The new OT is appreciated.

Lets see how far we can get without mentioning a certain Black Sea conflict.
______

Major auto racing resumes in the U.S. after pausing for the Le Mans 24hr.

2023 Sahlen’s Six Hours of The Glen

I wish I could say this was an awesome race. Alas, issues from end to end.

• The GTD start should have been waved off
• A wheel left in pit lane and was struck
• Separate incident, pit crewman was hit
• Entire wheel fell off a GTP car
• GTP car developed a unsafe hybrid problem
• Many, many black/orange flags for not meeting tire requirements (e.g. minimum tire pressure)
• Multiple pit lane speeding violations
• One driving error so egregious that there is a probation / potential license suspension.

The whole thing was untidy.

PEACE 😇

— MAGA-nomics Succeeds —

Good news from Trump’s 1st term: (1)

New Trade Analysis Shows Longevity of President Trump’s Tariffs Diminishing Chinese Imports – China fell from 21.6% of U.S. imports in 2017 to 16.5% in 2022

New analysis of the long-term impact from Section 301 tariffs triggered by President Trump against China, shows just how consequential economic nationalism can become.

With the leading opponent to President Trump, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, not supporting tariffs on behalf of the multinationals and Club for Growth donors who stand behind him, it’s worth revisiting the actual outcome to American consumers to dispel the popular myths about tariffs raising prices here at home.

Despite the efforts to remove and impeach President Trump, it did not look like middle class America was overly concerned about the noise coming from the pundits. Likely that’s because blue collar wages were higher, Main Street inflation was lower, and overall consumer confidence was strong. Yes, MAGAnomics was working.

Additionally, remember all those MSM hours and newspaper column inches where the professional financial pundits were claiming Trump’s tariffs were going to cause massive increases in prices of consumer goods?

Well, exactly the opposite happened [BLS report] Import prices were continuing to drop:

 

 

This was a really interesting dynamic that no one in the professional punditry would dare explain.

Donald Trump’s tariffs were targeted to specific sectors of imported products. [Steel, Aluminum, and a host of smaller sectors etc.] However, when the EU and China responded by devaluing their currency, that approach hit all products imported, not just the tariff goods.

Because the EU and China were driving up the value of the dollar, everything we were importing became cheaper. Not just imports from Europe and China, but actually imports from everywhere. All imports were entering the U.S. at substantially lower prices.

This meant when we imported products, we were also importing deflation.

This price result is exactly the opposite of what the economic experts and Wall Street pundits predicted back in 2017 and 2018 when they were pushing the rapid price increase narrative.

Because all the export dependent economies were reacting with such urgency to retain their access to the U.S. market, aggregate import prices were actually lower than they were when the Trump tariffs began

While the recent SCOTUS decisions may be less than we hoped for, the three picks from Trump’s 1st term (Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, Amy Coney Barrett) did reasonably well.

Trump’s successful 1st term, impacting Trade and the Judiciary, continues to help American workers today.

PEACE 😇
__________

(1) https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2023/07/01/new-trade-analysis-shows-longevity-of-president-trumps-tariffs-diminishing-chinese-imports-china-fell-from-21-6-of-u-s-imports-in-2017-to-16-5-in-2022/

The Gallic Spring will be a spring without a summer.

The world is watching the events of the Gallic Spring unfold, “gripped by the narrative of a young generation rising up against oppressive authoritarianism to secure a more democratic political system and a brighter economic future”.

The Gallic Spring is widely believed to have been instigated by dissatisfaction, particularly of youth and unions, with the rule of local governments, though some have speculated that wide gaps in income levels and pressures caused by the economic hardship may have had a hand as well. Some activists had taken part in programs sponsored by National Endowment for Democracy, but the US government claimed that they did not initiate the uprisings.

Numerous factors led to the protests, including issues such as reform, human rights violations, political corruption, economic decline, unemployment, extreme poverty, and a number of demographic structural factors, such as a large percentage of educated but dissatisfied youth within the entire population.

Catalysts for the revolts in France included the concentration of wealth in the hands of a elite few in power for decades, insufficient transparency of its redistribution, corruption, and especially the refusal of the youth to accept the status quo.

الشماتة

This seems soft. (1)

The Peril of Anarchy

Le Pen began by acknowledging the grave state of affairs in the country, where “a state of endemic turmoil, violence, and destruction” has engulfed the streets. Despite the motivations or dramatic events that may have led to this unrest, she firmly asserted that no justification can legitimize the establishment of anarchy in a republic. The attacks on people, property, police officers, firefighters, town halls, schools, and businesses represent a menacing challenge to the very fabric of society.

National Prosperity and Social Cohesion

The relentless episodes of violence that have plagued France for years have reached an unprecedented level, affecting municipalities of all sizes and even the heart of the capital. Le Pen stressed that a nation’s prosperity, order, and social cohesion cannot be taken for granted but require continuous care and effort. The intoxication of solitary power and ideological constructs regarding immigration, mainly Islamic migrants, and judicial leniency must not blind leaders to the pressing reality of maintaining civil peace.

Video Link

Better than Macron, of course. However, someone seeking the top seat should be a bit more explicit about the problem.

Does anyone have a speech from Zemmour?

PEACE 😇
__________

(1) https://rairfoundation.com/marine-le-pen-calls-for-a-return-to-republican-order-amidst-frances-ongoing-migrant-and-left-wing-riots-video/

I suspected that Russia wouldn’t be able to care for all the wounded.

They actually had that problem in the initial invasion.

English Translation:

No nation can make everything.

MAGA Reindustrialization is about onshoring activities critical to national security. Resource extraction, refining, industrial goods (e.g. machine tools), and both mid/high value added consumer products.

Ornamental headwear can continue to be made overseas. Should the CCP release the WUHAN-24 (or other ##) virus impeding that supply chain, Americans would have to do without ornamental headwear. Not much of a sacrifice.

PEACE 😇

So, what now, a week after the “failed coup d’état”? What do we know now?

1. The charges against Prigozhin were dropped. He was last seen in Rostov-on-Don.
Where is he now? Donbass, Belarus, Russia? Are his assets still his?

2. What about Wagner? As a separate corps they cannot fight anymore. This is a big loss for the Russians. Did they all go to Belarus with Prigozhin? Did they stay in the Donbass? Did they demobilize?
What about the foreign bases, strategically important businesses, mines in Africa, etc.?
Will all that all fall apart? Will Wagner stay in some form in Belarus or abroad under Prigozhin’s control? Will others continue fighting in the Donbass for less money? How many did sign a contract with the MoD? Allegedly at least third of them went home and left the whole fucking thing.

3. Shoygu. His position seems stable, though he has proved to be incompetent in the job of Minister of Defence. What’s keeping him there? The big friendship with Putin? Is he taking out out of spite Wagner and the generals who criticized him?

4. Gerasimov. The Chief of Staff disappeared a week ago. What about him? He used to be a fine general 10-20-30 years ago, but now an old geezer who should have retired as old age and alcohol turned his brain to mush. Will he be kept along with Shoygu?

5. Surovikin. The general who won most of the victories in Syria, who stabilized the Russians in Ukraine, is being hosted by the FSB. For criticizing Shoygu and supporting Wagner in the fighting. During the “coup”, he was almost alone in speaking out against it when others were sneaking around. The Russians are now holding their ground in the South because the multi-line defensive positions he has built are stable. He is the one who is losing his chair, the one best suited to lead the troops in combat.

6. There is constant Ukrainian pressure on the front. The battles are getting fiercer in more and more places. Many Ukrainians are dying, but the Russians are slowly but surely retreating. How long can the pressure be maintained with such a rearguard? Who is in control of the troops now?

7. Putin. After 3 years, since Covid, he is back among the people, rebuilding his tarnished image. But where is Putin in action? Why does the Russian military and political leadership look like it’s in chaos? And why are the dilettantes purging those who seem more capable? Politics overrides military fitness? That will end well, sure…

8. The people are silent. But the street in Rostov was cheering Wagner…

So what is the situation now one week after the “coup”? Will Prigozhin keep his assets?
Will Wagner remain as a separate force or disbanded? How well will Russians fight with their best troops withdrawn from the front and their best general held by the FSB? Will Shoygu and Gerasimov remain despite their obvious total incompetence?

The Eagle

He clasps the crag with crooked hands;
Close to the sun in lonely lands,
Ring’d with the azure world, he stands.

The wrinkled sea beneath him crawls;
He watches from his mountain walls,
And like a thunderbolt he falls.

According to Lukashenko, Prigozhin was swearing non stop and euphoric for the first half an hour Lukashenko was trying to talking him out of continuing toward Moscow. People were saying before the mutiny that the the video appearances at the Bakhmut front including ones with piles of his own men’s dead bodies Prigozhin made showed signs of mental derangement under stress. I think he was prolly on drugs along with his fighters (they use drugs, which more common that one might think among troops is constant heavy combat). He knows too much to be allowed to go to the West, but that is is the only place he’ll be safe.

The main value of Wagner is it enabled Putin to field troops (including uniquely expendable troops) for Ukraine without fully mobilising, but it got too big due to the unexpectedly huge number of convicts who volunteered, and so before it got to have 100,000 men or more under arms it was going to be incorporated in the army.

So what is the situation now one week after the “coup”?

Was it even a “coup”? The whole thing seems phoney and staged. Even major media are having bouts of skepticism (1).

Will Prigozhin keep his assets? Will Wagner remain as a separate force or disbanded?

The early read is Wagner military assets are aggregating in Belarus (2). Odds are there will be a name change to reincorporate in Belarus, then Prigozhin will carry on with a rebranded PMC.

If the Russian government does not want to employ these mercenaries…. There are plenty of other opportunities. In the last thread I suggested that France should hire Wagner to liquidate their current rebellion. Do the rioters want to face an APC?

Will Shoygu and Gerasimov remain despite their obvious total incompetence?

Shoigu kicked this off by trying to place Wagner under the MoD. The fact that he successfully muscled Prigozhin out of Russia suggests that he still has a very strong hand and will remain.

I will not prognosticate about Gerasimov.

PEACE 😇
__________

(1) https://www.newsweek.com/wagner-coup-was-staged-putin-west-fell-it-opinion-1810035

(2) https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/european-satellite-imagery-appears-to-show-wagner-building-up-military-base-in-belarus-after-russia-mutiny/ar-AA1deiU1

Shoigu kicked this off by trying to place Wagner under the MoD. The fact that he successfully muscled Prigozhin out of Russia suggests that he still has a very strong hand and will remain.

Successfully pushed out experienced veterans during the Ukrainian counter-offensive? That is a success? The Russians were paying Wagner to fight in the bloodiest front. Sending them to Belarus is a win? Is that right?

The most likely scenario is that Prigozhin played everyone. He probably made a deal with the Ukrainians and is now sipping vodka at a Belarusian hotel. Bakhmut is not taken as seen by daily battle footage.

Shoigu was the sucker. This is the guy with ZERO military background. Putin actually put an emergency services administrator in charge of defense. His military badges are all fake.

Almost as genius as promoting your chef to private warlord.

When I look for a mechanic I try to find someone with a background in cake decoration.

Off-topic, but fun fact: The Banat was briefly its own republic right after WWI:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Banat_Republic

It subsequently got partitioned between Romania, Yugoslavia (later Serbia), and (barely) Hungary, mostly along ethnic lines:

Alsace-Lorraine was also briefly its own independent republic during this time before being re-annexed by France:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/November_1918_in_Alsace-Lorraine

Shoigu is the non-military guy overlooking the situation as a trusted confidant. Prigozhin revealed himself to be an out for himself blowhard.

Update on the conflict in Ukraine for July 3, 2023:

– Ukraine’s offensive reaches the 1 month mark and has made relatively little progress beyond the security zones ahead of Russia’s main defenses;

– This is mainly owed to Russian mine fields and Ukraine’s inability to clear them while under fire;

– Ukraine’s artillery shell supply is limited, the longer the offensive takes, the less ammunition Ukraine will have to support and exploit any breakthroughs that do occur;

– Mounting Ukrainian losses mean that any achievements made during the offensive will be difficult to consolidate no matter where on the map the offensive ends;

– Unable to breach Russian defenses, Ukraine and its NATO sponsors appear to be exploring “alternative” options to change battlefield dynamics including continued attempts to accuse Russia of planning to destroy the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant;

References:

NY Times – Defenses Carved Into the Earth (December 2022):
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2…
Washington Post – Ukraine’s top general, Valery Zaluzhny, wants shells, planes and patience (June 30, 2023):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/…
CSIS – Russia Isn’t Going to Run Out of Missiles (June 28, 2023):
https://www.csis.org/analysis/russia-…
Forbes – Borrowing Tactics From The U.S. Army, The Ukrainian Marine Corps Is Thundering Through Russian Lines In Fast-Moving Columns (June 13, 2023):
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe…
Forbes – 25 Tanks And Fighting Vehicles, Gone In A Blink: The Ukrainian Defeat Near Mala Tokmachka Was Worst Than We Thought (June 27, 2023):
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe…
The Wall Street Journal – Ukraine Hits Russian Defenses From a Distance Before Risking Troops (June 30, 2023):
https://www.wsj.com/amp/articles/ukra…
The Journal of Conventional Weapons Destruction – Mine Field Breaching in Desert Storm:
https://commons.lib.jmu.edu/cisr-jour…
Military.com – The ‘Bulldozer Assault’ of Desert Storm Saw the US Army Opt Out of Trench Warfare:
https://www.military.com/history/bull…
WSJ – Ukraine Hits Russian Defenses From a Distance Before Risking Troops:
https://www.wsj.com/articles/ukraine-…
Washington Post – Ukraine’s top general, Valery Zaluzhny, wants shells, planes and patience (June 30, 2023):
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/…
The Guardian – Russia reducing its presence at nuclear plant, says Ukraine (June 30, 2023):
https://www.theguardian.com/world/202…
Andrei Martyanov – Logistics, Logistics, Logistics:

• Logistics, logist…

This is too poetic.

It used to be more to the point:

BTW, nice nickname. I approve of the purpose and the styling.

🙂

Shoigu is the non-military guy overlooking the situation as a trusted confidant.

Yes he has Putin’s trust.

So did Prigozhin even though he was caught feeding rotten meat to the troops. Putin decided to help him develop a private army.

Not sure Putin is the best judge of character.

Prigozhin revealed himself to be an out for himself blowhard.

The blowhard worth billions and doesn’t have a scratch on him. Right.

Just like the guy at the poker game that just happens to walk away with it all. Just lucky I’m sure.

A total blowhard that takes your money.

Putin is a very flawed leader but Prigozhin’s coup flopped and strengthened Putin’s regime. Nobody knows exactly what is going on with Prig right now, or even where he is, but what is certain is that Prigozhin no longer has his private military and that his main ally within the power structure (Surovikhin) has been neutralized. Putin ain’t going nowhere.

The Ukrainian offensive has disappointed so far but it is too early to say that it has already failed. As far as I can tell, the Ukrainian plan seems to be to pressure the entire front to inflict casualties and only send in the reserves after some cracks in the front have formed. The problem is we don’t know how many losses the Russians are suffering and how able they are to replace their losses in the short term. We know that the Ukrainians are making gains but the Ukes are suffering heavy casualties to get them. Right now the situation is unclear but the most likely situation seems to be that Ukraine continues to press the attack until September before finally calling it off.

As for the heavy losses the Russians are suffering, the Russians have always suffered heavy losses in all of their wars. The Russian way of war is extremely casualty intensive. That is not the issue. The issue is whether Russia is able to effectively replace said losses. I believe that while Russia will continue to suffer heavy losses, it will be at a significantly lower rate than it was for the first 15 months of the conflict and that Russia will be able to effectively replace all losses. However, I think the same goes for Ukraine as well.

French nationalists (identitaires ?) have started taking to the streets in some regions. But they are unarmed and less numerous than the banlieue youths. I’ve seen videos of skirmishes between the nationalists and the Antifa. Don’t think it will change much about the whole dynamics of the situation there.

Yes but you have to keep in mind that rightoids are the biggest retards to ever exist. Nothing you say will ever make them understand this

The Ukrainian offensive has disappointed so far but it is too early to say that it has already failed. As far as I can tell, the Ukrainian plan seems to be to pressure the entire front to inflict casualties and only send in the reserves after some cracks in the front have formed.

It is possible that the plan is to only feint an offensive while engaging in attrition.

But I think they are most likely prodding for a hole before bringing in tanks.

Right now the situation is unclear but the most likely situation seems to be that Ukraine continues to press the attack until September before finally calling it off.

I think it is a mistake to push hard before the jets. But Russia is supposedly getting ready to abandon the Zap plant so they are making progress.

I believe that while Russia will continue to suffer heavy losses, it will be at a significantly lower rate than it was for the first 15 months of the conflict and that Russia will be able to effectively replace all losses.

The remaining question is if Putin will draft an army of urban Slavs. He is still drafting heavily from poor rural areas and ethnic minorities like Tatars. The recent POWs I have seen looked hungry and broken. They are even stating that they joined solely for the cash. Around 1/4 is a minority.

Fun fact: Charles Bronson is a Tatar.

I completely agree with what this guy says. But again, this guy and the other Identitarians, some of whom actually are way more articulate than he is, are a minority. Even if they all stand united, they still will be a minority.

Moreover, what he preaches is basically Accelerationism, whether he realizes it or not. This means that it should become painfully ugly before it becomes any better. But it might never become completely intolerable for the normies, and Yahya is right, in two generations it’ll be too late to save France. Same for RusFed BTW.

The clock is ticking and the World is changing at an unprecedented pace. I think that trying to keep or save European Civilization might be unfeasible in its present state of degradation. Perhaps reinventing it would work better if it manages to save what was the most precious in the European peoples’ intellectual, artistic and scientific legacy. Russia might have played a role in that if it truly was Russia and not the RusFed Noviop simulacrum.

Perhaps that is why this ugly pseudo-Russian simulacrum was involved into the whole Ukrainian debacle. To ensure that European and Russian forces, hoping for better tomorrows for all the native Eurasian populations, wouldn’t work together and help each other. To keep them separate and antagonistic. Daria Dugina had a lot of contacts among the French New Right, Identitarians and Nationalist thinkers’ circles. She worked to help start an Identitarian movement in Russia too. But now she is dead. Although the Identitarians in RusFed are starting to organize and are acquiring combat experience in Ukraine.

Oddly enough, I have had exchanges with some of them a few months ago and have suggested they organize well structured networks online and establish connections with other similar networks accross Europea, Ukraine included.

In a not so distant future, all these conflicts between European peoples should be put aside if we want to salvage anything. Anyway, hope springs eternal.

But yeah, most people are too closed minded to understand that sometimes one must think on a medium to long perspective and see today’s conflicts as possibly not being the “be all, end all” some pretend them to be.

And yeah, I agree with you Anatoly that transnational accelerationist networks are probably worth developing. I wouldn’t call them states though, satatism is overrated.

Amount of Police, Paramilitary, and Soldiers in the peak of Kharku Lehar

Total: 758,000-773,000

Source: Politics of Genocide: Punjab, 1984–1998 by Inderjeet Singh Jaijee.

It’s an excellent movie.

As far as network states or societies in a serious manner:

Suggest the following reading:

Chapter 1 The rise of the network society by M. Castells
Some Reflections on Manuel Castells’ Book “Communication Power” by C Fuchs

Toward a Post-Western IR: The “Umma,” “Khalsa Panth,” and Critical International Relations Theory

by G Shani

Karlin’s recent gay turn is likely due to aromatized estrogren post steroid use.
—

All the network stuff says is as follows:

States have lost the ability to act as the primary regulators of networking – commercial, physical & cultural. Information & capital was far more physical in the past, and the state could regulate identity by controlling physical borders. Now, trans-national actors ie conglomerates of States & MNCs work together across time and space (timezones & geography) to enact their will.

This forces small, local actors to team up with global networks in order to survive. So your local church or indigenous tribe has to link up with Amnesty international or something against Google/Nestle. This is also why conservatards continuously fail because they can’t get over their own parochial antagonisms & are instead beaten out by internationalized liberals.

However, this also means that Liberalism isn’t as strong as people like Karlin make out & is defeatable by other networked groups. EHC bows to the mob at the gates

https://satyanrtam.wordpress.com/2017/01/17/hindu-political-thought/

https://www.palladiummag.com/2022/04/15/the-taliban-were-afghanistans-real-modernizers/

Something, something w/e

edit – TLDR of network society – there are programmers & switchers.

Programmers set the parameters (boundaries) & goals of the network ie the USA in NATO.

Switchers play the role of blocker/enforcer ie Baltic states screaming about who’s white &/or against Chinese authoritarianism.

😉

The remaining question is if Putin will draft an army of urban Slavs

I don’t think so. The goal appears to be to build the size of the army up to 1.5 million over the next several years and even adequately arming that many men will be a challenge. The scale of combat that exists in Ukraine does not require Russia to fully mobilize.

I think it is a mistake to push hard before the jets.

Ukraine is at least a calendar year from being able to achieve air superiority over the battlefield. As it is clear that the US wants to end this conflict ASAP, waiting does not appear to be an option.

But Russia is supposedly getting ready to abandon the Zap plant so they are making progress.

The Zapp plant is well before the first main line of defense. Ukraine should have conquered it on the first day. Everyone knew that Ukraine was going to conquer some ground, it’s just that nobody, Russians included, expected Ukraine to achieve its gains so slowly.

Right now it’s purely a question of Russian reserves. If Russia has the manpower and equipment to keep fighting all the way back to their 3rd defensive line, then it will be fair to qualify the Ukrainian offensive as a catastrophic failure. Particularly if Russia is able to counter attack and regain all their lost positions.

If the Ukrainians can break through the 3rd line, however, then it is possible that Russia will be forced to come to terms. But even then such an outcome would be far from certain, perhaps even outright unlikely.

Shoigu is the non-military guy overlooking the situation as a trusted confidant.

Yes he has Putin’s trust.

So did Prigozhin even though he was caught feeding rotten meat to the troops. Putin decided to help him develop a private army.

Not sure Putin is the best judge of character.

Prigozhin revealed himself to be an out for himself blowhard.

The blowhard worth billions and doesn’t have a scratch on him. Right.

Just like the guy at the poker game that just happens to walk away with it all. Just lucky I’m sure.

A total blowhard that takes your money.

Prigozhin was exempted for the mutiny issue. His St. Petersburg was raided. Stands to reason that financial crime issues can be raised against him. He appears pretty much neutralized.

There’re folks on the pro-Russian leaning side who wonder about Peskov?

As for the heavy losses the Russians are suffering, the Russians have always suffered heavy losses in all of their wars. The Russian way of war is extremely casualty intensive. That is not the issue. The issue is whether Russia is able to effectively replace said losses. I believe that while Russia will continue to suffer heavy losses, it will be at a significantly lower rate than it was for the first 15 months of the conflict and that Russia will be able to effectively replace all losses. However, I think the same goes for Ukraine as well.

Kiev regime losses are noticeably greater while having less in reserve as Russia. Russian losses have fluctuated since the start of the SMO.

https://www.indica.today/long-reads/a-theory-of-polytheism/

In the case of Jewish monotheism, all three dimensions of the polytheistic religion were gradually destroyed. The cultic dimension was reduced to Jerusalem around 800 BCE and ceased to reflect the pluralistic identity of various centres and regions. The cosmic dimension changed from being a manifestation of the divine presence to a creation of God. The linguistic dimension changed from historia divina, narratives describing events between gods, to historia sacra, a narrative describing events between God and his people.

His St Pete office.

Back to the discussion about network states:

You’re saying that network states can make it big with much smaller populations because they accumulate elite human capital, but even after adjusting for EHC, I suspect that you underestimate the difficulty level that having network states replace nation-states involves. After all, even Mensa International only has 145,000 members, and it could form a very impressive network state had its members actually had the desire for this, but AFAIK, it still has several times less 130+ IQ people than Russia has. And Russia is worse off in regards to this relative to Japan, not to mention the US, EU, and China.

So, for network states to really compete against the top-notch nation-states, they’d need to accumulate extraordinary levels of EHC. Again, even Mensa International’s levels of EHC are at least an order of magnitude less than what would actually be necessary for this. And Mensa International truly does have extraordinary levels of EHC that would be the envy of any network state.

I wonder if Eastern European countries could make a play for Western European identitarian elite human capital by pitching themselves as a better, more traditional, more European alternative to Western Europe. This would allow Western European identitarians to still remain within the EU (a world-power) while living in places that they are much more comfortable in. It would also help stem Eastern Europe’s low-fertility-induced population decline. And Western Europe would be rid of Europeans whom its elites might consider to be excessively nationalistic. Seems like a win-win for everyone, no?

There’s no reason as to why the EU as a whole cannot prosper and flourish even if some parts of it are dumps. The US provides a very fine example in regards to this, being a huge success story in spite of its extraordinarily violent and very dumpy heavily black ghettoes.

Ukraine is at least a calendar year from being able to achieve air superiority over the battlefield. As it is clear that the US wants to end this conflict ASAP, waiting does not appear to be an option.

If this conflict ends in a Korea-style frozen conflict, then it’s still prudent to bring Ukraine into NATO as soon as possible, perhaps even especially prudent, no? It massively reduces the risk of this war ever restarting, after all. NATO could make it clear that its security guarantees to Ukraine would only apply to the unoccupied parts of Ukraine.

The problem with that strategy, beyond the fact that multiple NATO states will veto such a move, is what happens if Russia calls your bluff and keeps the war going? The US is politically unable to send troops and NATO will be exposed for the hollow shell that it is.

I think it is a mistake to push hard before the jets.

Ukraine is at least a calendar year from being able to achieve air superiority over the battlefield. As it is clear that the US wants to end this conflict ASAP, waiting does not appear to be an option.

They don’t need air superiority. An F16 has a range of 500 miles and can cause havoc behind the lines.

They should have told the US/UK to relax.

Announcing a grand offensive was a mistake.

If the Ukrainians can break through the 3rd line, however, then it is possible that Russia will be forced to come to terms. But even then such an outcome would be far from certain, perhaps even outright unlikely.

I think they are better off spooking Crimea by attacking the bridges.

Send the Russians fleeing and demoralize the public.

I think the psychological war is more important than taking ground. The Russian public still wants to believe that Putin is a genius and will somehow win. Get the gears of doubt moving and Russians will stymie the war machine on their own. This is what happened with Vietnam. The US was actually taking minimal casualties at the end of the war but the public was done. Afghanistan was similar.

If this conflict ends in a Korea-style frozen conflict, then it’s still prudent to bring Ukraine into NATO as soon as possible, perhaps even especially prudent, no? It massively reduces the risk of this war ever restarting, after all. NATO could make it clear that its security guarantees to Ukraine would only apply to the unoccupied parts of Ukraine.

I honestly don’t think there is a risk of the war restarting if Putin somehow saves face in an armistice.

Ukraine could stay out of NATO and it wouldn’t happen again. The Russian military knows this was a mistake.

The drone swarms that will exist in 5-7 years will be unreal. Any offensive attacker will take a huge number of casualties. Zelensky also plans on loading up the civilians with guns. The US has ramped up Excalibur shell production. If anything the Chechens or Syrians will go at it again.

That depends on who you believe. I think that casualty ratio currently favors Ukraine 1:1.5. That is probably beginning to change now with the current Ukrainian offensive.

They know too much about their own history to get spooked.

Fun fact, Margaret Thatcher invented soft serve ice cream.

That aside, Ukraine is taking very heavy casualties. The tank fleet is being cooked up. There’s no way to get infantry forward in modern battlefield conditions.

The US can’t have this war going on during re election campaigns. Biden can be attacked from both the left and right on this.

Here’s a fun movie about how Ivan Grozny’s Cossacks invaded and subjugated The Siberian Khanate.

It’s like Vikings meets the Revenant and Conan the Barbarian. The Russians can sustain these fights over a decade.

They know too much about their own history to get spooked.

Tourism in Crimea is already massively down because of the war:
https://www.barrons.com/news/attacks-spook-tourists-in-russian-held-crimea-2660ac99

Take out the bridges and businesses would shut down.

Take out tourism and the remaining men will go back to Russia for factory jobs.

Oddly there is very low unemployment in male heavy industries.

Weird.

The tank fleet is being cooked up. There’s no way to get infantry forward in modern battlefield conditions.

What tank fleet? You mean the 3 Bradleys that hit some mines? Where the crew escaped?

Should probably stop following Ritter or Moon of Alabama.

If a large tank fleet was defeated then Russia would be broadcasting the results 24/7.

They broadcasted images of those Bradleys for days.

The M1 Abrams are not even being used and Ritter declared the counter-offensive to be over.

The same Ritter that said the war was over in Feb of 2022.

Before the war he said that the Russian military is the best in the world and that they won’t invade.

Maybe stop following bloggers that are bottomin’ for Putin.

The US can’t have this war going on during re election campaigns. Biden can be attacked from both the left and right on this.

1. There is no left in American anymore, that ended with the co-opting of the Bernie/AOC wing over the Ukraine war. Literally 100% of elected Democrats are staunch supporters of fighting Russia till the last.
2. As long as US troops aren’t involved, the broader American electorate doesn’t care. The Biden regime wants to wrap this whole thing up sooner rather than later but if hostilities continue through the ’24 election, that isn’t likely to make much impact on the election results one way or the other.

What I mean here is there’s a left wing critique that can be used. And a Republican could Weald it. He can also be attacked for not nuking Moscow and ending it too.

I don’t read either.

The tanks are being opened up like tin cans.

I’m saying that an armistice with a DMZ needs to happen first, before Ukraine can even consider joining NATO. Ukraine obviously would never get admitted into NATO in the middle of the current war or in the middle of any war for that matter.

A lot might also depend on just how well Ukraine’s future demographics will compare to those of Russia’s. Will Ukraine experience a post-war baby boom, for instance? If so, just how large? And will a post-war economic boom due to large-scale Western investment (with strict supervision and safeguards to prevent this money from being looted) accompany this?

Anyone who can will scramble away. The trend Of abandonment will accelerate.

AP would tell you that most Ukrainians are more patriotic than that. Though I guess that time will truly tell.

That aside, Ukraine is taking very heavy casualties. The tank fleet is being cooked up. There’s no way to get infantry forward in modern battlefield conditions.

Especially with little or next to no air support against a well defended opponent with considerable air support.

Some prefer the warped likes of Ben Hodges, who believes the Kiev regime will take Crimea by the end of this year or David Petraeus, saying that the Kiev regime forces are better trained and motivated than Russia’s.

I don’t read either.

The tanks are being opened up like tin cans.

Ok let’s see some sources then.

A lot of them prefer living, which explains why the Kiev regime has resorted to press gangs to round up men for combat purposes.

Mercouris recently referenced a Kiev institute study saying that the % of Ukrainians in Kiev regime controlled territory went from 9% (first few months of the SMO) to 78% of that population personally knowing killed Kiev regime armed combatants. This survey he said was before this current offensive.

Forbes I think…

A lot might also depend on just how well Ukraine’s future demographics will compare to those of Russia’s. Will Ukraine experience a post-war baby boom, for instance?

It will probably be similar to post-war Germany where the women somehow get pregnant even if there is a man shortage. Women have an unspoken habit of doing what is needed when the existence of the state is threatened. They are more patriotic than given credit.

If so, just how large? And will a post-war economic boom due to large-scale Western investment (with strict supervision and safeguards to prevent this money from being looted) accompany this?

Honestly it doesn’t matter if some of the money gets looted. What matters is that it stays in Ukraine.

Italy has long been corrupt and they quickly rebounded after WW2.

There is definitely a risk where Ukraine never fully recovers due to losing so many men.

I believe Russia is currently losing but I have never said that Ukraine will definitely win.

It’s entirely possible that Russia will grind down their best men using poor Ivans from the Urals and Tututs from Siberia. Then the two countries settle and Putin acts like he won by getting Donbas or part of it. Russian State TV of course won’t mention his originally stated goals.

The war could end up being a dysgenic disaster for Ukraine. Russians basically throw their village drunks in waves at Ukrainian middle class warriors.

But I’m still optimistic because I believe Ukraine has the better generals. I’d really like this war to be over as I strongly believe it doesn’t serve the best in interest of Western Whites or Russian Slavs.

It’s hard to say at this point since we don’t know the casualties of either side. I’d say a 10 billion dollar investment plan into Ukraine after the war is a conservative estimate. But it won’t matter if they lost a huge chunk of men. Unlike Ritter, MacGregor and Moon of Alabama I’m actually fine with saying that we don’t know everything.

Anyways a short answer is that I’d expect at least 10 billion invested but it won’t matter if they lost too many men. No reason to invest 30-40 billion if the men aren’t there. Maybe we could send over some of these bitter Putin supporting incels.

Some people are in an overly delusional denial. The proof of the pudding is in how Western mass media is gradually confirming the otherwise obvious.

I recall John Kirby uncritically parroting a very high and dubious Russian casualty figure. A media person with some balls asked him about Kiev regime fatalities? He answered simply by saying that he didn’t want to aid the adversary. Quite telling.

I’ve never wrapped my head around the 50 million dead that Stalin claimed for USSRs losses in ww2. Sounded a little like a perverse bragging right.

The full force of the fury of the Luftwaffe on Britain amounted to a pinprick through the war. 70,000.

Even Zelensky knew it was suicide. He essentially publicly begged Biden to let him call it off. But the satanic Biden regime forced Ukraine to go on a suicide mission to help Sleepy Joe’s re-election prospects.

I do not trust Russian media, nor do I trust alternate media sources. However, while they may not be generally trustworthy, you can sometimes glean useful information regarding the war from them.

This is not the case with the US and UK media which are both nothing other than unofficial mouthpieces for the CIA and MI6. Pretty much nothing from the US/UK press on the war in Ukraine can be believed.

But the German media is different. I’m sure they’re awful in their own way but they are pretty good about giving real reporting on this conflict. Today the German press reports that the Ukrainian offensive has cost Ukraine 41 Leopard 2’s, 49 T-72’s, 31 Bradley’s, 7 German Marders (?), 23 howitzers and 40 MRAP infantry fighting vehicles.

Now I assume this list includes tanks that have been recovered and will eventually be repaired. Even still, Ukraine is currently out 10% of it’s tank force. That’s not devastating by any stretch but keep in mind that Ukraine only expects to be supplied with 300 tanks this entire year, so this is certainly an unsustainable rate of attrition. At this rate Ukraine will have had a net loss of tanks for all of 2023 after just 10 more weeks of offensive operations.

tl;dr: regardless of what MacGregor and Ritter say, Ukraine is in no danger whatsoever of military collapse. But neither can Ukraine sustain this offensive much longer, barring a sudden breakthrough. Keep in mind, when/if Ukraine finally does commit the bulk of its armored reserves, expect Ukraine’s rate of tank losses to rise by a factor of 4 or 5.

I suspect that the offensive will be called off shortly after the end of the NATO summit.

Perhaps that is why this ugly pseudo-Russian simulacrum was involved into the whole Ukrainian debacle. To ensure that European and Russian forces, hoping for better tomorrows for all the native Eurasian populations, wouldn’t work together and help each other. To keep them separate and antagonistic.

I’ve thought this might be the case since the war broke out, maybe before even. Given the trajectory things were on until 2020 I assumed that after reconciling French-German and German-Polish antagonism the next logical step would have been gradually integrating Russia, Belarus, Ukraine. (My wife talks about this period like ‘it was a different world’).

In a more globalised world the formation of a Northern Euro sphere would seem logical, otoh there seems to be some pressure for this not to happen.

In relation to shared Northern European culture and the discussion of Leeds/Manchester on the other thread I remembered this:

https://daveweldrake.wordpress.com/tag/swastika-stone/

It is possible that the plan is to only feint an offensive while engaging in attrition.

But I think they are most likely prodding for a hole before bringing in tanks

Attrition is a poor second to a decisive offensive. Armies were still expecting soldiers fighting from the back of horses with swords to have a role well into WW1, so actual combat showing up the ineffectiveness of tanks a hundred years later is par for the course. And it is not just tanks, there seems to be an assumption that F16s would shoot down Russian ground attack aircraft and then do airstrikes on the Russian defenders at critical points, but that is most unlikely.

The swarms of drones are profoundly altering the usefulness of airpower, which also has to cope with manpads among ordinary infantry; furthermore, given the Russian emphasis on an extensive variety of long range anti aircraft missiles to fight against an opponent with a strong airforce, and and that modern air superiority planes almost a generation in advance of the F16 would be protecting the Russian ground attack aircraft the plausibility of F16s sweeping the Russians from the skies and then doing ground attack missions on the rapidly evolving Ukrainian battlefield is very dubious.

The Ukrainians are nowhere though the first layer of fortifications yet, and already went from fanfaronade to fiasco. Russia had a series of fiascos from trying to advance swiftly, and while they made mistakes in execution I think evidence for the effectiveness of combined (tanks, artillery infantry, and airstrikes) arms to breach defences and exploit the breakthrough in a sustainable way is noticeably lacking considering now long the war has went on . Mines laid by artillery and drone observation of where to shoot the mines has wreaked havoc on both sides’ offensives in Ukraine and what can F16s or even F35s do about that?

It’s very similar to the damage on the Wehrmacht and Waffen SS at Prokorovka.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Prokhorovka

German (on 12 July):
43–80 tanks and assault guns destroyed or damaged
842 men killed, wounded and missing
19 aircraft destroyed or damaged
Soviet (on 12 July):
300–400 tanks and self-propelled guns destroyed or damaged
5,500 men killed, wounded and missing
14 fighter aircraft

Atlanticists do not want a real Eurasian economic integration that would make Eurasia into a planetary economic powerhouse. They would do anything to exclude this. The whole Intermarium trope is to cut eastern part of the Eurasian continent from its westernmost part. Medvedev has offered an Eurasian security initiative to ensure peace from Dunkirk to Vladivostok around 2008. Putin talked about joining NATO as soon as he came to power and offered the Ulyanovsk logistics hub to NATO troops in Afghanistan. But the Atlanticist (((Neocon))) would always oppose any real efforts towards integration and the RusFed-ian Noviop would always overreach in their bargain, trying to impose themselves as equal to much older, wealthuer and powerful Western elites. A tale of mutual distrust and contempt ending up in war. Nothing new.

Regarding the integration of Northern Europe, it totally makes sense and historically it has been connected through trade networks. People traveled during Nordic Bronze Age and Unetice Culture period. They traded metals from modern day England and modern day Slovakia to modern day Scandinavia.

“a young generation rising up against oppressive authoritarianism to secure a more democratic political system and a brighter economic future”

You mean the usual suspects rioting because they’re either over-policed or under-policed?

I’ll have to remember while looting the Apple store that I’m rising against oppressive authoritarianism.

Unfortunately EU economic policy and US explosive charges are going to make the economic future of UK/EU a whole lot worse. Only those few energy-rich Nordics like Norway and Iceland will prosper.

2014 video of Ukrainian troops shooting civilians in Mariupol.

https://t.me/llordofwar/167950

I’ll have to remember while looting the Apple store that I’m rising against oppressive authoritarianism.

I concur.

Of course it is not just phones being looted to resist authoritarianism. Cars are being looted to resist authoritarianism. Even washing machines are being looted resist authoritarianism.

This does not seem to be about “resistance” at all. At least Notre Dame was defended this time around.
___

The quote “Places don’t change… People change” is the unvarnished truth. France opened its doors to Muslim migrants who are incapable of being French. The arrival of violent religionists created in France conditions typical for Islamic African & Middle Eastern nations. Do you see these types of Muslim riots in Budapest, Prague, or Warsaw? Nope.

A growing segment of the French population grasps what is needed to solve the problem. Those incapable of being French must be excluded from France. It really is that simple.

PEACE 😇

You are either with us or you are with the terrorists.

Have you watched Carlton Meyer’s videos on the American/anglo wars on Russia? They are really good if you have not seen them.

Where’s Napoleon when you need him?

Where’s Napoleon when you need him?

I concur.

A modern version of Napoleonic combat efficiency would be good at putting down the Muslim looters. Alas, current French authority lacks the fortitude.

Where’s President Zemmour when you need him?

PEACE 😇

On the Hollywood front… It’s initial estimates for Indiana Jones and the Kathleen Kennedy Self-Insert are available. Only $60MM in domestic box office + $70MM internationally.

That is very close to The Flash and well below The Little Mermaid (1). Indy needs global box office of ~$900MM just to break even. Flash will fall short of $300MM.

One can hear the banshee wail… Will Kathleen Kennedy escape again? She is trying to shift blame onto Disney’s marketing department for not promoting the movie correctly.

PEACE 😇
__________

(1) https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Indiana-Jones-and-the-Dial-of-Destiny-(2023)/Flash-The/Little-Mermaid-The-(2023)#tab=day_by_day_comparison

JJ, how do you respond to the Mariupol 2014 video posted by YetAnotherAnon (#70)?

Does anyone know the state of transportation in Eastern Ukraine?

Are trains and planes operating semi-normally in Kiev?

What about Kharkov, Dnipro, Zaphorizhzhia?

Is it possible to drive a private car around without being shot? Does the Ukrainian government publish maps of allowed routes?

NB: Tantamount to Russia losing so it will presumably take a while to get there, if ever.

Does anyone here at Unz know the current population distribution in Ukraine? Reportedly a lot of people have left the country or been killed, but what about those that remain, where do they live?

What are estimates for the current populations of Kiev, Kharkov, Dnipro, Lvov, Odessa?

What is the status of city services and merchants in these places?

Where’s President Zemmour when you need him

?

Zemmour means “Black” in Tamazight, in Kabyle the olive oil would be zeit u zemmourth because obviously the oil is extracted from ripe black olives. To the east of Algiers one finds the sea side commune of Zemmouri, which marks the marches of the Kabyle lands going further East and into the mountains.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zemmouri

During a meeting with Kabyle autonomists that seek independence from Algeria, and receive support from Morocco and Israel, Zemmour literally declared: “I am a Berber, just like you, but of Judaic faith (Je suis un Berbère, tout comme vous, mais de confession Judaïque).

You really think there is none better fit for the presidential job in France ?

BTW, any independence war in Kabylia, would end up leading to massacres and crimes against humanity, possibly to Algerian state devolving into a hardcore Islamist dictatorship and/or Moroccan intervention. A huge clusterfuck that would lead to millions of Maghrebi refugees washing up on southern European shores. Then once the Maghreb destructured, the Sub-Saharan African hordes would have a free pass to migrate towards Europe. Hundreds of millions of them might move to the North under the climate change scenario.

Perhaps that is why we need Zemmour in charge of the French society?

So he would start the whole shit show, just like Yatsenyuk did in Ukraine in 2014 ?

And once the job is done, and Europe is even more weakened, Zemmour might migrate somewhere else, just like his Jewish Berber ancestors did…

Atlanticists do not want a real Eurasian economic integration that would make Eurasia into a planetary economic powerhouse. They would do anything to exclude this. The whole Intermarium trope is to cut eastern part of the Eurasian continent from its westernmost part.

Ideas can have more than one cause and more than one purpose.

From the Atlanticist POV you are correct, and it is useful from that perspective.

For the people actually living in Intermarium, it is safety from the murderous Eurasian beasts and unity when negotiating with Western Europe on issues such as non-European immigration (until the Western Europeans, hopefully, come to their senses on that). That this helps the USA/UK does not change that fact, or make the people supporting Intermarium someone’s tools, or whatever.

From the other thread, you wrote:

Poles have been tamed by the Latin Church and their elites, socially the Poles I have known were Western people. Russians are not.

In the video above, posted by Sean, a man walks in the forest and sees a bear, then films himself going in and kicking the bear (which tries to calmly walk away) for no reason. When the bear attacks the man (who is lucky to have survived) the man stands up and says in Russian: “the son of a b☆tch has biten through my hand” as if he was surprised that it happened. Russians are often crazy tough – безумие и отвага.

Imagine people like this one needing moneys in the early 90ies, do you think some regulation would have stopped him ? They had to kill each other for a few years before the craziest got eliminated.

The Poles OTOH just sold the “Polish soup” makeshift morphine extract in Coca-Cola bottles, and made a few hundred thousand bucks, before going to London as a proverbial Polish plumber, that was enough for their level of пассионарность.

Russians and Ukrainians still have the ancient Slav in them, with everything it entails, both good or bad. Other Slavs underwent a domestication under their elites.

Ukrainians did not sink nearly to the level of Russians in the 1990s. They are not the same. They may not have been domesticated as much as Poles and other Europeans, but they are not nearly as savage as the Russians. They are closer to Poles than to Russians.*

Here are homicide rates in Russia, Poland and Ukraine:

Russia achieved a level similar to Central America. Poland stayed civilized. Ukraine was much closer to Poland, than to Russia, despite it’s poverty.

Within Ukraine there are geographical differences that reflect the taming influence of centuries of union with Poland and Austria. Crime rates across Ukraine:

You see that Galicia is the most civilized. But then you also see that the Right Bank (which had been part of Poland until 1793) is much less criminal than the rest.

I have a friend from Eastern Ukraine who was a university student in Lviv in the early 90s. His father had been brutally murdered in his Russian-speaking home city for about $200 in savings. He was saying that this sort of thing, commonplace at that time in his home city, was seen as shocking and rare in Lviv. He never moved back home.

::::::::::::::::::::

Russians like having a despotic government. They tend to be violent people, on average, especially under pressure and when they aren’t under strict control. Their country has lots of Muslims, both native and incoming from neighboring Central Asia.

Ukraine is different on all these factors. Ukrainians don’t want to be part of that Eurasian world. They want to join their Polish Slavic brothers. They are fighting and dying in order to keep their homeland out of Eurasia. They are European Slavs, not Eurasian ones.

These facts are not some sort of an Atlanticist plot, merely because Atlanticists benefit from them.

*The three Baltic Republics had higher homicide rates than Ukraine in the 1990s; the Russian population can explain Latvia and Estonia, but not Lithuania:

https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/VC.IHR.PSRC.P5?locations=UA-RU-PL-LT-LV-EE

Western Ukraine has seen a population boom, due to the influx of refugees, many of whom will stay.

Lviv gained 150,000 people (they estimate a third will stay after the war) and is building new housing and neighborhoods:

https://asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Ukraine-war/Hope-for-Ukrainian-victory-burns-strong-in-Lviv-one-year-on#:~:text=Lviv%20Mayor%20Andriy%20Sadovyi%20says,by%20150%2C000%20since%20the%20invasion.

Entire companies have relocated from places like Kharkiv to Lviv; they are not going back.

Transcarpathia has also seen an influx, which dilutes the Hungarian minority there.

Good news is that the new constuciton in Lviv should be nice:

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/31/arts/lviv-ukraine-refugee-housing.html

So he would start the whole shit show, just like Yatsenyuk did in Ukraine in 2014 ?

Did Yatsenuk send soldiers and weapons into Russia in 2014?

Where’s President Zemmour when you need him?

You really think there is none better fit for the presidential job in France?

Please, define “none better fit”.

— Of 100% of the population of France? — There are probably many. Running for political office is so unpleasant, the best potential office holders never become candidates. All democracies have this problem to a lesser or greater extent.

— Of those who are viable? — To run, French candidates must garner signatures from 500 elected officials, who are mostly mayors. This is a formidable challenge. Le Pen almost fell short last cycle.

Please, name someone better who can clear the 500 barrier.

I am hard pressed to identify a better, currently active, viable option. Is there a well known individual ready for a sudden break through? Any lesser known candidate would need major party support and Le Pen [RN] does not seem to be going anywhere.

PEACE 😇

Yatsenyuk was the one who conspired with Vicky Nuland of the “Fuck Europe” fame. You know the one who is still very much in charge of the US Ukrainian strategy. With friends like these, who needs ennemies…

I agree that the most prominent French politicards are mostly a bunch of opportunists.

But you ignored the gist of my post, Zemmour is not ethnic European French, he is not Christian, and he is only Islamophobic because of his Berber Jewish historical grudges and pro- Israeli bias.

France needs someone who would put the ethnic European Français de souche first. Not use France as a tool in Atlanticist/Zionist games against Europe. France needs someone who stands for French historical identity.

Zemmour is a non-entity in this regard. If he is ever promoted to power with the help of Dassault, Badinter and Rothschild (Jewish) moneys, that would be the end of France.

BTW, given that you like anticipation novels and are somewhat interested in the French affairs, I suggest you have a look at this book if you have an opportunity:

https://www.babelio.com/livres/Ligny-Jihad/33853

Not sure it was translated in English though.

I think the ‘accelerationists’ are acting under a mistaken assumption that as things appear to crumble, as in the movie Mad Max, they will be able to simply fill in the vacuum with states of their own creation, something similar also to when the Western Roman Empire finally collapsed in the late 5th century and the ‘barbarian’ Germanic tribes stepped in with their own political states.

I suspect rather they’re being set up for destruction via a Russian style ‘civil war’ 2.0, though possibly even more brutal this go around, centered this time in the United States, but perhaps encompassing the whole of the Anglosphere, and perhaps bleeding some into Western Europe besides. Like the original Russian Civil War before it, with their roving political and racial/ethnic armies, led by warlords, it will appear for a time in certain ways much like a Mad Max scenario.

However, like the Russian Civil War before it, I submit this will more than likely be a rigged affair in favor of the Communists (Will it be the ‘New Bolsheviks’ now with their ‘Black Reparations Army’, more formally known as the ‘Black Revolutionary Army’, allies, the latter acting as the very spearhead of the Communist American revolution?)

What about outside help, like the White Russians got? Sure, but just like with them, it will probably be too little, too late, just as intended.

[The networking idea, though no doubt to be viciously resisted by the powers that be, might have a better shot at success.]

But you ignored the gist of my post, Zemmour is not ethnic European French, he is not Christian, and he is only Islamophobic because of his Berber Jewish historical grudges and pro- Israeli bias.

I did not ignore your post. I simply found it impenetrable.

Judeo-Christian values are the number one necessity for fighting Jihadist invaders. Indigenous Palestinian Jews and indigenous French Christians are in the same boat. Working together is a ‘no brainer’. Any candidate resisting the Great Muslim Replacement will naturally be a supporter of Israel.

Also key is avoiding the Atlanticist/Islamist game run by the European Empire. Judeo-Christians need to resist the jihad directed from places like Berlin, Brussels, and Davos. Merkel is without a doubt the “Most Atlanticist” leader ever, successfully bending failed Americans like GW and Obama to her will. There would be no Islamophile/Atlanticist movement without her and Germany.

Zemmour is despised by European NeoCons, including the Dassault, Badinter, and Rothschild (post-Judaic apostate) money crowd.

Of course, breaking through as an individual needing a coalition could bring problems similar to Trump’s 1st term. Zemmour would not be able to immediately succeed at 100% of everything. Some areas would have compromises. Holding the line and beginning de-migration is an achievable hope.

Zemmour, or any other Judeo-Christian leader, will also have to battle the entrenched EU deep state. As we can see from Meloni’s efforts, this is a time consuming fight that limits opportunities for quick results. It has taken months to reach temporary impounding of enemy troop transports. It will be more months before she can start jailing crews and scuttling captured vessels.
___

Again, Zemmour is the best option currently on the table for France to fight the Great Muslim Replacement. I am not stating he is the pinnacle choice on the entire planet. If you want to credibly oppose Zemmour, you need to:

Provide a name that can obtain the 500 signatures needed to run.

If you do not do so, you are tacitly admitting that Zemmour is the most viable option.

PEACE 😇

Today the German press reports that the Ukrainian offensive has cost Ukraine 41 Leopard 2’s, 49 T-72’s, 31 Bradley’s, 7 German Marders (?), 23 howitzers and 40 MRAP infantry fighting vehicles.

What is the source exactly? If the Russians had taken out even a dozen Leopards then they would be broadcasting the images on Russian State TV as they did with the 3 burned out Bradleys. Russia in fact has a bounty on them.

I suspect that the offensive will be called off shortly after the end of the NATO summit.

NATO can’t call off anything. It is individual states that are providing military aid.

The next summit is in two weeks and the Ukrainians haven’t received all their tanks.

Neither the US nor NATO controls Ukraine. The US wanted Ukraine to leave Bakhmut early this year and they declined.

1. posting tweets in these threads without a [more] tag not recommended
2. you are in error on E. Michael Jones. He did not write about Greta Therber’s titties on unz . com. He told that story on Tim Kelly’s podcast. Actually he did not speak about Greta Therber’s titties at all. He spoke about her absence of titties.

An analogy would be if I wrote about your absence of integrity.

3. Chew on this.

Some people are in an overly delusional denial. The proof of the pudding is in how Western mass media is gradually confirming the otherwise obvious.

I asked for his source on Russia destroying Ukrainian tanks and his response was “Forbes I think”.

You think doubting such a solid source is delusional?

Would you like to provide us with a source or are you just another Ritter/MacGregor follower that is fine with them pulling numbers out of their asses?

You post a lot of Ritter videos and he has been wrong every single month of this war.

It’s perfectly fine to be skeptical of the MSM but that doesn’t mean you should trust the word of a convicted sex criminal who was writing for Russian State News before the war started.

In a more globalised world the formation of a Northern Euro sphere would seem logical, otoh there seems to be some pressure for this not to happen.

Where is this not happening? There has been very close integration among the Nordic countries now for decades. There is a very strong trade and cultural integration between the Nordic countries and the UK and the US. It is true that there are now other players such as China in this space, and it was up to the elites in those countries to let China in. Which I personally think is stupid.

As to Russia and the West cooperation, Russia had it good and it’s hard to understand why Russia didn’t live with wha they had (which was a lot!). Russia never intended to make the necessary political and economic changes to integrate closer, they reverted to Stalinism instead of becoming more democratic and rule of law based. And yet everyone tolerated it and treated them almost as an equal.

What did Russia feel was lacking? Why wasn’t it good enough? Russians could travel where ever they wanted, they could buy property in many places in the EU and the UK. They had the pipeline. Trade was on the way up. Yet they themselves were never in any rush to become more like Europeans. On the contrary – they switched back to worshipping Stalin and everything that goes with this. They were not in a rush to learn English or any other European language or to open up their own domestic markets and make their own markets more acceptable for investment. They had it good. They just wanted even more special rights and privileges without doing any work to improve their own society. And of course – constantly trying to sit on two chairs – we want to be part of Europe, but yet we are special, better than those other ones. We are our own special civilization. Well, then so be it.

And the biggest question – if Russia so wanted to integrate with the EU and to have this whole Eurasian integration, then why not let Ukraine integrate with Europe, and then follow that path? It would’ve made perfect sense, if this “Eurasian theory” were true. Obviously that’s not what it’s all about.

Numerous sources have already done so. I don’t bookmark each and everyone of them. Not only Ritter. Davis, Macgregor, Berletic among others confirming the otherwise obvious.

Judeo-Christian values are the number one necessity for fighting Jihadist invaders.

But how useful have American ideas and influence been in resisting mass immigration into Europe since the 50s?

European nationalists may be closer to Papacito, the French guy whose short video on the riots AK has posted a couple of times further up the thread. Papacito is known as an admirer of general Franco.

One thing Franco was well known for was his picturesque personal bodyguard:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Guardia_Mora

The moors weren’t a problem for the Franco regime (more for its enemies):

Que otros paises guarden el oro, nosostros el moro

Okay then, the New York Times around 45 Leopards have been knocked out and around 50 T64s (a very good tank made by Ukies) and around 30 Bradley or M2 in a couple of weeks of offensive. Frankly, the one way that you do know you are having a battle is that you are losing gear. In principle the lack of loses being reported in the MSM indicates there’s no fighting.

I think the ‘accelerationists’ are acting under a mistaken assumption that as things appear to crumble, as in the movie Mad Max, they will be able to simply fill in the vacuum with states of their own creation

I agree. There would be chaos and after that chaos, a more totalitarian system could come into place. These accelerationists do not wish well to the West, they simply want it to crumble. What happens afterwards, they don’t care.

I understand the position of the French identitarian, it’s a relatively rational position from a selfish point of view and maybe even a common sense position. Btw, it is not something original, he is simply calling for secession (moving to the country side). It is not a bad suggestion overall, but it is not a long term solution.

What will happen is that some will move to the country side and will even be able to maintain a society there, but they will still be surrounded by chaos and immigrant masses, and eventually they themselves could become victims of a force that would come out of this chaos. Where is the guarantee that they will lead this force or that they can control it in any way if they simply bail? Their children will eventually be at its mercy.

If they bail and create another powerful force that is ready to fight chaos, then we can view them as serious players.

Numerous sources have already done so. I don’t bookmark each and everyone of them. Not only Ritter. Davis, Macgregor, Berletic among others confirming the otherwise obvious.

So you don’t have a source other than “cause a pro-Putin blogger says so”.

Exactly my point.

Okay then, the New York Times around 45 Leopards have been knocked out and around 50 T64s (a very good tank made by Ukies) and around 30 Bradley or M2 in a couple of weeks of offensive.

Ok then go ahead and cite the article.

Saying “I read it in the NYTIMES” is also not a source.

Frankly, the one way that you do know you are having a battle is that you are losing gear. In principle the lack of loses being reported in the MSM indicates there’s no fighting.

I am sure there are losses on both sides.

However I highly doubt there was a massive loss of Leopard tanks because we have seen very few videos of them in battle.

There are drone cameras being used by both sides. When Ukraine lost 3 Bradleys it was highlighted by Ritter and Russian TV News. That tells me that few tanks have been used if Ritter focuses on a single instance where 3 Bradleys ran into some mines and the crews escaped.

We really don’t know what is happening on the front. This offensive could still mostly be a feint. My guess is that they are prodding for holes before sending in tanks. Unlike Ritter and MacGregor I can acknowledge when I have limited information.

American ideas and influence been in resisting mass immigration into Europe since the 50s?

Very few Americans have migrated to Europe since the 1950’s, so on that axis European resistance has been pretty good.

The core problem is the distinctly non-American Islamophile/Atlanticist movement. Hatred of Judeo-Christian values resulted in constructs such as the European WEF pushing Muslim values on immigration. Worse yet, from my point of view, European deviancy has been pushed to America.

Europe has to face that the problems of Europe are fundamentally European in origin. Incorrectly blaming Americans & Jews is a core Islamophile/Atlanticist misdirection technique used to keep coherent opposition to migration from forming.

The moors weren’t a problem for the Franco regime

So… Who is the new Franco? I will give you the same challenge I put on ItF.

Provide a name that can obtain the 500 signatures needed to run.

If you do not do so, you are tacitly admitting that Zemmour is the most viable option.

PEACE 😇

…We really don’t know what is happening on the front.

Not much is happening – it is not a large, successful offensive. Maybe next time. At least admit that the breathless talk in the last few months has been mostly hot air.

…they are prodding for holes before sending in tanks.

They are not finding any holes. If it stays that way, will Kiev refrain from sending in the ‘tanks‘ and instead send in more clowns? Like Zelko? How is that guy going to live down what he has done? He caused the death of tens of thousands and destroyed his own country in order to join Nato and ban the Russian language…quite a guy. He should also dress better.

So you don’t have a source other than “cause a pro-Putin blogger says so”.

Unlike the coruscatingly creative use of light mobile forces and psychological warfare on social media concentrated on an area weakly held by the Russians seen in the Kharkov offensive last year, Ukraine is now completely predictable; they are going head on at a well prepared defences and doing so in a defuse way on a broad front. That could only work if the Russian command and and control had broken down, or if they were outgunned; the supreme Ukrainian military commander recently said in the context of explaining the slow progress of the counter offensive that the Russians have a ten to one advantage in artillery.

Do you have a link to the survey that Mercouris mentions?

Also, in regards to people preferring to live, that’s true for other wars too, not just for this war. I doubt that the various combatants in WWI would have had enough manpower to fight effectively for so long if they didn’t force unwilling men to fight against their will.

Russia could have indeed sought to have a Eurasian pole within the EU. The problem is that Russia would need to reform in terms of corruption, democracy, and human rights (extrajudicial killings of critics, etc.) before it would ever actually be considered for EU membership. It’s possible, but very difficult, and requires a different Russian regime.

Russians like having a despotic government. They tend to be violent people, on average, especially under pressure and when they aren’t under strict control. Their country has lots of Muslims, both native and incoming from neighboring Central Asia.

I wonder just how much Russians’ more violent tendencies post-Soviet collapse relative to Ukrainians were the rest of Russians drinking more alcohol than Ukrainians did. I know that historically speaking Ukrainians lived longer than Russians did until the last several years.

Anyone who wants to fight would have volunteered by now. There are a lot of men coming back minus legs from mines, which are an underreported source of KIA on both sides.

Have you seen this list of box office bombs, which seems to hint the bombs are drastically increasing?

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_biggest_box-office_bombs

I wonder if movie theaters won’t soon be a thing of the past, analogous to drive-ins. Hard to understand how it works as an economic model, to give up half (or more) of your potential revenue. And to compete with the increasing number of options.

requires a different Russian regime

And a different kind of brain for 70% of their population.

Some Bible text trivia, which may be not surprising to most, but it was news to me. Makes sense perhaps as the most magic sounding details seem to appear the more time passes from original text/event:

As with the Iliad, versions of Mark’s gospel differ from one another. The biggest difference is that the earliest versions omit the ending that shows up in later versions. The oldest versions, like the Codex Sinaiticus excerpt below, end with Jesus’ followers finding Jesus’ empty tomb. Later versions have an added section in which Jesus, having risen from the dead, appears to his followers.

https://worldhistory.medium.com/how-old-are-the-oldest-manuscripts-c29eab221cee

Have you seen this list of box office bombs, which seems to hint the bombs are drastically increasing?

There is another list here, scroll all the way to the bottom.

https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/budgets

Audiences were restricted by the CCP’s WUHAN-19 plague. So, 2020 & 2021 will be over represented.

However, the real problem is bad movies. Go Woke! Go Broke!

• When you think of Marvel what names immediately spring to mind? Ironman, Captain America, and Thor are the usual top picks.

• What is the big film later this year? The Marvels. Let’s see… Kamala Khan, Monica Rambeau, and Carol Danvers.

The comic book for Kamala Khan “Ms. Marvel” has been cancelled and the character killed off. Did anyone watch Wandavision on Disney+ which introduced Monica Rambeau?

Look at the poster. Don’t turn away. It is Pure, Unadulterated, CRINGE. You can already feel the #EpicFAIL coming.

I wonder if movie theaters won’t soon be a thing of the past, analogous to drive-ins. Hard to understand how it works as an economic model, to give up half (or more) of your potential revenue.

Making a good movie at a reasonable cost could still work. Shorter movies would also help via more screenings per theatre per day.

The model under the most stress are streaming services. Disney+ lost almost $4 Billion in 2022. That is 4-5x the cinema losses. More money will be hemorrhaged in 2023. She Hulk flop. Secret Invasion flop. Loki Season 2 may break even, but it is burdened with Jonathan Majors.

PEACE 😇

Elon is a moron.

That much was clear to me the moment I saw him taking ad-hoc Twitter policy decisions through popular polls but I don’t remember such a long and catastrophic outage in any other big internet company. In the end, instead of recovering the ideal of freedom of expression, what he has really accomplished is damage it further by associating it with arbitrary decisions and mismanagement.

Which shows how basing your ideas on the thinking of the elites is a questionable strategy. Success and money fries the brains of too many of them.

Btw, AK’s idea of “elite human capital” as some group of ill defined high IQ, visionary people who defend open borders and lgbtq rights is also quite dubious. I don’t think any such group exists but I do think that there isn’t any prominent defender of open borders and gender fluidity who is not also in total favor of Ukraine so we may not have seen the end of AK’s ideological flip.

Far from all volunteers have been sent to fight. My cousin volunteered for territorial defense, got some light training, but hadn’t been sent anywhere other than home. He’ll fight if calked to do so.

Also new people willing to fight come of age.

I prefer the …And They Were Afraid” ending.

Mark is good kek. A great satire of Judaism.

I’m not even sure that the vehicles are the key casualties. More interested in the bleed off of talented drivers and clever commanders. The squad of keen Panzer Grenadiers who get killed too. Not many men are really made for war. A few thousand of these keen young men dead and the assault comes to a stop.

It doesn’t matter really. The Ukies have lost around 100 tanks so far in June. They’ve lost around three Battalions of highly trained personnel. If not more.

Where is this not happening?

I don’t think it is happening in the UK, the cultural orientation is away from Northern Europe now and towards the South. The same with the future demographic orientation (the two will be connected). This is what prompted me to write that reply.

At one time if you were thinking about typical characteristics of British identity, it might have involved some basic things like Protestantism, Germanic/Scandinavian influences, industrialisation and class issues.

But lately the emphasis has shifted to global commerce plus the legacy of empire, multiculturalism and the important contribution of blacks and other non-Europeans to creating Britain, racism. This is sort of clear in the media and cultural production.

Partly it must be naturally driven by demographic change, but also it seems to reflect the choice of a Southern option for the future. One issue might be that different Northern Euro countries now have different Southern orientations according to where their immigrant populations originate from. This may set them off in different directions in the future, especially if they adopt the current Anglo model of integration which is more minority centred.

Yet they themselves were never in any rush to become more like Europeans. On the contrary – they switched back to worshipping Stalin and everything that goes with this…

Russian attitudes don’t seem completely out of line with the attitudes of an old European great power, though not compatible with an EU state. Once the Soviet Union was a peer to the US and they collaborated to set down the rules of the new international order after WW2, and maybe this hasn’t been forgotten, even though it is now more out of place and they don’t have the same power and status as the USSR did in its era.

Incorrectly blaming Americans & Jews is a core Islamophile/Atlanticist misdirection technique used to keep coherent opposition to migration from forming.

Blaming Jews in Europe is mild now but used to be more serious when Europe was more Christian. I think the main motivation wasn’t love of Islam or trying to make America more liberal.

Imo one of the differences between the US and Europe is that socialism is seen as subversive or unacceptable in the US, when in most of Europe it is more of a mainstream idea. I tend to agree with that souverainiste guy Pierre Yves Rougeyron on this, that the only realistic solution to the immigration problem will be socialist, people will have to be ready to pay more to employ a fellow countryman.

So… Who is the new Franco?

Franco ended up with the powers of an absolute monarch in a state without a written constitution until its last years, I bet it will be a while before there is another Franco in Europe.

Zemmour’s book ‘Le Suicide français’ was good, although it does contain some challenging stuff about Jewish/Zionist interests in France.

They could probably save one new Marvel movie with the Flerkin, but goose can only do so much 🙂

Most of the anti-Ukraine commentators here are married men with kids who resent our money going for those parasites either directly or through inflation or economic disruption.

I know it’s not inspiring, kind of banal. Apparently not all of us are living in the fast lane like you, player, posting on here and fighting the good fight for the Ukraine when not wowing the ladies

I do not have a full slate for 😆 Open Thread Humor 😁

However, the first item is relevant for mistakes that will be made tomorrow by Team Darwin.

As usual, open [MORE] for the rest.

PEACE 😇

What if turns out that EHC get their above average cognitive abilities through eating complex animals?

that the only realistic solution to the immigration problem will be socialist

Socialist only is not enough, nationalist dimension should be added too, nevermind how bad it may sound because of the previous NSDAP escapades, which contaminated that word combination for the ages;)

imho, the preferable solution should be total robotization of aging societies too, which should make immigration not needed while having no negative effect of job losses, because people will go into retirement instead of losing the job. The biggest hurdle here is lack of technological invention pace, because fully functional restless robotic nurses and robotic elderly asistants are nowhere near on the horizon yet, despite all the ongoing AI dooming.

If you’re actually following this matter with a relative sense of objectivity, you’d know that the Kiev regime is taking heavy casualties on account of a lack of air support and artillery shells – something that they’ve periodically acknowledged. You were non-comm ital to the Berletic video posted earlier at this thread.

What if turns out that EHC get their above average cognitive abilities through eating complex animals?

Ummmmmm……. You might want to rephrase that…. it has incendiary implications.

• What is the most complex animal?
• Should it be eaten?

PEACE 😇

…Kiev regime is taking heavy casualties on account of a lack of air support and artillery shells – something that they’ve periodically acknowledged.

It is ugly and unnecessary – we are already getting the losing side talking about a potential baby boom after the war. They don’t worry too much about the casualties: let’s kill the current crop of the Ukie men and for sure new people willing to fight will come of age – as AP so helpfully observed. (He is a sociopath.)

If nothing else this war illuminates how people f..ed up so horribly in the past: sociopaths start dreaming, then they start lying to themself, then they insist that everyone must believe in the lies…human lives become cheap and disposable – but the really evil people cheer on the slaughter from far away. It is always like that, no skin in the game makes for bloody fanaticism…

Strelkov about current military action in UA:

At the front (from north to south):

Kursk, Bryansk, Belgorod regions – daily shelling of medium intensity of border settlements continues.

Kupyansk direction – tactical attacks of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation without serious results.

Kremennaya area – in the past two days, the fighting was of a positional nature.

Bakhmut area – tactical attacks of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in places (to the north of the city) – with little progress.

Donetsk front – artillery and positional battles in the area of Avdeevka, Vodyanoye and the still not taken Maryinka.

Vremevsky ledge – strong artillery battles, the enemy continues to conduct reconnaissance in battle with the forces of small units.

Near Orekhov – the enemy continues to attack the settlement. Rabotino, our troops are engaged in heavy defensive battles. In places, the enemy managed to achieve minor tactical advances, measured in a few hundred meters. A fierce exchange of artillery and missile strikes in this direction. The hottest point of the front at the moment.

Kherson Front – fighting continues on the enemy’s bridgehead at the dachas and overpass of the Antonovsky bridge. There have been no reports of changes in the situation since yesterday.

Both sides are delivering rocket and artillery strikes on each other’s close and deep rear areas, both sides are suffering significant losses from these strikes.

I still expect an attempt by the enemy to strike in the area of the Zaporozhye nuclear power plant in order to capture a significant bridgehead on the left bank of the Dnieper in the indicated area. Enemy attacks are possible in the Donetsk region (Avdeevka-Vodyane).

Approximately half of their reserves, prepared for the current offensive, the enemy has not yet committed to battle or has introduced only partially.

https://t.me/strelkovii/5858

What is the big film later this year? The Marvels. Let’s see… Kamala Khan, Monica Rambeau, and Carol Danvers.

Had to look it up, to check that it was real.

It is so amusing. Girls don’t like that sort of stuff. Any prediction market would predict it will be a failure. It is not even three pretty women, and, in theory, it would be easy to find pretty women to be in a movie.

There is nothing sociopathic about the observation that young people willing to defend their country come of age.

Your excuses, trying to justify an invasion of another country and blaming the victim are exactly what a sociopath would do, however.

I wonder if movie theaters won’t soon be a thing of the past, analogous to drive-ins

Not until home movie theaters with huge screens as in movie theaters become standard. But if that happens maybe the movie industry ups the ante all movies go IMAX? There’s something to be said for a more immersive experience.

But I suspect that the proliferation of big action movies is in part due to the fact that more intimate, dramatic films centered on dialogue are not necessary to be seen in theaters. One doesn’t need a huge screen for that.

If Moscow and other parts of Russia were in turmoil like Paris and other parts of France right now, the Western mass media coverage would be wall to wall.

Moscow in July looks like paradise. It’s too bad about those ghastly six months every year. : (

We know that Ukraine is taking heavy casualties but we don’t know how many and we also don’t know how high Russian casualties are right now.

Strelkov has been far and away the best analyst of the conflict so far. He gets stuff wrong but he is the most reliable person when it comes to reporting information from the front.

So we would expect Ukraine to have fully committed all reserves by the end of the month. This is in line with what Milley has suggested. It’s not clear how much longer the offensive would last after that point.

I like the Moscow in Metro 2033 better tbh.

I don’t know how old your cousin is; I suppose that training is directed at the most promising candidates for the best combat formations. I can tell you that many wised up Ukrainian mothers (including some with skills useful to Ukraine such as medical professionals) leave the country when their sons are about to turn 18. because they know the army would instantly come for their boy. Young men with their energy, naïve determination and mobility on foot make the best soldiers for high tempo infantry assault such as the Ukrainian offensive tactic is evolving into, and once inducted into the army they would soon find themselves earmarked for units in the thick of it.

As Joe Biden would say ‘Come on, man! Where’s the vibrancy?’ 🙂

Yep, unfortunately.

Closed borders and especially the killings of complex animals are likely to be regarded in a similar vein in future centuries or even decades.

Conquering countries for their human capital is already viewed in such a way right now, at least among Western and pro-Western (which includes Russian) EHC.

Ilya Somin argues that citizenship creates a modern-day hereditary aristocracy:

https://reason.com/volokh/2018/07/07/the-hereditary-aristocracy-of-citizenshi/

(He has also argued against deporting migrants for crimes unless natives are also deported for equivalent crimes.)

That said, though, if one is actually serious about rejecting hereditary privilege, then one should also oppose giving some children a much better quality of life than certain under children based on factors that are completely out of their control, such as who their biological parents are and how exactly they were conceived. If a parent volunteers to financially support their child, then it’s one thing, but not if the coercive power of the state is used to achieve this goal and to reinforce hereditary privilege. Support all children with a sufficiently large UBI for each child and make legal parenthood voluntary for everyone.

BTW, why was Odesa relatively low crime in Ukraine even though it’s a historically pro-Russian city (not anymore, but definitely was until 2014)?

Who’s gonna pay for the pensions ?

Robots?

Moscow is a country unto itself.

Only if it’s kosher…

🙂

When attackers are moving though minefields and into artillery range while there are drones overheard zeroing in the howitzers the defender–especially one with with big gun and rocket firepower advantage plus command of the air behind its front line –is holding all the cards. The Ukrainian high command (meaning the military professionals) surely realise that, so this is a politically motivated offensive.

Beating the Russians in Ukraine (or at least forcing them to ask for negotiations and put their gains on the table) will certainly remain possible, but I am not sure the US ever envisioned the open ended level of commitment to supply arms that will be necessary for doing that. I think America’s strategists thought I would be more like Afghanistan, where a modern amount of support enabled the resistance to bleed a half hearted effort Russians until a leader in the Kremlin called a halt, with the decision to withdraw taken four years before it happened, and the results being a disappointment to the Kremlin.

Ambassador Anatoly Dobrynin summed up in his memoirs, “Gorbachev’s strategic aim and hope was that Afghanistan would be neutral and that the United States would play a useful role together with us in the future settlement. That turned out to be an illusion.”

So Russia can be under no illusions, it is is going to have to be well and truly beaten in Ukraine. The West could do that quite quickly at unconscionable risk of Russian resort to a big b*ng. The West might be able attain the deired result while keeping within the fine balance whereby the Kremlin becomes totally demoralised yet not desperate to the extent it might become panicky.

However, inflicting such a defeat of Russia will require gradual discouragement: a long slog by Ukraine and it being supplied with quantities of near state of the art armaments that have not been envisioned. New productive capacity would have to be created in the West to keep Ukraine in the fight and grinding down a stymied Russian army. Such a Western effort has not been hitherto envisioned in Washington alliance capitols, certainly not as one that would need to kept be running for several years (I think the productive and fighting manpower resources of Russia that will be be drawn on in response to a surge in Western assistance to Ukraine would take some time to be safely nullified).

BTW, are network states going to have closed borders? Or at least borders that are de facto closed to those people who are not going to be able to pay the extremely massive entrance fees that network states might require? If so, how will this be morally justified? Shouldn’t the borders of network states be open to everyone just like the borders of nation-states are, at least if one is actually concerned about being morally consistent in regards to this?

On an unrelated note, I suspect that polyamorous relationships would be more accepted in the future, even though most people likely will still not practice them (similar to how most Westerners likely support same-sex marriage right now in spite of them being uninterested in personally being in a same-sex marriage).

According to Russia it’s 10 to 1 in their favor which seems reasonable.

What you are suggesting would lead to a Ukrainian battlefield victory would take years to build up and cost hundreds of billions of dollars. Such an effort by the US would be a guarantee that Russia would fully mobilize and that China would drastically scale up its own current level of assistance to Moscow. I really think you drastically overstate the US fear of Russia using nuclear weapons. It’s very doubtful Russia would ever launch a nuclear strike unless the survival of the state was in question.

Remember, the US is politically incapable of sending in troops and Ukraine doesn’t have the manpower on its own to evict the Russians from all Ukrainian territory.

The Ukrainian high command (meaning the military professionals) surely realise that, so this is a politically motivated offensive.

Yes, politically motivated and carried out on the orders of the Biden regime who arrogantly believed the Russia lines would collapse at the first sight of Western armor.

I think America’s strategists thought I would be more like Afghanistan, where a modern amount of support enabled the resistance to bleed a half hearted effort Russians until a leader in the Kremlin called a halt, with the decision to withdraw taken four years before it happened, and the results being a disappointment to the Kremlin.

Insofar as there was any coherent strategy at all, this is probably true

Niggers.

10 to 1 means a platoon destroying a battalion.

Are you retarded or something?

US infantry in a straight gun fight didn’t have that exchange vs Taliban.

A fight between a banana & a leopard won’t favor the banana so much.

Usually the attacker needs ੩-੫x more numbers so we can assume that much more casualty.
–

Are you saying the Russian forces are ੨-੩x better than Hohols?

Where? Which Russian forces? Could you show them because I would like to receive their training.

ਅਕਾਲ

What if turns out that EHC get their above average cognitive abilities through eating complex animals?

To call above high IQ, well con-texted, big picture, a deduction for general intelligence?

Crimea is no Khyber Pass.

He’s an interesting Major’s Eye View of things.

I like Cyberspec1 “Tony” also. Good telegram and Twitter feed. You get an impression from the Russian side.

Witness the Muslimization of Moscow! John Johnson.

Why not? Commercial and even private means of transport already have been taxed one way or another, robots can be taxed too.

Because you know how big capital and especially publicly traded TNCs react to increased taxation. They vote with their feet. To get to your solution, we need One World Government. Let me see; One Government, UBI, ESG, censorship, 15 minute cities, multiculti – USSR 2.0. What was the trouble we’ve gone through all about? Just changing the Noviop for the Neocon? Хрен редьки не слаще.

Islamisation of Moscow is real. The Slav do not breed. The Noviop import millions of Central Asians. I saw it with my very eyes, I still remember when seeing one of these in Moscow was exotic. Less than two generations ago. Of course it’s the same thing in the West, for exactly the same reason: demographics is destiny.