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The Great Replacement Can Reverse: The Case of the Baltic States
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I wrote recently that people in the West assume that demographic change, fueled by mass migration both legal and illegal, will soon have deteriorated to a point where there will be no stopping or reversing the process. But there is! I instanced the case of post-Soviet Kazakhstan as an example of how the fortunes of a nation, reduced to a minority in its own state, can change surprisingly suddenly. But Kazakhstan is far from the only example. It is possible to look closer to the Europe, and the heart of Western Civilization, and find demographic reversal brought on by political upheaval—and determined national government policy.

Thus in the three Baltic republics, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania, the demographic situation has also reversed since the fall of the Soviet Union. These three small nation-states declared independence from the Russian Empire as it collapsed in the wake of World War I and the Bolshevik Revolution. They established explicitly nationalist regimes that lasted from 1917 until they were occupied by the Soviet Union at the beginning of World War II. And this is where their demographic decline began.

In 1922 the newly independent Estonia had a population of 969,976 ethnic Estonians, comprising 87.6% of the population, Russians constituted only 8.6% of Estonia’s population, and no other minority held above a one percent share [ Estonia (1920-1940), University Of Arkansas Dynamic Analysis of Dispute Management (DADM) Project ].

An ethnic Estonian

Similarly, Latvia’s population was 73.4% Latvian in 1925 [Ethnicities in region of Latvia. Statistics, roots-saknes.lv], with a Russian minority of some 10.5%.

An ethnic Latvian

Lithuania’s population was 83.9% ethnically Lithuanian. The largest minority were the Yiddish-speaking Lithuanian Jews, at 7.6%, and a Russian minority of just 2.5%.

An ethnic Lithuanian

These figures were certainly healthy for a set of newly-independent states that had spent most of their historic existence as either subjects or constituent members of various Empires. Their chance at independence presented a chance to set demographic policies that might have seen their titular ethnic populations grow both in raw numbers and in share of the population and their true national character to flourish.

Thus VDARE.com has repeatedly cited the great Russian anti-Communist Alexander Solzhenitsyn:

Nations are the wealth of mankind, its collective personalities; the very least of them wears its own special colours and bears within itself a special facet of divine intention.

But it was not to be—yet.

Under pressure from the USSR, the three Baltic States surrendered to ultimatums presented by the USSR in 1940. Puppet regimes were set up in each state, and within a short period of time these puppet regimes voted away their sovereignty and therefore the demographic future of these states.

This is not unlike the 1965 Immigration Act in the United States, or the 1948 docking of the Empire Windrush in the United Kingdom. The native populations of these countries, whether a Baltic State or an Anglosphere nation, were not consulted by their governments in taking these actions. The cession of demographic control was made unilaterally, and the titular nations were stripped of their states.

For the next half-century, the people of the Baltic States would be subject to a horrific plethora of disasters and range of state policies which would not only see their share of the populations in their respective states decline, but their overall population figures also decline in absolute terms. One example of the state policies which did incredibly demographic damage to the Baltic States: the mass deportations during and after and after World War II More than 200,000 people were deported from the Baltic States, nearly 10% of the entire adult population, and 17.5% of the entire Estonian population . More than 75,000 of these individuals ended up in the Gulags of the Soviet Union [ Deportation Commemoration 2021, June 14, 2021, Estonia.org.au].

By 1989 the population of ethnic Estonians in Estonia had fallen to 61.5% of the national population. The population of Latvians in had decreased to 52% in their own country—a percentage similar to the current 54% share of the American population that Whites currently hold (US Census, 2020: DEC Redistricting Data (PL 94-171) )—while in Lithuania the native population had decreased to a share of some 79.6%, the smallest decline of the Baltic States, but a decline nonetheless [All-Union population census of 1989. National composition of the population by republic of the USSR, in Russian].

In contrast to the declining native populations, the Russian populations in the respective countries had increase substantially. In 1989 Estonia hosted a 30.3% Russian population, Latvia’s population was 34% Russian, and the Lithuanian population held a Russian share of some 9.4%, a four fold increase from the 1923 census.

The large increases in the shares held by the Russian population was not simply a matter of the results of war, famine, and mass deportations but also and primarily a result of the encouragement of Russification (or Sovietification) of these countries [Russification Efforts In Central Asian And Baltic Regions, by Major Sean C. Brazel, Air Command And Staff College (USAF), December 2012 ]. Hundreds of thousands of Russians were settled in the Baltic States with the goal of destroying the cohesive ethnic identities of the Baltic peoples and preventing them from challenging Moscow’s rule. (Rather as Washington’s Refugee Racket currently imposes Third Worlders on white communities in the U.S.)

But this process did not hold. Neither did the Soviet Union, for that matter. Just two years after the above-mentioned 1989 census figures, what President Ronald Reagan called the “Evil Empire” would finally cease to exist, broken up along borders which largely represented both past and present ethnic demarcations.

Today the demographic situation in the Baltic States has improved substantially. Latvians, who were reduced to 52% of their national population by 1989 and were within spitting distance of becoming a minority in their own homeland, now constitute 62.4% of their nation-state’s population, and comprise a much higher share of the number of citizens (=voters) in the country [Population by ethnicity at the beginning of year 1935 – 2023, Latvian Census, data.stat.gov.lv] The Russian population, which peaked at 905,515 individuals (and 34% of the population) in 1989 has been reduced to 445,612 individuals and just 23.7% of the population. Furthermore, roughly 30% of these Russians have not been extended Latvian citizenship and are ultimately expected to either adopt the Latvia’s language and culture or depart for the Russian Federation [Distribution of Latvian population according to national composition and nationality, Citizenship and Migration Affairs, Latvia, PDF].

Estonia has made similar moves. It maintains a policy of refusing to extend citizenship to ethnic Russians who refuse to adapt the culture, language, and ways of living of the ethnic Estonians. The Estonian population in Estonia now sits at 69.1% of the total share as of 2021, while the Russian population has declined from its 1989 height of 30.3% to 23.6% today [ RL21428: Population By Ethnic Nationality, Sex And Place Of Residence (Settlement Region), Statistics Estonia, December 31, 2021]. In numerical form the number of Russians in the country has declined by 160,000 and is now isolated either the suburbs of Tallinn, the national capital, or the city of Narva, which borders Russia itself. As a result of Estonia’s policy of refusing to grant citizenship to ethnic foreigners, the voter rolls are now 84.1% Estonian [Citizenship, Estonia.eu].

Thirty years on from the fall of the Soviet Union. each of the Baltic States is in the midst of a demographic recovery where their ethnic populations are recovering their place as the dominant player in their own home. The economies of these states are prosperous and modern, and the populations enjoy increasing standards of living that rival those of the Western democracies—themselves in a period of decline.

The more that Americans know about the story of the Baltic States and their three-decade project to transition away peacefully demographically from the multicultural model, the more hope there is for the Historic American Nation to begin a similar process in its own right and regain the pre-eminent status which their forebears assumed and intended they would have.

James Karlsson (email him) is the founder and director of the White-Papers Policy Institute. Read them on Substack, follow them on Twitter, and message them on Telegram.

(Republished from VDare by permission of author or representative)
 
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  1. Laurent says:

    Yes, except that Russia left, fled, those countries when the Soviet union collapsed.
    Do you think our Mexican (US) and Muslim (EU) invaders are going, one day, to decide to leave our countries all together ? Of course not.

    • Replies: @Carney
  2. In the end, when the nightmare of racist white Western civilization ends and its means of disinformation and promotion of social hatred are neutralized, humanity will finally be able to build a shared world for all and after two or three generations with a true social education you will live on an unknown planet.

    Of course the rich people and their celebrities will no longer be the most important thing in the world and in their place the entire population will be.

    And please, after what is happening in Palestine we can no longer mention human rights or freedom, much less democracy or moneyocracy as you prefer to call it.

    The farce is ending.

  3. These three small nation-states declared independence from the Russian Empire as it collapsed in the wake of World War I and the Bolshevik Revolution.

    By analogy, then, all the ex-USA has to do is to find some way of declaring independence from Judaism, Inc. Excellent! How do we start?

    • Agree: JR Foley
  4. Carney says:

    This is a much more heartening example than the Kazakhstan one.

    I have no particular ill-will toward Kazakhs and have no objection to their being a majority in their own country in charge of their own destiny (in particular presuming that they continue to be moderate/nominal Muslims rather than aggressive and dangerous fanatics). But I wouldn’t much care if they lost majority status and control of their own destiny due to influx of whites such as Russians. And the retreat of Russians from Kazakhstan is not very encouraging; with echoes of white retreat from colonies around the world.

    But this example, of the Baltic states, is very good news. It’s particularly encouraging that the EU, with all its hostility to white ethnic or racial identity and any kind of “discrimination”, has permitted the Baltics to impose steady pressure on the ethnic Russians to leave for Russia.

    It’s one thing to do so via demands to conform to the given Baltic state’s language and customs. But it’s especially impressive that they have managed to continue to deny citizenship to the ethnic Russians — even (and this is absolutely key) to the ethnic Russians that were born in those states, even born AFTER the fall of the Soviet Union and thus while the Baltic states were respectable normal democratic countries.

    And that this policy remains in place to this day!

    I know, it won’t necessarily be easy to “escalate” this policy from merely an intra-white policy about different white ethno-national groups, to a policy that is racial and targeted (explicitly or implicitly) at non-whites. But look at it this way: a policy of forcing a white nation to be drowned in ethnically alien whites is certainly useful to our enemies as a precedent for forcing us to be drowned in non-whites. So denying them this precedent is a very positive thing. And again, this is not just a matter of the absence of a bad policy, but the presence of an absolutely terrific, good policy.

    • Replies: @Martis H
  5. Carney says:
    @Laurent

    No, the vast majority of ethnic Russians present there remained in the immediate aftermath of the Soviet collapse. The Baltic states right after liberation were (as they still are) far preferable places to live than Russia — richer, safer, more functional, more honest, and freer. Not only was Russia less desirable, but there was the practical matter of where to live in a nation of chronic housing shortages, and what to do for a living in Russia amid the economic implosion.

    These are very strong parallels to the situation of non-white immigrants and their descendants here.

    And the methods the Baltic states have used to put heavy and constant pressure on the Russians to leave: denial of citizenship and voting, erasure of the previous regime’s monuments celebrating the Russian invaders, cutoff of state support for the alien language’s media and schools, etc. Latvia has even banned instruction in Russian in private schools! (Other than, as with any foreign language, to teach the language itself, of course).

    To the extent that some Russians have conformed in order to stay, that’s regrettable and less desirable than them all leaving, but, being whites (although from a very different branch of the white family tree), this can work to a limited extent and is preferable to them remaining an unassimilated minority.

  6. What is the number of Africans and Arabs in the Baltic states before and after their “independence,” in reality submission to NATO.

    fuck this pro-kike, pro-NATO propaganda article and to hell withe the kike enabling author.

    • Replies: @Pythas
  7. G. Poulin says:

    Who knew that you could deny citizenship to undesirable ethnic minorities? Maybe we could try that here. But we’ll have to dump the 14th first. I certainly won’t miss it.

  8. The inhabitants of the Baltic States didn’t get send to the gulag for fun , they were sent there as punishment for participating in the mass rape and murder of their fellow slavic people and for killing more people than the German Nazis

    • Replies: @Malla
  9. Godly says:

    There’s rather a sizable degree of difference between Russian/Baltic and Anglo/Bantu.

  10. Pythas says:
    @anyone with a brain

    Anywhere the kike sees a White European society like I said on this site many times before it’s like a red cape to a bull, their demonic eyes light up with an envy hatred and resentment that no’s know bounds.

  11. Ramdas says:

    What a dumb article.
    The Balts are the equivalent of native Americans, and Russians are the equivalent of white US Anglos.

    Also: you simpleton think Alexeeva is an ethnic Latvian? And Belousova is an ethnic Lithuanian??

    lol. Those are typical Russian surnames, not Baltic ones.
    Jesus. At least learn some BASICS about a part of the world you’re writing about. Some of you Anglos really are incorrigible when it comes to ignorance of the world.

    greetings from a head shaking Slav

    • Replies: @※
  12. says:
    @Ramdas

    you simpleton think Alexeeva is an ethnic Latvian? And Belousova is an ethnic Lithuanian??

    lol. Those are typical Russian surnames, not Baltic ones.

    A Russian surname only reveals the ethnic origin of male paternal ancestors. The last tsar of Russia had a Russian surname, but ethnically he was only 1 ⁄ 64 Russian, because his other 63 great-great-great-great-grandparents were ethnically either German or Danish.

    In other cases, surnames are sometimes adapted to the majority culture. For example, the 2008 Miss Lithuania was born Gabrielė Martirosianaitė, but her paternal grandfather was Armenian, and had added the Lithuanian male -as suffix to his surname when he’d emigrated to Lithuania. In 2019, she changed her surname to Martirosian, removing the Lithuanian female -aitė suffix.

    • Thanks: HammerJack
  13. Martis H says:
    @Carney

    The Kazaks are not even really the native people of “Kazakhstan” either. They are from the Turkic and Mongol invasions into Central Asia that started around 600AD in earnest. The native people before then were White and spoke a Indo-European language. The invaders mostly massacred the men while raping the women, the average Kazak is 20% to 30% White from this according to DNA tests, even though they usually don’t look like it.

  14. Malla says:
    @Tranceislife

    What a retarded comment. Firstly Baltics are not Slavs so “killing fellow Slavs” does not make sense. Also, the Soviets were sending people from the Baltics to the Gulag before Operation Barbarossa, when the USSr was an ally of Third Reich Germany. So many were sent that nearly every person living in the Baltic nations know of some relative sent away.

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