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The polls were right in Minnesota, Iowa, Maine and New Hampshire:
In 2016, I spent months analyzing the polls. In 2020, I shifted my attention to history. How off were the polls? pic.twitter.com/UlyFn0ZdP2
— Hunter Wallace (@MisterBlackPill) November 6, 2020
Blumpf underperformed his polls in Minnesota. The Des Moines Register poll nailed Iowa. The polls in Maine and New Hampshire were accurate and reflected the outcome there. They had Blumpf down 10 and 8 points.
From the AP VoteCast Survey:
In 2016, Trump won 24% of Jews.
After years of relentless pandering and so much winning for Israel that your head is still spinning, he won 30% of Jews. Jewish support for Hillary was 71% compared to 68% for Joe Biden.
Blumpf won more Protestants, more Mormons, more Jews and more Muslims. He won the same amount of Nones. He split Catholics 50 to 49 after winning them 52 to 45 in 2016.
7% of American voters thought “racism” was the most important issue facing the country. 41% said it was COVID-19. Joe Biden won 73% of voters who thought COVID was the most important issue.
There was a slight Trump-Biden shift.
The more important pickup for Biden were 2016 non-voters.
Trump won 81% of White evangelicals.
He won the same share of White evangelicals that he won in 2016. He delivered Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett for them. Gorsuch delivered reading transgenderism into the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and John Roberts a big defeat on Louisiana’s abortion law.
White college educated voters shifted toward Biden.
More women voted than men in 2020.
Trump won men by a smaller share than in 2016.
Trump got 55% of the White vote.
Joe Biden got 43% of the White vote.
Hillary Clinton won only 37% of the White vote in 2016. Obama won 43% of the White vote in 2008 and 39% in 2012.
Blumpf got 59% of White men and 52% of White women in 2020 compared to 62% of White men and 52% of White women in 2016. Mitt Romney got 62% of White men and 56% of White women in 2012. It was his diminshed margin with the White vote that killed him.
Conclusion: Disillusioned White men defected to Joe Biden or stayed home.
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HOW TRUMP IS HIS OWN WORST ENEMY.
Trump has done a good job on a lot of issues (such as keeping us out of more foreign wars, building the border wall, etc.), and he could have easily won relection.
But his 2 big mistakes:
1. Twitter and talking to libs: Trump goes on Twitter and tweets his raw, unprocessed thoughts, and attacking his own administration even, which the left-wing media pounced on. A politician should talk little, choose his words with great care, and that too, only after careful thought and preplanning and review by his advisers. No world leader tweets his raw thoughts like Trump.
He gave interviews to libscum like Woodward, and says reckless things, and goes to town halls hosted by liberal scum, which are all rigged and preplanned to make him look bad on TV. Big mistake.
2. Missing Biden’s Alzheimer’s. Trump called Biden sleepy Joe and calling his mental dysfunction “gaffes”. Biden’s constant loss of orientation to person, place and time are signs of Alzheimer’s. Trump missed this big time. And all the conservative media failed to see the sun shining in their eyes—that Biden has Alzheimer’s.
Video Proof: Biden has Alzheimer’s: https://youtu.be/9xFNozxJb28
Video Link
I’ll bet most of these didn’t take the trouble to vote then because they were so smugly certain that Trump couldn’t win. They weren’t about to make that mistake again!
Brad, it looks like you found that Trump didn’t gain with White women this time around. The meme going around is that he gained with every group except White men. Is that not so?
A dream scenario would be as follows. It will never be realized, but it would solve a lot of problems.
Just like Roman Empire had Eastern Empire and Western Empire(and just like there were two popes at one time), US would do better as two nation. Now, the US doesn’t have to split geographically or physically like the Roman Empire. It could remain intact. But half the people would belong to America 1 and the other half to America 2. The fact of dual-citizenship is proof that a person doesn’t need to LIVE in a certain nation to take part in it. A Mexican-American can also be a Mexican citizen and vote in Mexican elections.
Then, even as US remains as it is geographically, someone can belong to US 1 or US 2. US 1 would have its own capital, and US 2 would have its own capital. This would be a good idea. Is it viable for Republicans to work in DC, a city that is 96% Democratic? Even if we’re told that bureaucrats and functionaries are apolitical, we know it’s not true. And Trump’s presidency proved it. He was surrounded by a hostile bureaucracy who undercut whatever he tried to do.
How much better if globalists/imperialists had all of D.C. and if nationalists/patriots had their own capital run by their own kind. There would no longer be national elections but elections for US 1 and elections for US 2. US 1 would decide its preferred ‘liberal’ leader, and US 2 will decide its own ‘conservative’ leader. People who claim US 1 citizenship would pay taxes to their government, and people who claim US 2 citizenship would pay taxes to their government.
Now, some operations and services will be dual-rule. Like management of National Parks as such are in the interests of both US 1 and US 2. And fire departments. Maybe libraries.
But schools will be operated separately. US 1 will decide its own curriculum… such as ‘critical race theory’ and ‘blame whitey’. US 2 could opt for a saner and more patriotic curriculum.
US 1 can recognize ‘gay marriage’ and force people to call a man a ‘they’ or believe he is a ‘woman’. US 2 doesn’t have to push gender nuttery.
Also, if immigrants arrive and join US 1, they won’t be able to vote for candidates and policies of US 2.
Also, on some matters, people will be judged based on their citizenship in US 1 or US 2. So, if US 1 decides to criminalize ‘hate speech’, those of US 1 can be prosecuted but those of US 2 cannot be IF US 2 is committed to free speech. And if US 1 bans firearms, those of US 1 can be prosecuted for owning a firearm but those of US 2 cannot be.
As for the military, it should be dual-rule when it comes to defense of US territory. So, if US itself is attacked, both US 1 military and US 2 military must unite in the fight. But if it’s overseas ventures, the policies shall diverge. So, if US 1 military wants to occupy Syria but US 2 military doesn’t, only US 1 military is engaged.
US 1 will have the richest and most talented people but also most of the worst people. It will be 85% of current Jews, 93% of blacks, 70% of browns, and 70% of yellows. It will be 40% of whites.
US 2ill be 7% of blacks, 30% of browns, 30% of yellows, and 60% of whites. Less extreme at the tails but more solid at the center.
Under this scenario, two people can be neighbors but belong to different nations. They might get along better. Indeed, why do religious people get along better? Catholics have their own thing and Protestants have their own thing. So, a Catholic and Protestant can live side by side but totally tolerate and respect one another. The Catholic doesn’t have to worry about Protestant imposing his values on him OR vice versa every 4 yrs. Likewise, ‘libs’ and ‘cons’ will get along better if they belong to their own version of the US. They pay taxes to different capitals for different priorities.
An impossible dream but it would be nicer. Imagine if in 2016, US 1 got Hillary and US 2 got Trump. It would have been so much nicer. And Trump would have done better in the capital of US 2 that is dominated by ‘cons’. But in DC, he was surrounded by hostile population and subversive deep state.
Even though US 1 and US 2 would be more a matter of state-of-mind and administration than physical separation, there can be special places designated for one group or another.
So, every county can have a park or place only for people of US 1 and park or place for people of US 2. This would solve the monument controversy. If people of US 1 don’t want a certain ‘racist’ monument, it can be moved to a special place that belongs to US 2. So, don’t knock down General Lee statue. Move it to a place designated for US 2.
Now, if people of US 1 want to ‘move’ to US 2, they can apply. And vice versa. But they have to meet certain criteria to be approved.
Brad, AKA Hunter Wallace, if the polls weren’t right about the actual elections, why are they right about the individual breakdowns of the vote ?
I guess this makes sense with the digital environment Trump was working within. In 2016 the tech crackdown hadn’t happened yet so White men were shitposting Trump memes for fun constantly. I was a filthy commie back then, but I still checked out the r/TheDonald at least once a day and it was hilarious. I voted for Trump as a joke. Trump’s biggest mistake was allowing his supporters to get deplatformed by the media giants. He could have at least shilled for alternate platforms and gotten them some traction. Now we are stuck in dystopian New Normal hell forever… feels bad man.
Interesting proposal.