The communist party has become controlled opposition after the 1996 election that got stolen from them under the threat of civil war, Western sanctions and foreign intervention. The nationalist political movements have never been allowed into election politics even at a regional level. They only allow some form of nationalist politics at municipal level, cf. Yuneman and the like. Putin made the political process in RusFed into a one way tunnel. It’ll be hard to get out of this situation before his power collapses or is violently deposed.
“Physician, heal thyself” Luke 4:23
Jesus is the physician, and the Nazarenes are demanding that He heal Himself.
-Imagine – Protocols of the Learned Elders of Zion were written in Russia…
Nonetheless:
-Great Talmudic Revolution of 1917 in Russia led to the slaughter of 66 million Slavic Goyim…
-Soviet Union croaked in 1991, remaining assets stolen by you-know-who and transferred to the West
-$300B of oil money were recently stolen from Mother Russia again
Meanwhile:
-Learned Elders of Zion are Vlad’s bosom pals
-Isra-Hell is Russia’s Greatest Ally
-Russia is happy multicultural society, with every passing year even more so
-war in Ukraine looks like Swan Lake ballet, sole purpose of which being clearing the ground for Khazarian Kaganat #2
Ukraine War — Chabad’s Strategy for Slavic Genocide
https://henrymakow.com/2023/03/russia-khazaria-ukraine.html
-Vlad the Wimp draws red lines, updates Russian Nuclear doctrine, always shows restraint and willingness to be everybody’s friend, betraying his remaining allies (Iran & Syria) in the process.
And Russians, being law-abiding people, have no clue what is REALY going on and can’t see the BIG PICTURE because Russian Federal Law prohibits reading honest books:
Federal List of Extremist Materials
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_List_of_Extremist_Materials
I’m just giving background to why I have my take on what war is. What are you trying to say?
No offense
If HTS wanted to deal with the zionists, they can fight them on the ground in South Syria.
You dont need a sophisticated air defence to fight an urban war as has been proven in multiple battle fields, just lots of ATGMs and coordination, which are things the HTS have in spades.
HTS refuses to opposes the Zionists because they are essentially an American proxy.
You put too much faith in words.