The ability to tacitly threaten the US that if it doesn’t help Israel in any extremity then “we will have to use nuclear weapons” is the entire intended purpose of Israel having nukes. American conventional might is Israel’s real weapon of last resort.

Housing costs in the U.S. are out of control. (1)

Middle Class Can’t Afford Homes In Nearly
Half Of Top 100 US Metros, Study Finds

In total, 41 out of the 100 metros require a gross annual income of $100,000 or more to qualify for an average home. In 13 metros, an average income of more than $155,000 is needed.
…
Being considered “middle class” doesn’t carry the same significance as it did just a few years ago.

“In the past, if you were middle class, it was almost assumed you would become a homeowner,” said Ali Wolf, chief economist of Zonda, a housing market research firm.

“Today, the aspiration is still there, but it is a lot more difficult. You have to be wealthy or lucky.”

That’s all thanks to a “perfect storm” of elevated mortgage rates, sky-high home prices, and a lack of inventory, making housing more unaffordable.

The DNC is the party of Wall Street. They do not care if workers are harmed by their policies. Migration, both legal and illegal, is good for elite Globalist bankers and financiers.

PEACE 😇
__________

(1) https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/middle-class-cant-afford-homes-nearly-half-top-100-us-metros-study-finds

There is an argument to be made that the new AI chatbots are useless for the most useful people. I will make this argument because (subjectively!) I am the most useful person that I know and I find them utterly useless.

True Fact: google search results are user-dependent. When you type into the search bar the program returns what it predicts you are searching for. What you get and what I get are two different things, perhaps even completely totally different.

Observation: the highest status enthusiasts for the new AI’s all seem to have one commonality. The highest benefit, or at the very least one of the highest benefits, is they can search the web again which they haven’t been able to do for years their google search engine is so fubar’d.

My google search engine is not fubar’d. I can almost always quickly find what I am looking for.

I am reminded of Bruce Schneier’s talk at google where he began by telling the nerds in the room:

We all watch Game of Thrones
Google knows what everybody’s favorite porno is

True fact: I have never seen an episode of Game of Thrones. I have seen two minute clips here or there so I do have some idea of what I am missing but I really do not know what all the fuss was about. When whats-her-face went Darth Vader some of the subsequent internet caterwauling was amusing. That’s about all I know about Game of Thrones.

Also a true fact: I have never used google search to look for porn.

So I guess Bruce Schneier wasn’t talking to me.

Feel free to presume I never ever search for anything you would find useful!

…Middle Class Can’t Afford Homes In Nearly Half Of Top 100 US Metros

They are not really Middle Class, no matter how desperately they try to tell it to themselves. Renters are a dependent lower class – always have been and always will be.

US has a housing pyramid scheme: easy riches for the elderly boomers and high rents for the young. Unlimited migrants keep it going: they add to demand for housing and lower incomes for the younger workers. It applies also to the better jobs, if 100 Indians migrate to US the native Americans will make less, even engineers and nurses. It is just math.

All pyramid schemes inevitably collapse. The short interlude of close to zero interest rates can be only done so often – the money people want money to make money, they won’t give it up for nothing.

Canada, UK, Australia are about the same or even worse. What is it about the Anglos that greed and selfishness by the elderly triumphs everything else?

You hav to wait for a relative to die to get the lump sum.

So the vindictive U.S criminal elite have decided to steal Russian assets it holds and hand them to Ukraine…its time the Russians handed the Houthis the capability to send a few ships to the bottom that the U.S own…that should eat into the benifit of the theft.

” What is it about the Anglos that greed and selfishness by the elderly triumphs everything else?”

It’s not the elderly who’ve sent housing through the roof. It’s open borders plus easy credit/low interest rates/the rich buying as landlords.

Huh, guess the elderly shouldn’t have voted for politicians that enable those conditions you mentioned.

So the vindictive U.S criminal elite have decided to steal Russian assets it holds and hand them to Ukraine…

This is called theft in every criminal code that ever existed. The US congress just decided that there is no law but the law of the jungle. Not just Russia, but the rest of the world (excluding imperial cocksuckers, who are the rulers but not the population of countries on the imperial patch) will act accordingly. The US businesses will lose a lot more than the US government steals. However, this was done to enrich the MIC, other businesses do not give as much kickbacks to “lawmakers”.

Only a total idiot would upset the roost where it is on top. The idiot just did.

You hav to wait for a relative to die to get the lump sum.

You can help the relative to transition to a better world. Many people do.

its time the Russians handed the Houthis the capability to send a few ships to the bottom that the U.S own…that should eat into the [benefit] of the theft.

The U.S. doesn’t own a commercial fleet that transits the Indian Ocean. Its vessels travel almost exclusively to/from U.S. ports under the Jones Act.

They are run by anti-American, SJW Globalist multinationals that ship in goods to suppress the wages of Christian workers. Supplying weapons to the Houthi will result in CCP goods being more expensive as they have to take the long route or bear high insurance expense.

Make Christian European
      Workers Stronger!
    Arm the Houthi Now!

PEACE 😇

The day of the pillow.

I’ve heard that all adults can vote, not just the elderly.

Open borders enablers tend to be young.

Wikipedia spends less than 5% of its donations on servers, while constantly throwing fundraising banners in your face. This would be a good place to exile the people responsible, including that Maher witch. They can make a game of trying to catch goats with their bare hands.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robinson_Crusoe_Island

https://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/2024/04/the-wikipedia-fundraising-scam/

I agree with this, though the USA used to be different since there was an upwardly mobile path to the middle class which often included buying a house.

I think one feature of this earlier housing ownership-based model is that it was less class-centric.

The core value of the house was lost once the family had been wrecked by other causes.

Did anyone see how much of the 61 billion is going to Palestine to help them to eat…and build the basics?

This package proves where evil resides in the world…and worms like Johnson sit on the right ,or in the devil’s empire the left, of the devil.

You guys are dark. How often do you think this happens?

Have you read about the English aristocracy?

Does the Sikh have any crazy bumperstickers on his vehicle to discourage cartheft?

Classical Sovok thinking. 🙁

Eastern Europe has much less immigration. Is it working out much better for them relative to the Anglosphere?

“I’m Sikh! I know how to make thieves Sikh!”

Brave Ai is decent.

My favorite Hitlor story is from his service in WWI.

He sat down with some soldiers to eat when a voice commanded him to move.

Without thinking, he moved to a crater nearby and his previous spot was shelled killing everyone there.

God saved Hitlor

— Barbaric Disciple (@barbaricvitalsm) April 20, 2024

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bhagat_Dhanna

ਵਾਹਿਗੁਰੂਜੀਕਾਖਾਲਸਾਵਾਹਿਗੁਰੂਜੀਕੀਫਤਿਹ

Cases such as this are why adults’ guns should NOT be easily accessible to kids:

https://www.thedailybeast.com/10-year-old-allegedly-confesses-to-randomly-killing-stranger-when-he-was-7?ref=scroll

Being a cold-blooded murderer at just the age of seven! Amazing!

There are military ships in the area, they may be out of reach of the Houthis…send one of those expensive bit of kit to Davey Jones locker and the U.S will probably invade…but they will anyway, sooner or later. It’s best to chose the timing of war yourself and not let the U.S do so.

Hows that jetty in Palestine going? I suggest its a crossing into the next world the U.S criminals are building for the Palestinians.

Remember whatever the “elite” criminals are doing in the wider world its in the U.S goys’ name they’re doing it, the Zionist are just steering the effort to their advantage.

Speaker Johnson came through after dragging his feet for months. Money for ATACMS and more

Play both videos but with the first on mute.

The DNC is the party of Wall Street. They do not care if workers are harmed by their policies. Migration, both legal and illegal, is good for elite Globalist bankers and financiers.

And what is the Republican solution? Crack down on Wall Street?

Let’s hear the Republican solution to high housing costs:
(crickets)

The MAGA leader of the House just wrote Israel a check for 26 billion even though they have a budget surplus.

Trump is currently in court over trying to pay off a porn star. He somehow couldn’t do it without committing fraud. We haven’t even gotten to the docs case and he is already flipping his lid.

This would be a great time to take off the red hat and find a new hobby.

It isn’t going to get easier defending this NYC real estate con who was a Democrat most of his life. He not only supports globalist bankers but seems to think he should be allowed to commit fraud when dealing with them.

Enough with the dancing!

I prefer this version of the song, which coincidentally is by a band named after the Ukie namesake.

I don’t recommend standing near the ATACMS launchers.

Even the schoolyard placement won’t save you now.

Jimmy “Cuban Boat Lift” Carter, Ronald “A.” Reagan, I’ll let you look into what Gerald Ford did vis-a-vis Southeast Asia.

Emanuel Cellar didn’t die yesterday, nor did Phil Hart. Somebody must voted for them and for everybody who voted for their bill. Not some zoomers, I promise you.

The elderly and their parents made the world those poor, confused zoomers live in. Easy, and weasily, to blame the young.

Referring to the sidebar, I didn’t realize Anatoly was on the Hanah Barron train. I would say there was hope for him, but maybe her very existence fried his brain and maybe his soul.

Hannah seems like a nice girl, nonetheless I believe this is her song. It came after the death of innuendo and they really spell it out at 0:33:

https://original.antiwar.com/David_Stockman/2024/04/19/speaker-johnsons-ignominious-betrayal/

https://libertarianinstitute.org/news/new-amendment-would-force-reps-who-support-ukraine-aid-to-join-kievs-military/

Alexander Motyl’s latest delusional pro-Kiev regime babble:

https://thehill.com/opinion/international/4597442-j-d-vance-is-dead-wrong-about-ukraine-aid/

He fails to factually refute JD Vance’s practical assessment of the Russia-Kiev regime/NATO proxy war:

https://www.vance.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/4.16.2024-Vance-Weapons-Shortages.pdf

Since 2/24/22, Russia has gotten militarily stronger unlike the Kiev regime, which is noticeably weaker. Economically and politically, Russia is more stable than the Kiev regime and its Western backers.

“I have a knife in my hat!”

Trump is currently in court over trying to pay off a porn star.

Be known as blackmale.

He somehow couldn’t do it without committing fraud.

The Man always tryna keep a nigga down.

I don’t think a vast number of Brits are suffocating granny to get the house (except for a few of our New Brits).

But the use of “Do Not Resuscitate” plans in hospitals and the constant drumbeat of promotion for Dignitas and “assisted dying” (what a euphemism) will have its effect, even on those with no wish to die.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13316295/Retired-nurse-died-hospital-staff-mixed-notes-Not-Resucitate-notice-90-year-old-man.html

A retired nurse died after hospital staff mixed her up with a patient on a ‘Do Not Resuscitate’ notice.

Pat Dawson, 73, was fit and healthy and had had no medical treatment in 30 years before suffering a suspected bowel obstruction, her family told an inquest.

The widow and grandmother was taken to Royal Blackburn Hospital by ambulance but died after she collapsed and staff stopped attempts to resuscitate her following a look at ‘her’ notes.

By the time medics realised that a mix-up had left them reading a DNR report relating to a 90-year-old man, it was too late to save her.

The inquest heard that staff failed to check the NHS number on Mrs Dawson’s wristband or even the gender and age on the notes.

Emergency consultant Ahmad Alabood called the tragedy an ‘honest mistake because [staff] were rushing’ when the unit was ‘over-stretched and over-crowded’.

“Blame” is not the thing – the 1965 boomers were told that the Hart-Cellar act wouldn’t change US demographics.

Young people in UK and US are taught that their forebears were awful racists, and all the black people they see on TV are carefully curated for their pleasant demeanour. But the boomers don’t run TV and Hollywood, do they now?

The given weaponry in new package obviously won’t really help directly to dislodge RF out of all occupied lands since 02.24, but it certainly makes UA more likely being able to hold the line without very quick collapse as envisioned in the post below, which was written little bit before the voting. However in principle the presented script still remains as the possible way in practice to end the hot phase of the war somewhere along the future frontlines, wherever they may remain:

Hungarian Prime Minister Orban said that Europe is one step away from sending soldiers to Ukraine. This is quite consistent with Macron’s recent activity and the gradual legalization of the idea of sending NATO troops to the conflict zone.

It is needed to understand that this does not at all mean that NATO will enter hostilities on the side of Ukraine.

Most likely, the talk is going about preparations for a possible collapse of the front and the entry of Russian forces into operational depth. This development of events still looks hypothetical, but its probability does not look completely zero.

In the event of a breakthrough by the Russian army, the Dnieper, of course, will become a natural barrier. In this case, NATO troops can move to this line and record the actual division of Ukraine, as was done several years ago in Syria, the territory of which is divided into three main occupation zones: Turkish, American, Russian/Iranian, and the latter is also actually quite clearly demarcated between pro-Iranian terrorist groups and strongholds of Russian forces.

Between these occupation zones there are concluded “de-conflict” agreements, the essence of which is to create a mechanism to prevent clashes between the occupiers. In general, the mechanisms work, although from time to time one or another occupier carries out its own operations – but only in relation to “foreign” proxy structures, carefully without affecting the location of colleagues in the division of Syria.

In Ukraine, in the event of the collapse of the front, a roughly similar situation may arise, when its territory will also be divided between the occupying forces (what exactly it will be called officially does not make much difference), and the occupiers will also enter into “de-conflict” agreements.

From this moment on, Kyiv will finally turn into a proxy structure of the West, much like Assad is formally considered the president of Syria, but in reality he controls the territory of his palace and nothing further.

There is no other point in sending NATO troops to Ukraine. No direct NATO-Russia clash is envisaged on its territory, and if this happens due to someone’s oversight, then they will try to quickly regulate and eliminate the excess, since it is completely unnecessary.

Another question is that this does not cancel the continuation of the conflict as such, just as it does not cancel any other actions of both Russia and NATO somewhere in other locations, but the Russian-Ukrainian conflict in this version will continue in a completely different form.

https://t.me/anatoly_nesmiyan/17976

I see Tucker Carlson spoke at length about ‘UFOs’ on Joe Rogan. Joe very sceptical, but I have heard a talk by a cosmonaut who said he saw many strange things in space, but was told not to talk about it by the Soviet authorities. I certainly think there are celestial beings, not aliens, that we can’t explain.

Alexander Dugin was recently appointed as a head of a state scientific humanitarian institute in RF, btw:

Alexander Dugin, leader of the Eurasia party. I’m for the blacks. White civilization – its cultural values, the false, inhumane model of the world it built – has not justified itself. Everything is heading towards the beginning of white pogroms on a planetary scale. Russia is saved only by the fact that we are not purely white. Predatory transnational corporations, oppression and suppression of everyone else, MTV, blue and pink – these are the fruits of white civilization that need to be gotten rid of. That’s why I’m for red, yellow, green, black – just not white. I stand with the people of Zimbabwe with all my heart.

https://archive.is/UyPU#selection-2273.0-2283.496

Looks like the attempt to farm the Ukraine war out to Europe failed.

Weaponry for UA battlefields – 14 billion out of 61, no any chances for the new offensives, just barely(?) enough to hold the defense more steady:

Hows that jetty in Palestine going? I suggest its a crossing into the next world the U.S criminals are building for the Palestinians.

Do you mean anti-Semite Biden’s pier to rearm Hamas colonial forces?

Its availability date is not growing any closer (1)

The Pentagon’s self-imposed deadline of having the pier operational and delivering the needed aid by May rapidly approaches, and experts say there are other delays and problems cropping up with the mission.

The USNS 2nd Lt. John P. Bobo “experienced a fire in the engine room while in transit to the eastern Mediterranean Sea” on April 11, and while the crew evacuated the area and used portable extinguishers to put out the fire, the ship had to return to Jacksonville, Florida, using just one engine, “for further assessment,” according to a Navy statement provided Wednesday.

Sal Mercogliano, an academic and shipping expert, noted to Military.com on Wednesday that one of the Army Landing Craft Utility ships, the Wilson Wharf, seems to be stuck in Tenerife — a small island that is part of the Canary Islands cluster off the west coast of Africa. Plus, the Army’s Logistics Support Vessel General Frank S. Besson spent a week in the Azores before finally making it to the Navy’s base at Souda Bay in Greece.

Mercogliano said such a long stay may indicate the ship had an engineering issue.

A retired Army chief warrant officer who has significant experience in the Army’s watercraft community also told Military.com in an interview Wednesday that “if those boats don’t have multiple major mechanical failures — I mean ‘dead in the water’ mechanical failures — I will be shocked.”

“They’re horrendously maintained. I’ve got videos of these things falling apart,” the retired officer added.

Other Atlantic theatre vessels that could be of use are stuck in Baltimore on the wrong side of the Francis Scott Key bridge collapse.

It is almost as if God is intervening to thwart the Veggie-In-Chief’s efforts to help Islamic aggression.

PEACE 😇
__________

(1) https://www.military.com/daily-news/2024/04/17/navy-ship-slated-help-build-gaza-aid-pier-forced-return-port-experts-warn-of-other-delays.html

The Ukies ought to seek terms with the Z Muscovites.

Listened to a podcast the other day about an archeological dig in Ireland. Mainly medieval bones, before the Normans showed up.

Boomers do run TV and Hollywood.

Are you seriously arguing that young people are misled, but it is still their fault for general degeneracy?, You simultaneously argue that boomers believing Ronald Reagan and Emanuel Cellar’s claim to be the wallet inspector is to be forgiven?

Most young people, like most people of all ages, should not be able to vote. They are horrible on some issues, but when it comes to US foreign policy they are preferred to boomers.

Young people are confused sexually, but I blame the people who invented key parties and/or gleefully participated in decades of “consenting adults” rhetoric. Homosexuals were empowered because of heterosexual degeneracy.

The item for current military operations in the region is probably the most dangerous. US voters should ask themselves if they want to commit $7.3 billion to increase the likelihood of full-scale World War Three.

My preference is that all senior people directly involved in this insanity be immediately arrested for treason and put on trial.

Was the person who mixed the notes a diversity hire?

Did they put “accidentally killed by the hospital” on the death certificate?

There are a lot of those. You really want to avoid hospitals if possible. They are a lot more interested in your money than your health.

The Ukies ought to seek terms with the Z Muscovites.

Russian foreign ministry recently said that the RF won’t negotiate with Kiev puppets, only with their puppeteers.

They are a lot more interested in your money than your health.

Hospitals and non-hospital physicians in the US are interested in your money and nothing else. Your health is a concern only to the extent that you have to be alive to pay bills.

The House approved the bill on “assistance” to Ukraine on Hitler’s birthday. Is someone willing to argue that this was a mere coincidence?

Eric Schmidt is now a diplomat.

https://thehill.com/opinion/international/4602883-ukraine-needs-one-more-year-to-win-and-congress-can-make-that-happen-now/

He should invite the Azov Battalion commanders to his Burning Man camp with their swell outfits.

Have mentioned this before, but resuscitating the elderly is basically a scam. People are brainwashed by constant media portrayals of resuscitation, where it happens quickly and there are absolutely no health consequences.

The reality is that in the elderly it often takes about ten minutes and there is brain damage and other organ damage. Often they will need to be plugged into machines and are objectively not the same person, if they can still speak at all.

Putler likes to dress up too, once in a while…

My work account delivers very different results from my private account as I keep strong boundaries. I even have a household account which delivers DIY advice on cars and house repairs. The way Google dovetails with YouTube and your locations (I take all cookies and allow Google to track my location) can be uncanny or farcical. So far as I know, it doesn’t know what I buy at the Chemist but it knows I’ve been there and not the Newsagent.

Russia has yet to acheive a war aim and is now looking at losing Crimea. Define winning.

Maybe he can get some nice Ukrainian girls to go to Burning Man in full Nazi body paint.

Schmidt is Jewish according to Forbes Israel. I wonder if he is aligned with Chabad?

What is going on with Crimea which makes you think this?

A lot of old people with property get murdered. By inheritors.

The Russians by my estimation will throw away 500,000 KIA before conceding Crimea.

UK hospitals are generally free (NHS), but there are private ones. If you are seriously ill private hospitals may not be as good as NHS, as a private one is always thinking about the money, and emergency care is damn expensive.

…Is someone willing to argue that this was a mere coincidence?

Every coincidence traced far enough back becomes inevitable…:) And they waited until Saturday…

Since Adolf lost why would they go with it? AP has tried to tie the current Drang-nach-Osten to 1920 and Pilsudski…also stupid but at least an attempt to channel success. Linking-up with Nazis is desperate, it is puzzling that they do it: Azov, Canadian Parliament Nazi circus, SS generals grandkids popping up in Germany and Brussels…even Meloni started out as latter-day Mussolini groupie.

They can’t suppress the urge – like Dr.Strangelove’s saluting, it is who they are.

The House approved the bill on “assistance” to Ukraine on Hitler’s birthday. Is someone willing to argue that this was a mere coincidence?

It shows how schizophrenic American politics has become. The bill provides funding for the:

• Immoral, losing cause of Führer Zelensky, enemy of the Jews
• Moral, winning cause of Netanyahu, leader of Palestinian Jews

It probably was coincidence. Was support for Kiev intended as tribute to Hitler? If so, the pairing with anti-Nazi funding to Palestinian Jews clouded the messaging.

PEACE 😇

Russia has made it fairly clear they will use nukes to protect Crimea. Thus, there is no strategy for Kiev aggression that has an outcome they will like.

PEACE 😇

…Eastern Europe has much less immigration. Is it working out much better for them relative to the Anglosphere?

The Central-Eastern Europe is a collection of dependencies – some more independent, some less. Similar to Latin America in the past, even now. Or the way France sees Western Africa.

The east has been where most of the wars and massive destruction happened in the last 200 years. Many of the Western pathologies were recently imported, but we are in the early stages and large parts of the West are in the end-state. Beginnings are always easy – for any system. We are still enjoying the early phase…:)

Battle of the Nations
Norway Greece
Kazakhstan The Ukraine

Will not come close to being necessary for consideration. Phil Own shouldn’t be given too much if any attention.

The other game changer breakthrough claimed is it will write code for you. I suppose that is fine if the code works. If it has a bug (what code does not have bugs?) then you are in the position of debugging somebody else’s code.

There are few tasks I dislike more than debugging another entity’s code.

ATACAMS when they arrive. They can cut Crimean logistics. Hodges has been on about it for since the first Ukrainian counterattack.

Google AI thinks: There are few tasks I dislike more than debugging another entity.

I’ve used Chat GPT @& Bard it for very short pieces of code (less than 100 lines) for the same commonplace tasks. They’ve delivered almost identical results and worked impeccably.

Doubtful, but time will tell. The (((yanks))) will be eager to take out the Kerch bridge as a symbolic gesture. If the Russians are worried about this it may lead them to preemptive attacks on locations were the ATACMS rounds come into theater.

The system knows what you buy if you pay electronically. If you pay by cash it monitors you more carefully in other ways.

Surely every bridge over the Dneiper would be dropped in response.

If the Russians are worried about this it may lead them to preemptive attacks on locations were the ATACMS rounds come into theater.

Possibly. Judging by much higher than before success of Russian strikes the flow of HUMINT from Ukrainian territory has greatly increased lately.

What do you think they do with Gwern who posted on his website his experience buying adderall off Silk Road with Bitcoin?

Surely every bridge over the Dneiper would be dropped in response.

I don’t think so. Most likely communications via the Western border (like bridges in Odessa region, tunnels through Carpathian Mountains, etc.) will be destroyed. The bridges across Dnieper could have been targeted only if the plan was to take the Eastern half of Ukraine and leave the Western half to the vultures. I suspect the plan is to give nothing to the vultures (except maybe the clown and his gang, but that’s slim pickings).

Niall Ferguson, hawkish type, on the Second Cold War.

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2024-04-21/china-russia-iran-axis-is-bad-news-for-trump-and-gop-isolationists

Zbigniew Brzezinski, President Jimmy Carter’s national security adviser, in his 1997 book The Grand Chessboard:

“Potentially, the most dangerous scenario would be a grand coalition of China, Russia, and perhaps Iran, an “antihegemonic” coalition united not by ideology but by complementary grievances. It would be reminiscent in scale and scope of the challenge once posed by the Sino-Soviet bloc, though this time China would likely be the leader and Russia the follower.”

it matters a lot if China and Russia are united, as opposed to at each other’s throats. Their current unity is a real headache for the US and its allies, who find themselves in the situation — envisioned more than a century ago — of Nicholas Spykman’s “Rimland,” trying to contain Halford Mackinder’s vast Eurasian “Heartland.” Then as now, there are not just two groupings, but three, because a significant number of countries would prefer to be nonaligned rather than have to choose a side.

So what are the biggest differences between Cold War I and Cold War II?

First, China is a much bigger economic contender than the Soviet Union ever was. Second, the West is economically entangled with China, through a vast web of supply chains, in a way we never were with the USSR. Third, we are much weaker in terms of manufacturing capacity. With China flooding the world with cheap “green” stuff, the West has no option but to revive protectionism and industrial policy, turning the economic strategy clock back to the 1970s, too. Climate adviser John Podesta made that clear last week at Bloomberg’s BNEF Summit. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen complained last month that Chinese “excess capacity … in ‘new’ industries like solar, EVs, and lithium-ion batteries” was “hurt[ing] American firms and workers, as well as firms and workers around the world.”

Fourth, US fiscal policy is on a completely unsustainable path. To run a 7% deficit at a time of full employment is, to put it mildly, not what the macroeconomics textbooks recommend. More importantly, as the Congressional Budget Office has just pointed out, the relentless growth of the federal debt in public hands relative to gross domestic product — from 99% this year to a projected 166% by 2054 — will inevitably constrain future administrations, for the simple reason that an inexorably rising share of revenues will have to go on servicing the debt.

What Niall Ferguson needs to do is to go back to the Grand Chessboard. Why did it become so important to the United States to detach Ukraine from Russia? Because “without Ukraine, Russia ceases to be a powerful imperial state, spanning Europe and Asia. America’s global primacy is directly dependent on how long and how effectively its preponderance on the Eurasian continent is sustained.”

According to the Chinese Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, last year Chinese shipyards built 47.3 percent of ships made around the world, received 55.2 percent of new orders, and had 49 percent of holding orders. That’s a radical shift from the early 1900s, when British shipyards produced almost 60 percent of merchant ships.

In the early 1950s, Britain and Western Europe still dominated shipbuilding for the global market. But since then, and especially since the 1980s, globalization has taken its predictable course. By 2010, only about 3 percent of all ships were made in the U.K. and Europe; after China, South Korea and Japan built the most. Today, the EU reports it accounts for 6 percent of civilian shipbuilding, while the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development reports that China, South Korea, and Japan together build 94 percent of the world’s civilian ships.

https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/04/03/global-shipping-china-dependence-korea-japan-britain/

Cult vibrations.

https://philosophybear.substack.com/p/altruistic-kidney-donation-initiators

For those of you who have not heard this, Scott Alexander set the all time Virtue Signal World’s Record last year donating one of his kidneys to a stranger. It is possible that this will be like Cy Young’s career victories a record that will never be broken.

I don’t know of that person. I think the information is being collected automatically. What is being done with it is a different question.

I’m still in the Bitcoin skeptic camp. I think it is a nice idea hyped into a scam of some sort, but I hope it works out.

I think the significance and importance of Ukraine to Russia goes beyond Empire. If Ukraine had stayed neutral and fraternal with Russia I don’t think this mess would have happened; at the least it doesn’t seem inevitable. An analogy to what occurred might be the difference between marrying the sister as opposed to kidnapping and raping her. In the first case she moves away from the family partially into a new expanded family as a natural process. In the second everything is wrecked and the family will risk their lives to save her and protect their values.

China’s main external weakness is energy, at least for now. At some point she may be adequately nuclear powered to reduce this weakness. In the mean time, Russia is her natural partner with protected energy transfer routes. China may eventually grow and claim as much of far-Eastern Russia as she wants. The challenge for Russia is to be strong enough to stave this off without losing her Russianness. Some people suggest the PRC might be vulnerable to economic upheaval leading to chaos. I doubt this could break the system.

For naive people such as myself this is one of the most revelatory documents ever posted on the internet:

https://gwern.obormot.net/silk-road

It had been awhile since I read it. I forgot he got more than just adderall. His website aesthetics are in the top 1% although this is highly subjective.

SnotBot, a new way to harvest whale-derived rootstock for bioweapons.

He has nice quotes.

I can’t see China pinching Far Eastern Russia back until the United States is completely powerless, perhaps not this century. China knows the United States elites have finally woken up to their fast-vanishing world power, and that if the US and its European colonies could break Russia, China would be next in line.

Once China dominates the globe, who knows?

“China’s main external weakness is energy, at least for now.”

You would think, then, that the last thing an intelligent foreign policy would do is to push the world energy giant into her arms?

The North Atlantic right whale could still have its proportionate revenge on us, killing off a similar percentage of people.
________
Have always thought of Robinson Crusoe as the most famous early novel. What is surprising is that it was a trilogy, with the second and third books written quickly to capitalize on the success of the first, so not disimilar to modern entertainment.

You would think, then, that the last thing an intelligent foreign policy would do is to push the world energy giant into her arms?

Intelligent foreign policy would never do that. Idiotic foreign policy did.

…the last thing an intelligent foreign policy would do is to push the world energy giant into her arms

The West had so much hubris they thought by controlling Russia’s energy resources they could corner China. It worked out differently: Russia left with no other choice went fully with China. For the first time in 500 years West is not the dominant global power.

The Rim has been fighting the Heartland for thousands of years, they usually lose or it is a stalemate. Grabbing Ukraine was the last realistic chance for the West to prevail. It has failed – all they are doing now is postponing the inevitable.

The smarter Westies would give a lot to go back to 2010-15 and avoid making the catastrophic over-reach mistakes they made. But it doesn’t work that way.

You would think, then, that the last thing an intelligent foreign policy would do is to push the world energy giant into her arms?

Is it lack of intelligence? Or, deliberate malice? The latter seems far more likely.

IslamoGloboHomo leaders want to make Judeo-Christian workers suffer. The European Empire, and its DC puppet, intentionally drive up energy prices. Replacing Russian gas with expensive, unreliable wind & solar is not a “bug”, its a “feature”.

Ask yourself — Why do the Islamophile authoritarians of Brussels want to do away with internal combustion engines? Any car can anonymously refuel at any station. What can they do with EV’s? They can prevent you from charging at vehicle identifying stations if you left your “15 Minute City” without authorization. Or, if your online social presence is too Christian.

PEACE 😇

Is it lack of intelligence? Or, deliberate malice?

You don’t need elaborate conspiracy theories when simple stupidity explains everything satisfactorily.

The fat lady has not yet sung. The soft power remains in the hand of Silly Valley. You may have given up on the Star Trekkers but the world has not yet done so. Sam Altman was the star at WEF and bitcoin is 65K.

Anatoly Karlin of all people is now promoting anal sex.

Robinson reads a little bit like an economics primer.

And the venture capital REIT company’s want to buy up all the current homeowners homes so they can drive up rents in a new feudal land baron / peasant system, God bless America!

You don’t need elaborate conspiracy theories when simple stupidity explains everything satisfactorily.

Stupidity would be 50%/50%. Or, possibly 66%/33%.

The performance of SJW Globalist elites is 95%+ against Judeo-Christian workers. That has to be more than simple stupidity.

PEACE 😇

Robinson Crusoe is the central character in the beginning of Mises’ Human Action.

…The fat lady has not yet sung.

That’s the thing, the fat lady actually never comes – she is only a linear chimera in your mind, a narrative to live instead of living in reality. People do that, it is easier that way, they often have multiple narratives to avoid the damn reality…one way it may be relevant is when older fat ladies take over a society, singing or not that society is finished. It doesn’t work – even monkeys know it, they would laugh…

West is f..ed, they shot themselves in the foot and when that became obvious, they shot a few more times into their own ranks just to make sure. Soft power is basically cultural attraction – yes, it is still somewhat present but it has peaked a few years back. Movies got nothing on blood.

The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent if you don’t respect my fat lady analogy. Go ahead and short America. If you dare. I am tempted but I don’t yet have the balls.

Have you read Soros’ Alchemy of Finance?

Wilkie Collins had a really funny character in The Moonstone who treated it like his Bible.

Anyone yet seen this?

It’s worth watching twice to see how Beevor hems and haws.

Fascinating how Myrie is so clued in about Bucha. They discuss mass slaughter of civvies by Germany, Spanish civil war and Russian civil war. Then they discuss Bucha. Was this filmed before the Jews flattened Gaza or after though?

I get a sense that a former Army officer like Beevor doesn’t think any Russian ever did anything right and Myrie wants to have his knighthood and eat it too.

The DNC is a criminal entity going berserk after Trump and his supporters. They are going out of the realm of civilized political opposition of an adversary and resorting to dishonesty and criminality. The DNC huge appetite for power is never matched by their nonexistent accomplishments.

Trump is a threat to their sovereign political reign. He was twice impeached by concocted schemes and in fact, in one case, for asking investigating Biden corruption and nepotism in Ukraine. Ironically VP Biden’s withholding the US aid to Ukraine if the investigator of Burisma is not fired, despite being documented, was ignored for impeachment – pathetic.

The Russian response must be resolute and target snake head in Kiev arena.

Defoe is just as prominent in that Shuchard book as Swift and Fielding. If I remember right Defoe was Whig and Swift was Tory. All the progressive literati were not on the same side and some of them were mortal enemies. Also: Swift (pseudonymously published) was known to be with the opposition but they never could get solid proof to put him away. They relentlessly spied on him and his publisher was locked up in the Tower of London for a period. I have to read that book again I enjoyed it so much. It is 725 pages and the inertia to open the thing up is immense.

Yes progressive literati were in league with the government as often as opposed. Politics is inscrutable.

Success breeds success, more people more likely to help if they know the Russians are coming, but I expect the greatly increased satellite coverage helps, as well as attrition of AD, allowing drones to surveil deep behind the lines.

West is f..ed…

I can see it in racial terms, if ‘the West’ means the Latin, Germanic and Celtic racial groups. Almost certain that due to low birth rates and race mixing linked to immigration these groups will decline in size and relative power.

But if the West doesn’t have that racial meaning what Emil was saying could be right.

The DNC is a criminal entity going berserk after Trump and his supporters. They are going out of the realm of civilized political opposition of an adversary and resorting to dishonesty and criminality.

So you would describe Trump as someone that stays within civilized realms and avoids criminality?

You do realize he is in court for committing fraud when trying to pay off a porn star? And that he is facing felonies for trying to destroy Federal evidence?

The DNC and Trump deserve each other. Trump should switch back to being a Democrat.

Trump is a NYC real estate con that was a better fit for the NYC Democrat sludge machine.

What’s the story on greatly increased satellite coverage?

It is funny how Defoe was placed in stocks or jail a few times and then became a government agent and was assigned to unify Scotland and England.

I wonder if it was just propaganda and spying or whether he was entrusted to pay any bribes.

But it is remarkable how many famous novelists through history wrote government propaganda. Sometimes, it seems like all of them.

I think it continues to this day. Is there anything the government would disagree about in Harry Potter, etc?

If it’s true that congress was responsible for enabling Ukrainian “Führer Zelensky, enemy of the Jews” to continue his “offensive war” against Putler’s Russia, then why do you sit so quietly about the person who enabled this whole thing to go down, Donald Trump?

Mike Whitney does not seem to buy the kind of crap that you’ve been peddling here now for many months, about the superiority of Trump. and is able to clearly assign guilt where it belongs:

The man who is most responsible for the $95 billion giveaway to Ukraine and Israel, is the same guy who pretends to oppose America’s “wasteful” foreign wars. Donald Trump. It was Trump who consulted with Speaker Mike Johnson about the contents of the Ukraine aid package, just as it was Trump who concocted the idea of issuing loans instead of dispersing the standard welfare handout. It was also Trump who said:

“I stand with the Speaker, (Mike Johnson)” after which he added that Johnson is doing “a very good job.”

Sometimes, a picture really is worth 1,000 words.

Is it weird that there are people in Israel with the given name Israel?

Any similar examples in other countries?

If you take some of these high schools that are very black, I wonder to what extent having all those military age men together (really anyone 14+ or even younger) is basically completely new historically, outside of actual military conflicts, where they might have mobilized several villages together.

300-400 would have been a pretty respectable war band back in the day, even if it doesn’t come close to what the Zulu could organize. IMO, most of the conflicts would have been on that level, rather than with bigger armies.

Probably true of a lot of places outside of Africa too. Large parts of Europe. High school really is a weird environment in evolutionary terms.

The dynamic duo, Trump and Johnson, mocking and laughing at loyal footsoldier kreminstoogeA123. He should take this time to polish up his “Islamo-Soros” conspiracy theories and quit waiving his pom-toms in front of Trump. 🙂

I am shorting most the world, we are in a periodic downturn. A few places stand out but they are difficult to invest in – the logistics are not available and uncertain. US will do better than Europe as the dominant G7 core power. The dependencies will suffer more: Germany, UK, Italy…

The market can stay irrational longer…

The market is irrational, it has to be – it is a mental concept that exists only as a Plato’s cave with shadows. We made it up as a tool and then deified it.

I have not read Soros but I saw him speak. He wasn’t that smart, just obsessive and weirdly bitter. He may be bi-polar.

…if the West doesn’t have that racial meaning

Careful, if the West has no racial or ethnic meaning it doesn’t exist. All power is ultimately traced back to relations and identity. We are tribal, small tribes and big tribes – but power is always organized by blood relations, real or imagined.

It is hidden by layers of other stuff: alliances, rituals, resources, ideology, myths. Power is just the aim to dominate – Rome, colonials, church, it was all about that: to control others.

If you strip the Latin, Germanic, Celtic ‘racial’ core from the West it ceases to exist – it transforms into something new, maybe better, but more likely given the components worse. Sunak is a hired impostor – given the likes of Scholz, Macron, Biden, the transformation was probably overdue. Let’s see what they can do with it.

I get a sense that a former Army officer like Beevor doesn’t think any Russian ever did anything right and Myrie wants to have his knighthood and eat it too.

Nothing new. Propaganda is always a pack of lies (that’s why nobody ever used times table for propaganda purposes – it’s true) and propagandists are paid in many ways by those who benefit by the propaganda. If the paymasters are powers-that-be, the pay is generous.

AK is trying to uplift the cow, so that it will rule over Indians (and by extension much of the Anglophone world.)

Will Buttercup have frickin’ laser beams attached to her head? DrE wants to know.

TV tower in Kharkov was destroyed by Russian mid-range guided cruise missile X-59. There is no more TV in Kharkov.

IMO, biogenineered cow-based global conquest would involve them secreting some addictive substance out of their mammary glands, sort of like ketracel white from DS9.

Of course, if we are talking specifically about Indians, it could be other pathways.

The lights are going out for the Nato-in-Ukraine show. They just got some funding for a sequel, about 1/5 of what they spent on the original. That will go over great.

Can the Fed figure out how to issue virtual Ukie soldiers? The electronic ‘fiat money’ stuff is clearly not going to do it. It is all physical now.

It is strange how Bush’s “axis of evil” which was an unlikely grouping of marginalized countries Iraq, Iran, and NK, two of which had deep antagonisms, has been transformed by more recent Neocons into a strategic alliance of space and nuclear powers almost tantamount to the full continent of Eurasia.

Is Mike Johnson the dumbest speaker ever? (Age adjusted)

Can the Fed figure out how to issue virtual Ukie soldiers?

Ukraine is toast, but this “aid” is not about Ukraine. Lion’s share of the money called “aid” to Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan is going to the US MIC. Well-placed aborigines in those countries will be allowed to steal some (that’s what they serve for), but most of the money will be stolen right here in the US. The countries that are ostensibly aided are no more than fig leaves for the greedy MIC thieves.

The US MIC is a textbook example of a parasite killing the host. Considering how rotten the US political system is (this includes Trump = Biden made obvious by this deal), this is like stage 4 cancer, no longer curable by any means. Libtard BS along with MAGA BS are just fairly ineffective painkillers for the dying patient. The main problem is not that Ukraine is toast, but that the US is toast.

All power is ultimately traced back to relations and identity. We are tribal, small tribes and big tribes – but power is always organized by blood relations, real or imagined.

The relationship between a mother or father and their child may be the prototype of political authority more broadly. Then one of the most basic purposes of politics is to secure the conditions for the perpetuation of families. But in the context of larger human communities these relations don’t seem to be the same as familial ones, and political authority in these contexts is not identical to parental authority.

Power can be also defined as the ability to act, exerting influence on the external world. I don’t think it is always entails domination (this sounds like a postmodern understanding of power?). A mother or father obviously has power over their children, but the relationship is only considered one of domination when it is dysfunctional. With these larger scale human institutions, empires, the churches etc. they tend to come into existence to manage large scale political communities. The desire for these communities seems to follow from the idea that their existence is a good, as much as the domination aspect that is involved in them.

If you strip the Latin, Germanic, Celtic ‘racial’ core from the West it ceases to exist…

It seems to be more than the racial factor alone; if the Latin, Germanic and Celtic population remained fairly large, but substantial parts of it converted to Islam or for some reason adopted Arabic language (similar to the Mozarabes in Iberia during Islamic rule but on a bigger scale), then it feels like the West would also be in danger.

As it is the West has gone through some significant changes already. Looking at the genealogy of the concept, it looks like it originates with the Western half of the Roman Empire, then switched to meaning Latin Christendom and later the ‘Enlightenment’ civilisation and culture that originated in England, France and the Netherlands. The most recent manifestation would be the sphere of American political leadership and hegemony that emerged after 1945.

The original Bush’s axis of evil was a scream in the dark to find enemies. It dawned on the elite that without proper enemies the edifice can’t be maintained: financial overstretch, lack of actual work and real production, centralized lying media.

The evil ones had to be enlarged to make it credible. Russia or China were the only choices, but they didn’t originally plan for both – they miscalculated and it makes fighting the conjured up evils almost hopeless (neos are not very smart).

Is Mike Johnson the dumbest speaker ever?

Probably. He looks like an earnest optometrist. But he has Jesus to fall back on. When the Second Coming finally arrives, he will be all right, halleluja…Technically it will be the First Coming, but who wants to quibble…

Yet migration to Euro America climbs constantly.

New topic, maybe Anatoly or Ron will weigh in.

Tucker Carlson is unequivocally saying that he believes the US government is in contact with aliens. I don’t keep up with the aliens topic so this caught me by surprise.

…US MIC is a textbook example of a parasite killing the host.

MIC is one of the biggest but the West is swarming with parasites of all kind, most not as dangerous. Surplus prosperity encourages parasites to thrive. Check-out the late 18th century French ‘privileges’, or Rome and the later stages of commie-stagnation. Everyone wants to be outside of the nitty-gritty competitive economy (they lie when they deny it), and rent-seeking is the safest profession. One Patriot is $1.5 billion, what do you think is its real profit margin? It sure beats selling macchiatos…

The main problem is not that Ukraine is toast, but that the US is toast.

You got that right. It wouldn’t be the first time that a great power self-destructed over a maniacal obsession with pride and not losing face. I still think most of the West could retire intact from the Ukie fiasco. Some won’t be able to because they got into it too deep.

West used to pride itself on its resilience – the secret weapon for Rome and later colonial powers. They would fall and get up, again and again. Maybe they still got it.

But the Ukies are toast. I will miss them – their yearning was so sincere one almost has sympathy. But they have been too emotional and clumsy in the implementation Hint: wait with massacres until after you win and don’t celebrate it. Say it was a “mistake”.

Ukraine is toast, but this “aid” is not about Ukraine. Lion’s share of the money called “aid” to Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan is going to the US MIC.

And that’s how they got so many Republicans on board.

What Ukraine needs the most is artillery and ATACMs which are on the way.

This was a classic pork sandwich.

Biden wanted 13 billion in military defense for Ukraine. He didn’t ask for 61.

Makes more sense to give them what they need and then re-assess after the election.

Moscow Marjorie clearly has a sandy vagina over the bill but no one cares. Trump didn’t make the call and let it go. The MAGA losers were sidelined and don’t want to face the fact that Trump didn’t back them.

The US MIC is a textbook example of a parasite killing the host.

Are you going to give us the annual “Dollar is doomed” speech with that statement?

Ukraine is still getting over 100 F-16s from various countries so it’s looking like a great year to die for your dictator.

I don’t know what war you are observing but Russia is winning the one in Ukraine. 100 F-16’s? Where? I have not seen any in action. The money is not very relevant and more western weapons only delay the inevitable defeat.

Or do you think Kiev still has a shot to win? Everything else is noise of no importance in the long run. There are only two ways Kiev-Nato could stop the defeat: pro-Western liberals staging a coup in Moscow (fat chance) or going nuclear. Both are unlikely.

The main unknown is how far will Russia go and what will they leave of the pre-war Ukraine – almost certainly neutral. And how many will die before it is formalized.

If you think that a few weeks delay is worth printing $60 billion in “new money” you are welcome. It makes no difference with $34 trillion in the US debt. How can it be paid back? At some point ($40 trillion?) the foreign buyers of the US bonds will quietly disappear or you will have to hold a gun to them to keep on buying.

It is not about what you or I think, this is simply math. That $34 trillion is real dent – people count on it as investments, their wealth, etc…if it loses value there will be a hell to pay. Don’t be so blase about the exploding US debt – it could come back to bite you.

I don’t know what war you are observing

Arguing with a pre-programmed thing? Try a philosophical dispute with a lamp-post. It might be more receptive to the reality and your arguments.

Are you going to give us the annual “Dollar is doomed” speech with that statement?

Already happened. Dollar stores have gone the way of five and dimes. The dollar is literally worth shit now. You can’t even get 3 first class stamps for $2.

There’s room to get worse, but not really room to get better.

What will it be worth, after the Tubman twenty debuts, and the Chinese, Indians, and other people see it?

BTW, do you know that the most common bill in circulation now is actually the $100? (The current highest legal tender denomination.) How long until they add another zero? Perhaps, digital is a workaround.

Sher Singh’s car spotted:

My support for Trump is fading…that doesn’t mean that I condone the Democrats for criminally using DOJ and their media for harassing Trump so that he would fail his 2016 winning agenda and his 2024 reelection .

The support for him is fading because he is sleeping in bed with Israel. The USA will never be crime-free for their unconditional support of reckless Israel. A character – that is using concocted victimhood for their advantage, while perpetrating the same crimes on Palestinians – cannot be supported.

My support for Trump is fading…

The only thing I saw going for Trump was that libtard scum hated him. The latest “aid deal” shows that Trump is shit, while Biden is a corrupt demented shit. Same difference.

He explicitly says not aliens, celestial beings. Spoke to a cosmonaut who talked about the weird and wonderful phenomena he saw in space, that couldn’t be explained.

Today is the third day the fire ignited by a Russian strike is raging in Yuzhnyi (means Southern) port in Odessa region. The firefighters came almost at once, but…

I was talking about power in the context of states or empires. There are other contexts, but for a country to have power is to dominate others – tell them what to do, how to live, who can be their leaders, etc…The West (lately mostly US) had that power for a few previous decades all around the world. E.g. Yeltsin was their approved guy or the US businessmen had effective global immunity.

It has ended – the resistance to the Western power has won. It is too early to see how exactly will the world organize now.

the West originated with the Western half of the Roman Empire, then switched to meaning Latin Christendom and later the ‘Enlightenment’…in England, France, Netherlands. The most recent manifestation would be the sphere of American political leadership and hegemony that emerged after 1945.

True, but you skipped over the German part that was quite important. Some of the most “Western” memes are associated with Germany… 🙂

If the West transforms into a post-Christian mixed population hodge-podge of everyone from around the world – it seems to want that – it will be a transformation too far, it will not be the West any more. Bolivia, Mumbai, Dubai or Singapore are not Western no matter how much they try. The key is that once enough of the ethnic continuity is gone the civilization changes – not necessarily for the better.

I don’t know what war you are observing but Russia is winning the one in Ukraine.

I don’t see how Russia is winning when Putin stated that the war was needed to stop NATO from expanding East which already happened. That was the clearly defined justification of the war made by Putin in his invasion speech. I will hold Putin to his word and not to the constantly moving goalposts of his fans.

Lavrov the other day was talking about the need for a demilitarized zone between the two countries which shows that a march on Kiev is highly unlikely.

That would put Ukraine closer to qualifying for NATO and Putin at best would get an Eastern chunk which by his own statements for the war means he cannot win. That would be closer to an armistice.

I hold Putin by his own clearly outlined goals for the war and can source them if anyone would like. He described NATO as a geographic threat and NATO has already expanded East via Finland.

If he can somehow talk Finland into leaving then I will reassess.

100 F-16’s? Where? I have not seen any in action.

Most of the F-16s have not arrived. Denmark and the Netherlands alone will be donating over 50. There are surplus F-16s in all NATO countries. We have over 1000 of them.

If you think that a few weeks delay is worth printing $60 billion in “new money” you are welcome.

You can call it funny money but it really doesn’t make a difference since the 155mm shells that fall on Russians will be real.

That is what Ukraine needs and it is on the way.

That’s in addition to the Czechs providing them with another 1.5 million:
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-16/czech-plan-may-bring-1-5-million-shells-to-ukraine-premier-says

The main unknown is how far will Russia go and what will they leave of the pre-war Ukraine – almost certainly neutral.

They’ve already offered to allow the current lines which shows that Putin defenders who hope for a capitulation of Ukraine will most likely be disappointed. All evidence suggests that Putin wants to take the rest of the former DPR (it no longer exists as a Republic as Putin promised) and he is unlikely to try for Odessa. A Gallipoli style attack needed to happen by now. His generals most likely concluded it was too risky due to NATO satellites but then Putin has called for stupid plans that ignored his generals like the Kiev invasion. Unlikely but entirely possible since Putin is a lazy ego maniac and didn’t even bother to learn the military lessons of WW1.

How can it be paid back? At some point ($40 trillion?) the foreign buyers of the US bonds will quietly disappear or you will have to hold a gun to them to keep on buying.

I’m not a fan of deficit spending but they can always cut the military budget if the bond rating drops. A 5% across the board cut for all Federal agencies would also do it.

If this was my bill I would have given $1 to Israel in the form of a day old bagel and doubled the amount of artillery to Ukraine long with all of our ATACMs. 10 billion would be plenty.

Yes that axis of can actually fight back and can’t be easily bullied.

My support for Trump is fading…that doesn’t mean that I condone the Democrats for criminally using DOJ and their media for harassing Trump so that he would fail his 2016 winning agenda and his 2024 reelection .

I don’t have to pick between a dishonest real estate con artist and a dishonest media.

Trump not only had the chance to become a populist alternative to both parties but he actually had the power to change the media. Instead he became the very type of swamp creature he railed against.

I will call it like I see it and I will shrug if it pisses off people on both sides. I’m used to it.

I will consider how I vote when we are in September. A lot could happen between now and then. Trump could be in prison and I also wouldn’t put it past the DNC to pull Biden at the last minute as part of a scheme. Let’s not forget they were actually caught cheating with Hillary.

The support for him is fading because he is sleeping in bed with Israel.

Americans want a ceasefire and Trump is on the side of sending Israel military aid. Why do they need military aid? They are fighting Arabs in tank tops. They haven’t even asked for aid. Our Rapture Ready MAGA Republicans are nucking futs and Trump is making a huge mistake in siding with them instead of going after independents.

Rapture Ready Nucking Futs from the commenter who gleefully posts images of Russian infantry getting incinerated by American supplied arms.

Can you give any details?

https://www.eurasiareview.com/23042024-alexander-motyl-is-dead-wrong-about-jd-vance-and-russia-ukraine-oped/

I like what they did to Private Vasquez @0:30:

It’s literally the majority of Eurasia. That’s who Mike Johnson is trying to antagonize.

Will it grow vastly again in another 22 years? Would probably require O’Neill cylinders to grow proportionately.

I get the sense that the original actress playing the Latina character around the push for amnesty was a Sephardic/Ashkenazi combo. But the wiki article doesn’t specifically say, other than to mention Russia, Morocco, and Brazil.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jenette_Goldstein

In any case, she clearly had a tan or spray tan when compared to the character she played in T2. (John Connor’s adoptive mother)

Goldstein initially thought the film was about immigration and arrived at her audition for the part of a tough-as-nails space marine in a short skirt and high heels. As a result, Hudson’s “illegal aliens” line was added to the script, as an in-joke.

https://avp.fandom.com/wiki/Jenette_Goldstein

Rapture Ready Nucking Futs from the commenter who gleefully posts images of Russian infantry getting incinerated by American supplied arms.

I support aiding Ukraine but not Israel. The Rapture Ready crowd is split on Ukraine and Johnson only signed off after being offered a huge check for Israel. Ukraine asked for aid and by the 1994 Budapest Memorandum we are obligated to support them. Israel does not need aid and in fact has a budget surplus thanks to cheap Russian oil that is courtesy of the dwarf king. Your dwarf hero could pull the reigns on Israel at any time but chooses to shrug and make money. Isn’t that right?

Are you offended by seeing Russians killed? That is what war looks like. Do you prefer a disconnected Victorian take on life where you can isolate yourself from reality?

The Midget of Moscow could end the killing at any time by going back to his borders.

Maybe take it up with him and not someone that posts videos that show the result of his hopelessly insecure ego.

I guess reality is too offensive for you. Ironic how common that is on an open forum.

There are other contexts, but for a country to have power is to dominate others…

It seems that the US has been able to wield power and influence, because people found their economic and social model desirable and wanted their investment. When the US has tried to use coercion, domination in the obvious sense, it has been much less successful (Vietnam, Iraq, Afghanistan).

It has ended – the resistance to the Western power has won.

This sort of sounds like they were fighting a partisan war against ‘Western power’. But the Chinese ‘resistance’ has been successful by opening up to trade with the West and entwinning its economy with the US, i.e. China vs. the US looks as much like business rivalry or possibly a turf war between gangsters as it does a guerilla war of the past.

True, but you skipped over the German part that was quite important. Some of the most “Western” memes are associated with Germany…

Like Marxism? The Germans did contribute some of the great Enlightenment thinkers, Kant, Leibniz, Hegel and later Marx. There was another side to Germany’s relationship with the Western (French) Enlightenment that was more hostile:

The (German) Romantic mentality irresistibly impelled toward the remaining possibility: the definition of the West as the anti-model, the incarnation of evil, of all the values of Aufklarung that Romanticism rejected for its own reasons.

Bolivia, Mumbai, Dubai or Singapore are not Western no matter how much they try.

I think Bolivia has been semi-Western since Spanish colonisation. I would say those others can’t be Western because they are part of separate civilisations (Islamic, Hindu, East Asian) and so far have only sought to incorporate some Western elements.

I agreed earlier that the West will be diminished by the growth of the influence of these civilisations within it and the shrinking of the Germanic, Latin etc. groups. It could break up the current West as European identity is redefined in opposition to Islamic and Sub-Saharan African, something that shouldn’t be such a big issue on the other side of the Atlantic. At the same time I still doubt that the concept of the West is reducible to the members of the three racial groups that have been and remain its substrate.

Would this confirm Out-of-China or refute it?

https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.04.18.590145v1

Mike Johnson is trying to antagonize all of Eurasia? Europe is rather solidly within the pro-Ukraine camp, and China is gleefully sitting on the sidelines watching Russia self immolate, giving Russia just enough to keep it on life support. Last I heard, Russia’s GDP wasn’t even as large as Italy’s. China will maintain its overlord status, especially as Russia’s wartime economy starts to dwindle. And all that China needs to do in order to maintain or improve its status is absolutely nothing. I’m guessing that China feels that Russia has a ways to go yet in order to be completely decimated.

…the war was needed to stop NATO from expanding East which already happened

Nato expanding to Ukraine was stopped. A clear win for Russia for now. You are hiding in the consolation of Finland that was already de facto in Nato. Maybe you can talk Austria into joining…

they offered to allow the current lines

They didn’t, it is the West begging for a ceasefire by desperate “leaks”. You are one gullible guy. Russia has not since ‘Stambul in 2022 offered to freeze the lines. They explicitly said that they will not agree to it. So why do you lie?

The demilitarized zone means no Nato and no weapons – Russia will make it as big as they can handle. Before it is defined your silly speculations and just feel-good hopes. You may be disappointed, I very much doubt that even Lviv would be in Nato. Get real, you are losing.

Czechs providing them with another 1.5 million…Czech plan to…

Maybe 10% of that will actually happen. Czechs “plan” but nothing ever happens. Stop hallucinating, we know our brown-nosing Czechs better than anyone…:) General Pavel was a solid commie, his dad was the main Soviet cheerleader, the head of the Czech commie military intelligence – leopards never change their spots, the Czech spot has something to do with pointless brown-nosing. They never deliver.

they can always cut the military budget if the bond rating drops. A 5% across the board cut for all Federal agencies would also do it.

It wouldn’t do it, the debt is growing by half trillion per quarter. You are not good with numbers – 1 trillion interest is the same as the military budget and 5% cut would only save $350 million (only discretionary can be cut). The numbers just aren’t there. You can default or have two-digit inflation for 5-10 years – both option would seriously undermine US ability to sell bonds. You are stuck. The only way US can keep issuing debt is with military force – and the only people left to do it to are the allies, Germany, Belgium, Japan…that’s the crazy irony of the situation. You screwed up.

Mike Johnson is trying to antagonize all of Eurasia?

Exaggeration for affect.

Technically, he is trying to antagonize most of the supercontinent of Eurasia, even if you include places like Japan and Indonesia.

With frontage on the Baltic, the Black Sea, the Persian Gulf, the Pacific and Arctic Oceans. Essentially contiguous, if you count Caspian transport. Over 1.6 billion people, even if he rhetorically tries to reduce it to Xi and Putin.

Countries with MIRVS and thermonuclear weapons and space programs. With a bigger economy than the US has and more manufacturing capacity.

Why do it? Well, he seems to be a Neocon. I imagine it was because he wanted to ban TikTok or something.

Why do it?

I thought that he explained his motivation quite well. After being privy to some intel reports, he felt that Ukraine was becoming dangerously short on ammo etc; and he didn’t want to be known as the guy that stiffed Ukraine. Apparently, Trump was also under the influence of such information and gave Johnson the green light to go ahead. The rest, as they say, is already history.

felt that Ukraine was becoming dangerously short on ammo etc;

If he were speaker of the Verkhovna Rada that might explain why he ignored existential problems in America like the border and runaway spending, to vote for more Ukrainian arms.

But wouldn’t suffice to explain why he used the term “axis of evil” to connect Russia, China, and Iran and voted to give away billions to Israel.

It almost makes one nostalgic for the times that EEs were trying to foment a Chinese invasion of Russia.

Nato expanding to Ukraine was stopped. A clear win for Russia for now.

Ukraine didn’t qualify for NATO and wasn’t applying so that isn’t a win. Nothing has changed.

You are hiding in the consolation of Finland that was already de facto in Nato.

I’m not hiding anything.

There is no such thing as de facto NATO. You’re either in or not. You don’t get the defensive benefits if you are not in. You can be invaded and you do not have the ability to call article 5 which is the most important part.

Putin described a threat of “missiles on the border” which is geographic. I will go by his word and not a forum poster fanboy.

I hold politicians to their word and Putin clearly described a geographic threat.

Here is a quote from him:
“We have made it clear that Nato’s move to the east is unacceptable,” he said. “The United States is standing with missiles on our doorstep. Is it an excessive requirement not to install shock systems at our house? How would the Americans react if missiles were placed at the border with Canada or Mexico?”

He not only described it as geographic threat but used an American/Canadian analogy.

They didn’t, it is the West begging for a ceasefire by desperate “leaks”.

You believe the West is begging for a ceasefire while loading up Ukraine with new weapons and talking about what they will get in November? Does that make sense to you?

Russia has not since ‘Stambul in 2022 offered to freeze the lines. They explicitly said that they will not agree to it. So why do you lie?

Russia hinted that they would accept an agreement whereby the current lines stand and that includes Crimea. Maybe try using Google before calling me a liar. You obviously try to live in a bubble and this is in fact old news. Russia in fact referred to them as “new territories” which actually contradicts their claim of them actually being Russian. Putin in fact called them conquests. Do I need to Google that for you as well? Are they conquests or historical Russian territory?

The demilitarized zone means no Nato and no weapons – Russia will make it as big as they can handle.

If Putin takes a chunk of Ukraine but Finland remains in NATO then he can’t win as defined by his own terms. Sane people will agree as Putin used plain language when describing his justification for the war.

Maybe 10% of that will actually happen. Czechs “plan” but nothing ever happens. Stop hallucinating, we know our brown-nosing Czechs better than anyone

You are suggesting I am hallucinating for citing a foreign source directly? Do you know what hallucinating means?

They never deliver.

Well you’re wrong and again trying to live in a bubble.

The Czechs have sent 38 tanks, 55 armored vehicles and 13 self-propelled howitzers. That is more than most countries.
https://www.rferl.org/a/czech-ukraine-military-aid/32284650.html

If you want to hope and wish that it won’t happen then go ahead. It’s wishful thinking and we will see if it works out for you.

The Czechs never wanted to be under the rule of Moscow just like the rest of the USSR. Maybe someday the Russians will learn to be nicer to their neighbors. Probably not if history is a guide.

But wouldn’t suffice to explain why he used the term “axis of evil” to connect Russia, China, and Iran and voted to give away billions to Israel.

His explanation on the Newsmax channel was that the US has a biblical admonition to stand with Israel.

Rep. Chuck Edwards (R-NC), for his part, denounced Putin as murderous Marxist Socialist dictator.

The reasonings were varied but they all revealed a high intellectual level among the member of the House.

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Possibly. Judging by much higher than before success of Russian strikes the flow of HUMINT from Ukrainian territory has greatly increased lately.

Well it’s inevitable that mid-long range strikes is going to be attempted against us from Ukrop territory by the west. They have been doing this, with limited effect and non-existent tactical benefit, against liberated territory and Crimea and of course I don’t like it, but these are the current “rules” – inevitable attempts on our pre-2014 state can not have those same rules

Hopefully we will intercept them but either way – any missile strike into Russia from their weapons, whatever “deniability”BS onto the Ukronazis they try to claim……..they should be responded to with missile strikes in Poland and Czechia. The big NATO intelligence centre they have in Poland- destroyed. Munitions factories in Poland-Czechia – the same. Anything in the logistics chain. Accumulation of enough Poles and Czechs at each site targeted to kill about hundred for each missile

WW3? Well I think not if missile strikes launched from Russia are not from Kaliningrad, or use airspace above Kaliningrad/ from Baltic Sea. The same thing with Belarus. Strikes would have to be launched from Black Sea, 2014 Russia borders or Caspian Sea. It’s all about the Anglo-US scum and maybe France and Germany that is relevant here. They are self-protective and faggots and countries like Poland are totally expendable .

Putin would have to do speech to the world and appeal to Polish and Czech citizens, and explain that for the NATO response to justified Russian strikes on Poland & Czechia……ANY attack of any scale on Kaliningrad , which has zero connection to these strikes on Poland & Czechia, would be responded to with Nuclear attack ( any possible fallout to go west) on Poland, or equivalent from non-nuclear , killing hundreds of thousands of Czechs and Polish plankton.

Could say that most important thing is for Presidential Administration not to use some fool as official translator into English for Putin speech. Only Anglo-American opinion is vital – all the other NATO scum general opinion is derivative from the Anglo-American one. And general population of Anglo-US just will not listen to anybody who speaks in slow, heavily-accented by Russia into English translator.

So any NATO-stan response , assuming they follow Putin’s order on Kaliningrad, would have to be via airspace of Banderastan into mainland Russia. Escalation wouldn’t be any personnel on Russian land in significant numbers. Erdogan is , at least, sane so nothing from NATO would happen on his part of the black Sea. Then it’s Romania and Bulgaria. Even as bought-off prostitutes that their elites are, I dont believe their population would enable them to do such action. Their current despicable actions require locals to be passive in support. Active support required for being a launchpad to attack us is a different thing. Scandinavian and Baltic earthworm retards are a different issue, however I don’t think they would do so either, at least not for next 2-3 years. So only via Banderastan.

Recent actions in Middle East look decent for us in this type scenario- exchange of attacks by Israelis and Iran more of intelligence on Air Defence/PR operation then serious destructive military action – and all known by each side in advance. Similar to that Trump Iran/Syria vs their bases a few years before.
Anglo-American scum are obsessed with PR, especially Americans . Almost like PR dictates military action. Appears very plausible we could semi-contrive a situation with the Anglo-American Nazis. Would guess preferably with the Pentagon not the pogrom-vengefaul (((CIA))). Call it operation Paramount-Dovzhenko. Fill sites with a lot of decommissioned/fake equipment and allow west to strike it.
Western satellite photos showing ‘Russian military sites” hit – which are just large numbers of Decommisioned planes/tanks. Actually, f**k it – make them to scale papier mache planes/helicopters/tanks/APC, etc . Only thing real the fuel tanks – give western bydlo a big fire to watch. Then the following day satellite images showing “Putin’s defeat” to the western world. So like the Iran-Israel thing in reverse. We say no casualties, they say they struck our bases.

Around all this, assuming there is real escalation that GS thinks is defendable…Ukrop air-defence now even busier at 360 degrees and 24 hours (which they are now, but even worse) . That anything launched from Poland/Czechia/NATO over 404 is co-ordinated with them does not matter – we learn from this co-ordination and more things fall in Ukraine. Czechia will see they are not a deathcult like 404, and positive developments could happen.

If Putin takes a chunk of Ukraine but Finland remains in NATO then he can’t win as defined by his own terms.

Ukraine is not Putin’s War—it is Russia’s war.

I understand numbers just fine

There are 100 million more Russians than Ukrainians. The greatest shortage Ukraine currently faces is in troops according to Kofman. He also says that even after the recently approved US military aid package is delivered in full, Ukraine will still be up against a Russian numerical advantage in artillery and shells.

There is no such thing as de facto NATO. You’re either in or not. You don’t get the defensive benefits if you are not in. You can be invaded and you do not have the ability to call article 5 which is the most important part.

Do you really think that if Ukraine had been a full member of NATO prior to Ukraine being invaded by Russia, that would mean the other countries of NATO would have been obliged to use their own armed forces to directly fight Russia to defend Ukraine? Even if article 5 contained such an obligation to fellow NATO member countries (and it does not), they would not have abided by it in Ukraine’s case. If push came to shove there was no possible escalatory dominance for Ukraine against Russia; Ukrainian politicians did not seem to realise this or that their country was relying on rhetorical bluff and going to be on its own if it came down to actually fighting and dying.

My Russian isn’t good and I was given a translation of what he was saying, but just things flying about, foo fighters type things, not space craft, as I understood. He was told not to talk about it by the Soviet authorities.

I don’t believe in UFOs, of course there are experimental aircraft, much more advanced that weather balloons crashing at Roswell, but I do believe there are unexplained phenomena that would include such things.

Thoughts?

JoJo is hopeless, he ferociously denies the obvious scared to look like a loser. He reminds me of the Otto character from the Fish Called Wanda – lack of understanding, low IQ, fear of losing face. He mirrors people making policy in the West: know-nothings who are afraid to be perceived as losing to Russia. Or Vietnam, Iraq, China. It is a pathology.

The fear drives them to hide in cherrypicked minutia, group-think and “hope”. They never consider other side points. Finland is irrelevant to this – this is a war about Ukraine in Nato. It won’t be so Russia is winning.

The idea that if Russia attacked Finland before 2022 the West-Nato wouldn’t fight is beyond ridiculous. Of course they would: Finland, Sweden are Western, Ukraine is not and never will be. All else is just hot air.

he ignored existential problems in America like the border and runaway spending,

These are separate problems that need to be considered on their own merit, not tied to something as important as border control. I think that you’ll find that he’s very much pro-border control.

wouldn’t suffice to explain why he used the term “axis of evil” to connect Russia, China, and Iran and voted to give away billions to Israel.

I’m not sure why he decided to propose funding Israeli defense needs at this time. It’s probably because the original senate bill already included such provisions, and he couldn’t just ignore them. Connecting Russia, China and Iran together as the “axis of evil” isn’t hard to explain, These countries seem to always show up on the opposite side of most any political stance or issue that the US promotes. They’re all uber autocratic and among some of the least democratic countries in the world today.

It almost makes one nostalgic for the times that EEs were trying to foment a Chinese invasion of Russia.

There’s no need to be nostalgic for those times. As I’ve already pointed out several times, China needs to do nothing foolish and will still end up as the big winner in the Russo-Ukrainian war, as Russia slowly but surely dissipates into a weak shell of its former self.

There are 100 million more Russians than Ukrainians. The greatest shortage Ukraine currently faces is in troops according to Kofman. He also says that even after the recently approved US military aid package is delivered in full, Ukraine will still be up against a Russian numerical advantage in artillery and shells.

Russia had an even larger superiority in manpower during the Afghan war. I’m old enough to remember how the Russian military high tailed it back to Russia in the end. Ukraine is a much larger country than Afghanistan, much better equipped and trained and will be a much larger nut to crack than Afghanistan ever was. The local native civilian population is much more willing to oust these aggressors too, thanks to Putler’s ill thought-out policies of bombing civilian sites. This, of course includes the Russian speaking populations in eastern and southern Ukraine too. Whatever happened to the Russian speaking population in Kherson that vividly showed its displeasure with the Russian occupation?

🇺🇦🇺🇸🇪🇺 “I’m Ukranian and this is my Porsche” pic.twitter.com/qSawvrFlI1

— Lord Bebo (@MyLordBebo) April 22, 2024

Saw open legs & immediately knew whore LOL.

She’s not your woman and never will be. Why don’t you worry about your own women. You should only be preoccupied with Sikh women.

A unilateral Afghanistan style withdrawal of Russia from Ukraine without any concessions in return would be impossible for Putin or whoever was in the Kremlin sell to the Russian population. It would be political suicide for Putin or his successor’s circle too. I cannot see a parallel with Gorby pulling out of the perma-squabbling tribal territories known as Afghanistan because Ukraine is geopolitically crucial and a centralised modern state as demonstrated by the extreme cost of overcoming them. Due to failures of comprehension on both sides they are going toe to toe while doing a lot of irreversible damage of every kind, with no end to it in sight. Russia and Ukraine are countries rich in resourses which the rest of the world would be glad to pay hansomely for. Yes, Ukraine is Putin’s nemesis, but he is also Ukraine’s nemesis.

Parochial views are silly even inside your village in Whateverthefuckistan. They are very stupid outside of it. This is not something you want to advertise.

I will take a wild guess that she will easily get a new Porsche. But the house and bridge are gone. I am also sure she has never been inside that church…

The girl looks like a real winner…:) On ‘to Moscow’ they said. Brilliant plan.

At least her men are real fighters. That’s worth more than all the Porsches and bridges.

I am also sure she has never been inside that church…

I’ve never been inside any church (Catholic and Orthodox), mosque, synagogue, Buddhist or Shinto temple except as a tourist. Only saw Hindu temples from the outside (in the US and Singapore). Don’t see this as a blemish on my character.

You and I both know that she will not get her new Porsche from the fighters.…she knows it too, she is not going to stick around.

Bukele wants to build a thorium plant.
https://www.telesurenglish.net/news/El-Salvador-on-Track-for-Peaceful-Nuclear-Energy-20240418-0018.html
____
Has to be more than half, as it doesn’t account for AA, which in London must be pretty substantial.

Some will, some won’t.

…I’ve never been inside any church…except as a tourist.

Weren’t pilgrims the original tourists? That’s how travel originated. So how is going in as a tourist different than for any other reason? Nobody sees into our minds…

Nobody sees into our minds…

God is supposed to see into our minds, if He/She exists (the top Shinto deity is female).

Besides, I’ve been inside temples of so many different religions that even humans would have their doubts.

Yes, Ukraine is Putin’s nemesis, but he is also Ukraine’s nemesis.

More like a NATO proxy war with the Kiev regime as a pawn.

God is supposed to see into our mind…

I didn’t mean it that way. Simply that us, the humans, we don’t see why a person is inside a church or a temple. We only know what they tell us. It could be that the Pope or a Patriarch are putting on a show, we don’t know what’s in their minds. (I would do it if I was the Pope, imagine the entertainment value..:)

My view of the concept called ‘God’ is that if it exists it would be irrelevant to us – only a force providing background meaning to our Universe. But lacking free will and only following the physics rules of whatever it is that we live in. This reality of ‘divinity’ escapes most devotees – the fact that a “God” would lack the free will to change things making ‘prayer’ pointless. A placebo.

But the architecture is nice. Good stone architecture is my weakness.

There are 100 million more Russians than Ukrainians.

And in 1920 there were far more Russians than Poles.

And in 1939 there were 4 million Finns (not heavily armed or helped by the West, due to the diplomatic reasons) and 170 million Soviets.

Soviets barely won that one, but would they have won if there 30 million Finns who were lavishly equipped by the West?

The greatest shortage Ukraine currently faces is in troops according to Kofman. He also says that even after the recently approved US military aid package is delivered in full, Ukraine will still be up against a Russian numerical advantage in artillery and shells

Which can be compensated for by superior accuracy and skill.

Ukraine also enjoys a drone advantage.

Overall picture is likely stalemate for awhile until one side or the other gives up. Russia more likely to do so, because Ukrainians are fighting for their own homes.

Do you really think that if Ukraine had been a full member of NATO prior to Ukraine being invaded by Russia, that would mean the other countries of NATO would have been obliged to use their own armed forces to directly fight Russia to defend Ukraine?

The risk of this happening would probably have prevented Russia from invading.

Even if article 5 contained such an obligation to fellow NATO member countries (and it does not), they would not have abided by it in Ukraine’s case.

You seem to be suggesting that if the Baltics get invaded, NATO won’t send its troops in.

Orest…this looks like the beginning of a beautiful friendship with JJ. Keep trolling.

As more sudetenland is inhabited and taken back from Czechia by Germans, the Czech leading gang is more hawkish towards Russia – exposing advanced schizophrenia. Actually, some decades ago, Russians liberated that land for Czechs.

When Kazakhstan defeated the Ukraine in the Battle of the Nations Sunday Elena Rybakina won a fancy new Porsche. She cracked everybody up when she reported that she does not know how to drive.

A unilateral Afghanistan style withdrawal of Russia from Ukraine without any concessions in return would be impossible for Putin or whoever was in the Kremlin sell to the Russian population.

High chance that the Russian population would do what they are told and accept whatever Putin does; they would breath a sigh of relief that their kids won’t be sent to die in some Kherson field, particularly if as a result sanctions get lifted and defeat is accompanied by a resulting economic mini-boom which would make peoples’ lives better. The war was bad, why would they choose to make a civil war if their lives are improving after the debacle?

I don’t know how this would play out within government circles, perhaps it would cause a coup by hardliners (or perhaps not – many of these have already been neutralized by Putin), but an end to the war even with total retreat from Ukraine would not lead to widespread population revolt.

And there won’t be another presidential election until 2030.

If Putin gets some face-saving deal like getting recognition of Crimea or Donbas so much the better for his chances. But the Russian people won’t try to overthrow him even if he returns to the 1991 border. They aren’t desperate enough for such actions.

Due to failures of comprehension on both sides they are going toe to toe while doing a lot of irreversible damage of every kind, with no end to it in sight

The first part is very true, though I suspect it will end in 2025 when there is clarity about the long-term American position.

With America out, it was basically a stalemate with steady and glacial Russian advances, a few villages or towns a month. With America back, it’s just going to be stalemate with the chance of a breakthrough by Ukraine (but only a chance, I wouldn’t bet on it). America being back means Ukraine probably will stop hitting Russia’s oil infrastructure, until after the election. Biden didn’t like when the Ukrainians did that. Ukraine may instead wreck Russia’s power grid, which it had avoided doing previously in favor of hitting the money-making oil refineries. Russia can do the same, of course, though Ukraine may replenish its missile defenses and make it harder. In contrast, Russia will have a much harder time defending its vast territory from Ukrainian drone swarms.

Or with longer range and much more ATACMs Ukraine may cause even more damage to Russia’s Black Sea fleet. We’ll see what is on the menu.

Ukrainians will not end their country by surrendering. But Russians can end the war by going home. Eventually they will do it. Eventually they will get tired of trying to take more of Ukraine while getting their people killed and their country ruined, and Ukrainians will realize that the price of taking Crimea or Donbas (or maybe even the Crimean corridor) isn’t worth it, as long as the Russians have nothing to do with the free parts of their country (which includes Russians don’t decide about Ukrainian politics, army, language, and alliances).

But sadly there will be 100,000s more dead and a lot of expensive destroyed infrastructure on both sides before both sides figure out where the border will be, and the Russians go home.

At least Beckow finds it entertaining when Slavs slaughter Slavs, he’ll be gleefully watching it for another year or so.

…the Czech leading gang is more hawkish towards Russia – exposing advanced schizophrenia.

The leading gang is the correct term. Czechs are hopeless, too submissive for the region. They have an incredible inferiority complex towards the West (worse than the Ukies), combined with a fake superiority pose towards the east (Poles and Ukies included). It creates a neck-twisting body chasm and leads to mental instability. (I knew a Czech in US who was telling everyone he was “Swiss” – when I asked him why he said he flew in from Switzerland, so why not?)

Most of the time it looks like right now: the ruling gang is busy sticking its head into the filthier Western parts, promising the sky but not planning to do any of it, they simply want approval.

Always remember that the Czechs voted 40% for the commies in 1946 in free elections, no Soviets were in sight. It was the global record for the commies. That was 4 years after 1 million Czechs assembled in Prague to yell “Heil Hitler!” after Heydrich assassination. Same people. (But there are many good ones…)

Re: https://www.eurasiareview.com/23042024-alexander-motyl-is-dead-wrong-about-jd-vance-and-russia-ukraine-oped/

Someone said That 5-point proposal at the end sounds reasonable. If only it were implementable.

Excerpt –

At this juncture, Russia might (stress might) consider the following settlement:

– no NATO membership for Ukraine with it having a limited military under strictly enforced oversight

– Russia is recognized for having all of the former Ukrainian SSR territory it currently holds

– the present Kiev regime controlled Ukrainian territory is recognized as Ukraine’s

– all of the sanctions implemented after February 24, 2022 against Russia (like the hypocritically bigoted ones concerning the Olympics and other sporting events) are promptly stopped

– an end to the suppression of Russian culture (language, religion, monuments, et al) in Kiev regime-controlled Ukraine.

The author made the same proposal a year ago. The differences now are that Russia has more territory in an economically/militarily/politically stronger position, with a weaker NATO proxy Kiev regime.

That article is presently the number one search result under Google News for “Alexander Motyl”. Under that reference, his articles at The Hill aren’t listed.

https://www.google.com/search?sca_esv=5d0811d5ae0715ef&sca_upv=1&q=%22Alexander+Motyl%22&tbm=nws&source=lnms&prmd=invsmbtz&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwj29sLC9NiFAxWXEFkFHc7HB3QQ0pQJegQIDRAB&biw=1024&bih=643&dpr=1

Not the reaction I would have expected in a cat.

…Beckow finds it entertaining when Slavs slaughter Slavs, he’ll be gleefully watching it for another year or so.

You are reading me wrong. It is a tragedy, but it is happening so one might as well get something out of it. Like Titanic was a tragedy, but a good lesson in what not to do. You need to see this as an evolutionary story – who has it and who doesn’t.

You and I disagree on who screwed up and made the catastrophic circus happen. But at the end it is not we who will assess the impact: it is the reality and who wins and who loses. On that we also disagree, although I have noticed you have gone from “offensive to take back Crimea!” (I am exaggerating!) to predicting a stalemate.

It is unlikely it will end in a stalemate – too much is invested by both sides and all the red lines have been crossed. Nobody is going to take their marbles and go home. This will be a wipe-out victory. Russia started out stronger, but messed around a bit before they got momentum – it is theirs to lose. The Ukies showed no speed and then they quit – how are they going to turn that around?

It is f..ing entertaining, this only happens once or twice per century. And when will we ever get a hirsute short Eastern European Jew in sweatpants going from playing a piano with his d..k (in public!) to threatening to destroy the world. This is cultural gold, people will talk about it for decades. (Not the Ukies, they will be mostly gone, but we will have quite some memories. I hope it doesn’t end next year…the lesson has to be thorough.)

It amounts to freezing the non-existing stalemate – and it is not enforceable. The West lies, they use treaties as tools and leave them once they are not useful.

The real lesson of Finland for Russia is that they can’t trust the West – Finns got off lightly after WW2 – they were murderous Nazi allies responsible for hundreds of thousands dead in St. Petersburg. Russia let them off when they committed to neutrality. Helsinki betrayed that last year.

How can Russia take any promise of “no Nato in Ukraine?” seriously after Finland? No matter how formal and how much the Ukies and Nato swear that they mean it. Russia will ignore promises and treaties and simply control the ground. It makes the 5-point plan irrelevant.

The only way to avoid it is to defeat Russia. The Ukies can’t do it, and can you see hundreds of thousands Westies lining up to die for it? I don’t think so. That makes the final outcome rather obvious.

I just received this reply in line with you:

That train has left a long time ago. Considering what people like Medvedev and some other Russian politicians are saying, they will never trust the West again, and agreements would be useless, they say, since they will not be respected by the West. Sanctions have hurt the West more than Russia, which is in the process of forming alternatives to past relationships with the West. Sad, but the West’s delusions of grandeur and faith in their own propaganda about “Russian weakness”etc., have created this situation.

Convoluted Kiev regime and its main backers won’t accept it at this time. Your point leads to the trust but verify matter leading to the strictly enforced note which could involve a Russian military presence in places like Odessa and Kharkov. It’ll need to be clearly worded in detail with UN approval to provide enough security for Russia to go along with.

We could go another year or two with the Kiev regime weakened even more and Russia stronger with added territory.

Actually, some decades ago, Russians liberated that land for Czechs.

No good deed ever goes unpunished.

Pretty girl. Does she have stereotypical Ukrainian features?

Why don’t you stick with homegrown… er, “features”, will you? 🙂 Greetings from Karen McDougal. 😉

If you are renting a yacht, don’t go with one where the skipper is on his sixth wife.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bluebelle_(ship)

A totally bizarre, meaningless, nothing post of a worthless shitbag.

WTF is a retard like you intending to do when you post such garbage? Just time-wasting tactics?

You would think a rich Sikh businessman, has taken a “ride” on her in Mumbai, in Singapore, in Thailand, in Dubai, in London in Miami already you dumb POS. Several times. Good chance Sikh MONEY from after this whore (and her khokhol friends) f*cked the Sikh businessman is what helped her get this Porsche, LOL.

As for ukronazi coward limp-wristed males – poorest country in Europe, so not exactly “looking after their women” you dumbfuck….. therefore explains why so many women like her from 404.

Atrociously low birth rate in 404 – not exactly “looking after their women” to the point they want to have and nurture children with these freaks you stupid dickhead

As for the very small number of world famous ukrops – there appears to be clear pattern of not wanting to marry another Ukrop, as if ashamed of it:
Klitschko junior-married an American actress. Klitschko senior, Mayor of Kiev, the German – too stupid to know where to put his d*ck.
Andrei Shevchenko – inexplicably married to an American. Usik- he’s the closest to a patriot – married to a Russian.

Then onto the women – Svitolina the tedious tennis player – married a French African. The woman Alex Baldwin killed in a film….. married to an American.

Even more amusingly, this (admittedly good looking) whore is from Kharkov. I had never heard of her before but it looks like she gained some attention for making a video of returning to Kharkov after leaving it at start of SMO.

What’s amusing? It appears upto this last month she is self-described “best friends” and travelling in America or Bali or wherever…. with Russia’s most known and richest sex-actress!

Something Romanova & Elfie is her name (I certainly don’t watch this type of stuff, but she is frequently in newspaper, radio, news portal etc so very easy to have heard of her – though I certainly wouldn’t class her in top 25% of Russian women )

This khokhol-whore filming probable lesbian sex stuff with Russias most famous in this sector, obviously raises her profile massively and increases her earning potential from perverts.

That is khokholism in a microcosm – be a whore in some form- physical, moral, business. Use this whoring to gain money, fame or power from Russians.

Then further use this money gained from parasiting off Russians to travel or live in the West.

Then maintain this western lifestyle by inventing khokhol credentials and slandering the Russia that made this possible. LOL

You are reading me wrong. It is a tragedy, but it is happening so one might as well get something out of it.

In your case, entertainment.

You are a very sick person.

I have noticed you have gone from “offensive to take back Crimea!” (I am exaggerating!) to predicting a stalemate.

I have always said the most likely result will be a stalemate, with a smaller than 50% chance that the Ukrainians break through in the South.

The chance of a Ukrainian breakthrough would be close to zero if the Americans walked away. Now it is back.

It is unlikely it will end in a stalemate