This is what will happen :

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Ga35HL3a0AAE-4l?format=png&name=small

Trump, by a comfortable margin in the Electoral College is the way to bet. I assume the polls showing a tight race in the swing states are more or less rigged to save down-ballot Democrats in the Senate and House by encouraging core Dem voters to vote. Personally, I’d like to see the Democrat Party punished for a generation for foisting manifestly unfit Biden (and then Harris) on the USA, but that’s unlikely to say the least.

Repubs will likely retain the House and get a 51-49 Senate, but whether they can pick up seats in swing states OH,WI and PA to buffer an unfavorable map in ’26 and add enough seats in the House to get meaningful legislative reforms–Trump’s “coattails”–that is a prop bet I’m not willing to risk my (nonexistent) prognosticator’s reputation on.

My bet is that Trump wins, and there’s a decent chance of a Republican sweep. If you agree (or disagree), you can place your own bets on Kalshi now–they got the green light to take legal election bets in the U.S. recently. And unlike PredictIt, which takes a 5% fee on the way out, Kalshi isn’t taking any fees currently.

Trump “wins” then K. Harris WINS!!11!!

I don’t know who will win, but I predict it’ll be several days before we know for sure.

“… it’s on your permanent record.”

Yes, yes, it’s going to be on your permanent record, along with facial recognition, purchases, travels, texts, emails, phone calls, IP addresses, and every single fucking thing that you do.

No matter who you vote for, the future is going to be a scary place, but you can pretend that this election will make a difference.

Trump will probably win despite the drag put on his campaign by anti-abortion groups. Yeah I said it, eat it. They demand everything and yet give nothing in return.

The GOP has already lost seats it should have won because of the issue.

But I understand Jesus is building them an extra big mansion in heaven right now.

The fact that Trump is leading in battleground polling and either tied or leading in national polls tells me that he will win handily.

Maybe it takes a few days at worst, but we will likely know on election night that he is the winner.

He may even win the popular vote at this rate.

Black turnout in Georgia and Wisconsin and way down.

Republicans are leading in the early vote in Nevada, something that hasn’t happened in decades.

Kamala is toast.

Trump will win. I guarantee it. No need for anyone here to worry.

I also bet about $45,000 on it on this website called Kalshi, you can bet on the election there. Easiest money I’ll ever make, it’s basically a legalized bank robbery at this point. The safe is open and I’m getting my stack of 100’s.

Trump will win in a blow out.

Dan Kurt

The image in my first comment :

Normal Americans are doomed, since even cuckservatives seem to be ok with vote fraud, so now it is going to be +5, +6, or more.

Democrats — lacking “fortification” or credibility — take the L and plan to come back stronger with a much better candidate later. Trump is like Reagan ’80, complete with economic crisis and foreign policy minefield, but he fixes it. Michigan is red for the God-Emperor. I voted today. The pens were correct. Not fortified. Do not despair.

What’s Going to Happen in the Election?

The globalist oligarchic elite will get a candidate they can live with

I knew you would say that.

I’m predicting a Kamala “win” (heavy on the quote-unquote) and then God-knows-what after that.

Obviously I don’t want that to be the case. I think there’s a lot of potential for genuine, long-lasting reform presented by the team Trump has assembled. But due to this, I just can’t see how our totalitarian Establishment is going to let them anywhere near the levers of power.

There was a ton of hanky-panky going on in 2020 (withholding the Pfizer vax trial, censoring right-wingers on social media, relentless anti-Trump propaganda by the MSM, squelching the Hunter laptop scandal, endless lawfare, possible ballot fraud, etc.) I expect them to do worse now, in 2024, in the few remaining days before the voting closes.

Trump will win because people are worse off than four years ago. You have record numbers of people working a second job and record levels of credit card and household debt as average working class people struggle to make ends meet. This includes working class Blacks and Hispanics and they will help Trump win.

The Covid lockdowns and the money printing to offset the negative economic effects of the lockdowns ended up having a worse economic effect than imagined by leading to high inflation and a lower standard of living. Florida which, adjusted for age distribution, had a Covid death rate at the national average turned out to have the right policy in not following along.

High levels of immigration helped result in sluggish economic growth, since the quality of many of the immigrants was quite low. We continued to waste money on overseas wars, several hundred overseas military bases and a huge military to deal with an imaginary threat of various new Hitlers out to conquer the world. It will be the combination of the inflation, immigration and imperialism problems that will help Trump get a second term.

Polymarket

https://polymarket.com/elections

is quoting 65.5% for Trump win.

It is also quoting 58% Harris popular vote win. 2016 redux?

On the other hand, University of Florida Election lab has early vote data. They say:

Early votes by party are 39.9% D, 36.3% R, 23.8% I, indicating better D enthusiasm? ground game?

By gender: 54.2% F, 43.8% M, indicating more woman power, helping D?

https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/

No Covid, worsening situation in the country on basically all fronts, the leftists overplaying their hand for several yeas and making a final mistake to offer two very weak candidates in succession, with the last one running a very dumb campaign.

These are all fundamentals that normally should guarantee a Trump’s win. That it will still be close only means that we are too far gone as a country, with our young being brainwashed by the leftists and our media becoming a fifth column working toward total leftist takeover.

But Trump should win nevertheless. And when he does, he must first pardon every non-violent J6 convict and then order a thorough audit of all 2024 election results with the aim of jailing everyone involved in cheating (which, even if not consequential, is undoubtedly still significant).

Elon Musk will be the next NASA administrator.

And we’re gonna go to Mars.

Trump’s lead is going to widen to the point where it will be impossible for the Democrats to fudge a win.

Plus, Harris is so unpopular that many Democrats just aren’t on board. Is Zuckerberg sponsoring collecting ballots this time around? I know both the Los Angeles Times and the Washington Post are refusing to endorse Harris. Would they cooperate again in a Russian collusion fraud or overlooking election irregularities?

I think Trump’s going to win, and the win won’t be taken away from him.

People I want to see active in the new administration. J.D. Vance, Elon Musk, Colonel Douglas MacGregor, Tulsi Gabbard, Mayra Flores…

Marjorie Taylor Greene!

…and just to reach across party lines… Rashida Tlaib as ambassadrix to Israel Palestine. Okay, okay: can’t have that, I guess.

Your scale is exaggerated, but the topology is true. D is running 3.6% ahead of R in early polling, which means it will have a 3.6% later boost. Since 3.6% is likely to be larger than the margin of win, Trump is on perfectly solid ground to allege election fraud when the 3.6% shows up after all the R is counted.

Very close but Harris wins.

AZ – abortion in suburbs and Hispanics stick with Harris. She wins +2 or better.

GA – blacks turn out strong for Harris but not enough enough abortion fans. Trump flips by +1.

MI – blacks south of 8 mile and abortion north of 8 mile and the whole Arab abstention thing fizzles. Harris wins surprising easily, +2 at least.

PA – Harris gets blacks in Pittsburgh and Philly, abortion fans on the suburbs, and Asians too. Not enough left for Trump. Harris +1, and that’s all she wrote.

Maybe OT but maybe not.

https://substack.com/@borisdoyle/note/c-72196733?utm_source=notes-share-action&r=avxs5

I want Trump to win; however, I remember the Red Wave that was sure to happen in 2018.
But didn’t.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/03/burst-pipe-delays-atlanta-absentee-vote-433988

I think a water pipe burst pause could be enough time to truck in 100,000 absentee ballots in any state. That could still be enough of a push for Democrats to win. If Trump wins there will be too much hate against him to effectively fight a war on behalf of Israel becaue the media will become very negative about it to hurt the Trump presidency. I think most Jewish oligarchs see Harris as the best candidate for Israel.

Donald Trump wins.

Pin this right here.

TRUMP WINS, but dem mischief makes counytry almost ungvernable. hence, in 2026, he resigns for health reasons, having crushed (and hastened ynto death) joe biden and driven stake through heart of Kamala. that sets up ’28, Newsome v. Vance. no women, no blacks even NEAR horizon, for many years.

Same as 2020 only more so: Trump will win harder, Dems will cheat harder.

The two variables:

1) Are the Dems sufficiently demoralized/irritated with Kamala/overwhelmed by Trump that they don’t cheat hard enough?

2) If not, are the GOP still so cucked they take it lying down again?

The former is hard to predict, but in the latter the GOP have shown mild signs of testosterone. Still, if it comes to a post-election fight over vote legitimacy, it is hard to imagine the median GOP pol standing up to a 24/7 media megaphone scream of “JANUARY6!!!”.

Note that the actual vote is mostly irrelevant to the outcome, in case you’re wondering where the country is at as a democratic polity.

A small but not insignificant portion of the Democrats are bothered that Kamala was anointed the nominee without having to work through either the primary process or at least an open convention. I think Walz was her best choice for VP but he doesn’t have the intellectual horsepower to keep up with Vance, not that I’m sure it matters.

Unless yesterday’s MSG rally ends up backfiring on Trump, I think he will win the electoral college and by extension the presidency.

Trump will lose in PA but it will be incredibly close. Then there will be mayhem…

Agree

Mister Gallagher,
Oh, Mister Gallagher,
Did you hear the Rogan show with Donald Trump?
Rogan is a tattooed freak,
But in the campaign’s final week
This should give the Donald’s poll numbers a bump.

Mister Shean,
Oh, Mister Shean,
Yes, and why can’t Rogan keep his language clean?
But the interview, of course, meant
The same as an endorsement….

We shouldn’t diss him, Mister Gallagher?

I could kiss him, Mister Shean!

Has Mr. Sailer, even in this sportsbally way, ever planted his feet on politician Donald Trump?

Keep his wry sly detachment in mind when considering whether or how to play a part in Most Important Election Ever v.2024. I suspect he long ago noticed that the engineered strife over transgender statues and Confederate bathrooms and the nail biting closeness of the related votes (including in Congress and the SCOTUS) are part of the Red+Blue intramurals staged to keep people voting at each other.

No matter who’s elected and installed, Big Finance, Pharma, and War will win this one, too. That’s why so many of your kids can’t afford a house, are on zombie medication, and with dismal job prospects might decide to “serve” in WWIII. The country has been falling apart your whole life, due in large part to a ruling class that couldn’t care less.

Meanwhile, neither puppet utters a practical peep against what actually matters to the Establishment. Tell yourself whatever you want, but a vote for either is a vote for just that.

No-one is going to win. We are all going to lose.

It’s not my country and not what I would like to see. Anyway…

Harris will win. It’s going to be like the 2022. Democrats win because of discipline, dirty tactics and demographics beat Trump’s ridiculousness. Turnout is down on 2020. The people who don’t turn up are the minorities who say they are voting Trump. Democrats take the house, lose the senate. The popular vote is close because of a swing to Trump in the Northeast and California. Harris 50%-48%. Texas is closer than Florida, both Trump wins. Harris wins all the swing states and the electoral college 319-219. After a week of denial Trump concedes. In the background a deal is done that in return for this his legal troubles will go away.

Things continue as they are. Elon Musk is bankrupt and in prison by 2028.

It’s probably impossible to really analyze, but the most likely thing to expect is that it will come down to a handful of swing states. No one should work themselves up trying to guess if Trump will win California. There are certain states where we can be confident of which side will win. But the swing states are unpredictable.

One should be cautious not to be influenced by the loud-mouthed enthusiasm of Trump-voters. Most of the people who voted for Biden in 2020 just did it because they hated Trump. But they weren’t at rallies cheering for Biden. There’s a segment of Trump-followers who find it incomprehensible that someone could just quietly cast an anti-Trump vote without having a candidate that they really gush over. That’s not how things work. There’s bound to be a certain number of people in the swing states who will quietly cast a vote for Harris out of nothing but anti-Trumpism. The question is whether or not such votes will be large enough to determine the election. Tune in next week for more.

If you look at the chart of 2020 election suspicious and presumptively invalid ballots in key states – image below – it is notable that the numbers of such ballots are many multiples of the margin by which ‘Biden won’.

Keeping in mind that 2020 vote fraud evidence was never fully adjudicated by any court, the courts merely dismissing to try the case based on various technicalities of standing of parties, jurisdiction etc … the typical USA court stitch up where there is no actual trial of evidence –

With the vote fraud framework still largely in place, and these 2020 numbers, it seems possible we are indeed being prepared for another rug pull of ‘late ballots’ handing the win to Kamala … some suspecting that the USA system controllers are openly seeking to incite some MAGA violence, which would be the pretence for dropping the oppression hammer and going full-on with left wing tyranny to counter right-wing ‘terrorism’

Notably, Nate Silver has recently flipped to predicting a Kamala Harris win, so now both of the USA top prediction guys, Silver and Allan Lichtman (both Jewish, for those who like to know such things), now say it’s Kamala, against the Trump ‘momentum’

Unless yesterday’s MSG rally ends up backfiring on Trump, I think he will win the electoral college and by extension the presidency.

As we all know, and as the media and 2016-rightfully-elected-President Hillary Clinton has assured us, a political event in MSG is necessarily a Nazi rally.

https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/the-madison-square-garden-smear/

I am predicting Trump win and then God-knows-what after that. FIFY.

Whatever happens, I am stocking up on toilet paper and whiskey this week.

Even if Trump wins, at long term, zionist hegemony is winning anyway…

Who will be counting the votes?

Aside: Are the NPR/PBS scolds still trying to foist the snooty pronunciation of harass on us? (i.e., stress on the first syllable)

Trump is polling within a percent in most of the swing states. If Trump voters are being undercounted as they have in past elections, then I say he’s taking it.

Trump will win the election; Kamala will win the count.

I predict a Trump win will do little to slow immigration and the general decline of the country.

Trump wins, the world is saved, everyone gets candy bars— full size, not fun size.

Trump will win in a fair election, but his margin of victory in the key swing states will have to be sufficiently large so that the vote-rigging is insufficient to overcome it. This may occur, because I think Jewish leaders favor Trump and will likely be in a position to curb the vote-rigging.

The more interesting question is what happens if Trump does win. I see three definite possibilities. First would be a refusal to certify the election results, with the objective of throwing the contest to the House of Representatives. This is the least likely because each state has one vote and the number of Red States exceeds the number of Blue States by quite a bit, even if the Blue States have a population advantage. So Trump wins there.

The second possibility, which I put at 50-50, is Trump’s assassination, either before the inauguration or within a few months after it. One might argue that the Deep State dislikes Vance more than it dislikes Trump but that isn’t certain and a Trump assassination might “send a message” to Vance that the same may be in store for him if he gets too far out of line.

The third possibility is an outright attempted coup d’etat, which may or may not be accompanied by Trump’s assassination. I don’t think that it will be the military that will attempt the coup, but the FBI, backed by the DC Police and possibly the DC National Guard, is a distinct possibility. There is also the possibility of CIA participation and many federal agencies have paramilitary units that could be utilized in a coup. I put this possibility at between one in five and one in four.

A Trump victory may also lead to resolutions of sucession by the legislatures of various Blue States. We are headed for interesting times!

I’m hoping Harris wins. Will be comedy gold for Hitler Rants Parodies for the next four years:

I told myself after 2022 that I wasn’t going to let myself get sucked in this year and believe the hype and get emotionally invested. To paraphrase Stalin, the democrats control the counting in the places where it matters.

Perhaps this is cynical, but I truly believe the dems will – eventually – be declared (declare themselves) the winners after a couple of weeks of blatant and inevitable “counting” in big cities in swing states that will only go in one direction. After which you are likely to see some rather more intense protests than January 6th scattered around the country, but those will eventually peter out since most republican voters are working class people who have jobs and can’t afford to devote themselves to rioting.

IF Trump’s publicly announced margins early enough on election night are large enough to preclude cheating and they have no choice but to concede that he won – and that’s a big ‘if’ but not entirely unlikely – then we are likely to see very destructive riots in several big cities and possibly quite a few lives lost. It won’t necessarily be from disappointed democrat voters, but from democrat professional brownshirts with orders from the highest levels of the deep state who don’t have jobs and don’t have anything better to do.

In my opinion, about the only thing that avoids a seriously tumultuous outcome would be if Trump manages to definitively win the popular vote and prevents the dems from using that talking point to justify their tantrum. In fact, I have a good friend who lives in a very blue state who is effectively a Trump supporter but who intends to vote for a write-in candidate to make some kind of (dumb) statement of principle. I have counseled him that even though his vote might not matter in the electoral college, it very much could matter when it comes to the popular vote, which should be a consideration for him this time around.

Also, as long as we are on the election, here in Texas we are getting bombarded with ads for the senate race. Democrats hate Ted Cruz, and I totally understand why they do, even if I disagree with it, and they feel like they might be able to eke out a win against him. In fact, if this were not a presidential election and Trump weren’t on the ballot, I would suspect that Ted Cruz was going to lose. But Trump has coattails, especially in Texas. It will be close.

Nonetheless, I’ve been continually amazed at how effective the abortion platform has been for democrats since Roe was overturned. I’ve been especially amazed at how stupid democrat voters in Texas must be because this Collin Allred guy is running abortion ads 24×7 against ‘ol Ted and and they apparently must be effective because he keeps running them. The problem is, the Texas anti-abortion law that they keep railing against has nothing to do with Ted Cruz. Ted Cruz is a US Senator. Ted Cruz can’t vote for Texas state abortion laws. But they keep running these ads and insinuating that he has something to do with state law. So dumb, but apparently effective.

FWIW, I don’t think I could live in a swing state and stay sane. The ads from just this one race are driving me crazy, I couldn’t stand to have to hear the same dumb ads over and over for multiple races for months on end.

Whether the fix is in, as it was in 2020, is debatable. This time, all but the retarded with real faith in sacred democracy know that the Anglo-Zionist Empire is itching for WW3. Especially the Israel part of the Anglo-Zionist empire.

So the matter for the American Deep State Anglo-Zionists is: assuming that Israel is going to force total war on Iran and that Russia especially but also China must act in Iran’s defense, who would be the better figurehead for the US during WW3: Trump or Harris?

The Deep State may still be deciding that matter.

We do not live in the country that George Washington assumed he was helping found. We live in that country that began selling its soul to global commerce, via its globalist traders the Yankee WASPs. Once they acquired domination over the whole of the nation, they began reforming it to mirror the British Empire, which led directly to it taking over for the British Empire.

Thus America totally controlled by Yankee WASPs became the BOSS over globalist Anglo-Zionist Empire. And now we are seeing that Empire ‘s leaders determined to rule the entire globe. No exceptions. Oceania intends to defeat both Eurasia and Eastasia. And that requires the Anglo-Zionist Empire to totally defeat Iran. Why? Saudis have shown that they will whore to Anglo-Zionism any time the price is right, but Iranians have retained a basic sense of honor and decency. Plus, Russia needs Iran to stand against Anglo-Zionism and will back Iran for that purpose.

So WW3 is planned now to start against Iran. They hoped to protect Israel with that whole Ukraine thing, but that aint working out at all. It seems that UKrainian Nazis have their own issues (like hating Poles and Jews about as much as they hate anybody) that make them less than ideal for Anglo-Zionism, plus Jews have so raped the Ukraine in so many ways that there is no actual Ukrainian spirit left to want to defend that fake country created by Anglo-Zionists to use as a weapon to attack Eurasia.

So, who do the Neocons most want as President for WW3? Trump or Harris? Which will do their exact bidding the quickest and/or the most efficiently? Which can control the American population best when it starts readying to protest that war which will be a shit show of horror.

I wouldn’t be totally surprised that the Dems ‘fortify’ their way to victory with what is possibly the worst major party nominee in history but…everything about the body language of various party figures, the candidate herself, and the media says they think she is going down.

Trump is polling better against Harris than he ever did with Biden or Clinton and although you could chalk some of this up to corrections in methodology, no one is acting like they believe that’s the full explanation. Early/mail in voting totals are not showing the level of Dem advantage they expect to see, although it is possible this is just a shift in GOP voting behavior and not evidence of greater turnout. That said, even if that’s the case it means the Trump campaign will be able to spend the last few days trying to get reluctant voters to the polls to provide the necessary margin of victory rather than just reminding normies to show up.

Now, if Harris does win one upside is that to the extent a fair number of people on the right are semi-radicalized against our existing system this will increase a great deal. It would demonstrate leftist control is so deep on a broad front that they can literally put up anyone and get a manufactured EC win at this point, not to mention that the candidate is just a figurehead for the activists who really run things, if you didn’t already understand that from watching Biden’s corpse go through the motions of being chief executive these past 3.5 years.

The potential danger for Trump is that he is really going to have to make some difficult but necessary choices that the media will relentless criticize based on the optics rather than facts. I found his lack of focus disappointing in his first term but hopefully he learned his lesson and obviously he cannot run again so might as well go for it, provided the GOP weathervanes in Congress can be brought to heel.

I don’t know who’s going to win, but I do know that Republican-leaning precincts should not turn in any vote totals until after every mail in vote has been counted.

If a state can take days to count mail-in votes, why should people who vote in person be forced to have their votes exposed in advance of the actual deadline?

There’s a saying in military strategy: “no plan survives contact with the enemy.”

The pro-lifers after Dobbs v Jackson had no plan to deal with the backlash they caused.

Absolutely. Dems are arrogant enough to blatantly pull it off too.

You are backwards in your first paragraph. It is the Republicans and alleged ‘conservatives who demand that Middle Americans, especially Christian conservatives, give them their all while the Republicans and pressed ‘conservatives’ give only lip service to their voting base.

So are you a Jew or a Judaizing WASP or just another money-loving post-Christian?

Irishman (@25) “It’s not my country and…”

Funny, it’s not my country anymore either. Hell, it isn’t even a “country” anymore.

Harris wins with 270-296 Electoral Votes. Election decided the Sunday after. That’s all. Republicans win Senate, Dems win House. MAGA gets exterminated by the Romneys and DiFrancescos of the world. Trump fades away, and MAGA supporters lose their jobs publicly. Celebrities like Musk, Tucker, Harrison Butker all are faded by this time next year. Nikki Haley or Kingzinger is the 2028 frontrunner.

However, if Sailer/Cochran get on the ticket they might have a chance. They could go Full Nietzschean Power mode and declare Covid Lockdons until 2030. They could require mandatory gooning to the image white guys dying in WWII for the sake of our little Brown brothers.

Cochran takes the aggressive Nietzschean approach while Sailer plays it more low key, but it goes to the same place. Both of them holding a bullwhip over young white men, telling them to sacrifice their one and only life for the sake of war with Mother Russia and CivNat Wacky World Dreams!

They both exhibited actual authoritarianism. And they both pushed what most considered lies about the pipeline explosion. If only they could get some of that sweet Zelensky cash through the back channels.

How are the book sales going by the way?

It’s like everyone forgot (or is in denial) of the fact that the 2020 election was stolen. The republicans did nothing to fix things – indeed, the fraudulent nature of the American election system has been normalized (e.g., early election, mail-in ballots, billionaire $$$, etc). Everyone is just playing along.

There is one reason, and only one reason, to assume that Trump will win – the jews have picked him as their candidate.

Utterly delusional commentariat here thinking Trump has a chance of winning the popular vote..

I predict that, either way, it will be very close, so you shouldn’t draw any strong conclusions from the outcome, as Scott Alexander argued in 2016:

https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/11/07/tuesday-shouldnt-change-the-narrative/

My prediction is that they drop a deepfake video(s) of Trump on The Apprentice dropping the N-bomb and saying he paid for abortions in outtakes probably by the end of the week. Possibly saying something about Hitler as well.

The same Press which pretended that the Biden laptop containing evidence of a multigenerational influence peddling and money laundering operation “couldn’t be verified (due to their not trying to verify it)” will play it on a loop all weekend.

To me that is what the turn to “Trump is a NAZI” was setting us up for . . .

I don’t know whether this will be dispositive.

The issue is if Trumps margin of victory exceeds the margin of fraud.
Who knows?

I find it astounding how openly the British Labour Party is openly working and campaigning within the US for Harris. Even the Beeb admits it
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c62m2pde4p6o

I think it would be hoot if Trump, after his win, gets a warrant for Starmer’s arrest. We know the US/UK have ironclad extradition treaties: ask Assange.
It’s not as if Starmer is a Head of State, that would be Chuckie the Turd, Starmer’s merely a government functionary.
A few years in a Federal ass-pounding slammer in say Montana would test Sir Kier’s Sodomites R Us credentials.

FWIW, I don’t think I could live in a swing state and stay sane. The ads from just this one race are driving me crazy, I couldn’t stand to have to hear the same dumb ads over and over for multiple races for months on end.

You change the channel, skip the skippable ads on streaming services and youtube, and turn down the volume and open a new tab for the un-skippable ads on youtube.

We’re also getting to the point of polarization where the other side’s negative ads about your side’s candidates seem like they’re favorable to your side’s candidates.

Interesting

Some people keep pretending that the 2020 steal didn’t happen or can’t be replicated.

“deepfake video(s) of Trump on The Apprentice dropping the N-bomb and saying he paid for abortions in outtakes probably by the end of the week. Possibly saying something about Hitler as well.”

TRUMP: Yes it’s true. A long time ago, I made a few carefully chosen favorable comments about Hitler.

NEW “AMERICANS”: a) Who is Hitler? or b) Meh, s’okay bro, we kind of like Hitler too.

JEWS: Wait!! Stop!! NOOOOOOOO!!! That’s not why we brought you all here!! You’re supposed to harm the *goyim*, not — (SFX: GIANT FLUSHING SOUND)

Where can I find the source for this chart? i want to read the definitions of each of the categories to understand how vote fraud is done.

I’m hoping Harris wins.

It would be great theater to see all the holier-than-thou Democrats see their 401Ks go POOF.

What happens? Israel wins. Again.

“Nonetheless, I’ve been continually amazed at how effective the abortion platform has been for democrats since Roe was overturned.”

Putting justices on the SCOTUS that overturned Roe was the greatest gift one party gave to the other in the past thirty years. (Before that, maybe it was Reagan turning California blue by legalizing all the illegals.)

You’ll notice that Democrats have done little to fix the “problem” of legalizing abortion; that’s how effective the issue really is. Along with promising free stuff (“I’ll get rid of your college debt!” – Joe Biden, 2020), this totally got the Democrat vote out and won the 2020 election as well as the 2022 midterm.

As for who wins the current election, I just don’t think that the people who exert control at the national level will let Donald Trump anywhere near the White House. The Dems have been working like crazy to get out the “I’d never get off my couch to stand in line at a polling place” welfare crowd to fill in a paper ballot and mail it; they’ve been doing the same with students on every DEI campus (which is all of them).

I don’t think the Dems will need to cheat to win, but they probably will anyway, and mail-in balloting is ideal for them. After all, if you were alive in Germany in 1933, would you break rules to deny Hitler the election victories he needed? Of course you would, and there are tens of millions of Americans who absolutely believe that Trump is Hitler. You may not think so, but I know lots of these people and they really believe it.

So, Harris wins in November, and you’ll hear her insane cackling laugh for the next eight years, as she brings in twenty million illegals, placing them in every small town in every red state in America. Regardless of the topic, she’s laughing at you, on behalf of the people who are succeeding in destroying western civilization.

No, you don’t understand, I just have to kill babies!!!

And Trump is STILL going to support the damn wars, which a lot of you keep ignoring. He’s STILL going to bring over “immigrants” just legal ones which is no better than the illegals.

“It’s not who votes that counts, but who counts the votes”
1. 75 million ballots were distributed in 2020, and probably more this year, that can be mailed back or dropped into sidewalk collection boxes with no ID required.
2. People who vote Republican continue to die off and are replaced by people who automatically vote Democrat.
3. Wall Street, the media, government employees are overwhelmingly Democrat.
4. Trump is almost as stupid as Harris, and at least as obnoxious so he doesn’t make much of a case for himself.
5. The Democrats should win without even cheating but reflexive cheating is a trait of the party of Daley and Boss Tweed.
My prediction: It will start out looking at least competitive, then Harris surges to clear victory as the 4AM counts are compiled.
If it’s any comfort it doesn’t matter to the iceberg who gets to be the new Captain.

We can’t know who will win, but we do know what will happen after the victory.
Trump wins – we will have riots, deep state machinations to keep him from being sworn in, lots of high drama. A world of fun watching left-wing mental breakdowns. And then Trump will take office and we’ll have 4 years of frustration watching him accomplish as little as possible while he stands in front of the mirror admiring himself.
Kamala wins – Triumphant denunciations of all things Trump. Trump, Musk and others end up in prison. Media propaganda on steroids declaring the new facist-free age has finally arrived. Trump voters will endure worse lies, insults and calumnies than ever and be forced into silence and abject submission in the workplace and public sphere. When Kamala takes office mass immigration increases by an order of magnitude. Congress and courts crack down on free speech. Caesar Augustus replaces the old Republic once and for all.

Whatever happens, I am stocking up on toilet paper and whiskey this week.

Hmm. Knob Creek Smoked Maple enema?

“they apparently must be effective because he keeps running them.”

The evidence against that is admittedly mostly from the Republican side. Just because “consultants” and “election tacticians” say it’s a good idea to spend bucket-loads of money on ads doesn’t mean it really is. The consultants are there to make a whole lot of money – for themselves.

Two election scenarios…

A) Trump wins: Good, exactly as we planned. Nothing happens, except for mass staged riots with zero prosecutions. Virtual direct rule by Hawaiian Federal Judge, zero deportations, more Clown World, no end to immigration — in fact, ramped-up immigration. Plus the world’s biggest lightning rod squatting in the headlines 24/7 to distract everyone from our ongoing destruction and looting of the country. Fresh MAGA goyim for our endless wars, because let’s be serious, who fights a war with a gay illiterate transgender Army of Color? (Unless it’s against Americans themselves: stay tuned for 2028.)

Children of late-night talk-show writers finally get to see their fathers, who come home from work early every day because they don’t have to write any jokes, just keep saying TRUMP IS A DUMB RACIST MEANIE HITLER forty different ways.

B) Harris “wins”: Good, exactly as we planned. Destruction and looting of America continues on a new, epic schedule. Policy DIE becomes literal DIE!, for real. Anti-fascist Harris “defeats” fake fascist Trump, institutes new reign of actual fascism: Joyful Fascism, But of Color. First Term: Trillion-dollar reparations bill signed, only whites have to pay — courts “find” a way to exempt Jews and “New Americans”. Second term: Mass housing seizures and open White chattel slavery (with a clever acronym to mask it) when it becomes apparent most whites don’t have the $$ to pay their first-term reparations bill.

Late-night talk-show comedy writers are all out of work, because you’re not allowed to write any jokes about the biggest clown to ever sit in the Oval Office; their now-broke families forced to send the kids to public school to get beaten up by Diversity, and thus a whole new generation of true comedy writers is born.

Trump’s lead is going to widen to the point where it will be impossible for the Democrats to fudge a win.

Trump derangement syndrome is real.

Democrat women will not be skipping the election which means Trump needs to win by narrow margins in swing states.

Trump will be in major trouble if enough blue collar White women basically decide to vote against their husbands. They could be the quiet voters that decide the election.

The election will probably come down to White women in a handful of states. It could come down to a few hundred thousand White women voting on abortion.

Exactly what the founders imagined.

I am assuming there will be voter fraud next week. After all, voter fraud dates back at least to the Age of Pericles so…nothing new under the sun. It’s different now, though, because with modern technology the evidence can be hidden. For this reason, I pick Harris to win a close election. A pity.

Agree on all points!

It all comes down to PA. Shapiro, with backing of Clinton faction, and looking towards a 2028 run, throttles the big city vote machine. White working class shows up. Amish vote goes from 10% to around 85% and 8,500 votes in Lancaster put Trump over the top.

Pollsters when asked why the critical Amish votes were not included in their models can only respond that it is hard to poll folks who have not paid the phone bill in over
300 years.

What’s going to happen in the election? Nothing much. The outcome is predetermined, has been for years. Trumpstein wins this time, this will be the third straight time Trump would have won IF our votes really counted though.

Trump is doing about five points better in all the polls compared to 2016 and 2020. It comes down to whether ALL the pollsters somehow fixed their methodologies. If not, expect a landslide.

In 2020 in my neighborhood, Biden signs outnumbered Trump signs about 4 to 1. Today, the equivalent ratio is even. Maybe the Trump supporters are just more bold now.

“What’s going to happen in the election?” asks our esteemed blog proprietor.

Well, there is an answer, and only one answer, that we can be assured will be correct.

And what is it, you ask?

Answer. Something bad.

Not catastrophically bad, or republic destroying bad, but bad. Pretty bad actually.

Trump will win(if only legal votes were counted) over 330 electoral college votes but will only receive barely 300 because of the “steal”. Democrats ability to cheat is not as far ahead of Republicans ability to forestall cheating but it is still ahead enough to make a difference.

America is on the precipice of disaster. I pray for this country every day.

How many other electoskeptical comments are being Whimmed? (Mine’s at 9.6 hours as I type this one.)

I predict a lot of blueberries in this thread.

I don’t know who will win, but I know the outcome ==> USA is Effed.

OT — Actually, pretty related — two distressing/sounds about right links from Ellis Items, quotes below more tag. A solid majority of Americans encompassing both sides of the aisle feel that American government is not representative [picture of Lt. Col. Vindman, colorised], although for different reasons. And: Democrats don’t understand why a person “doing well” in a blue state would vote for Republicans (hint: do they agree with your definition of “doing well?” [Image of Gavin Newsom admonishing restauranteirs that they can afford the new minimum wage, colorised.]) The explanatory concept may be “shared fate.” No, it’s what I said. But look out for editorials and books exploring the damage control copium of “shared fate.”

I predict that Jill ‘Green’ Stein clears 5% in at least one state.

You raise an interesting point. For all of those who think the Jews control just about everything, Trump has been the candidate completely on team Israel. Harris has been a lot more ambivalent on the subject.

Just something to think about.

Trump wins despite all sorts of shenanigans. The Dems. continue to scream and wail like toddlers denied candy right up to, and past inauguration day. Everything conceivable is done to keep him from assuming office, but it comes to naught, as to do so would trash the markets, and those who control the wealth don’t want that at all.

It looks like Kamala ran a terrible campaign, which, I wouldn’t blame her for. She had no good options, either she goes along with Israel’s meltdown or she opposes it, either way for her it’s a no-win scenario. Biden has obliterated his entire memory into the year he stood like King Théoden with Tony Blinken as Wormtongue by his side as he lied constantly and pretended to be trying to end this war as he and Blinken simultaneously stood over doing everything to help intensify it. He will forever be “Genocide Joe”. He may be remembered even worse than that if Israel decides to roll the dice on this regional war. They’ll never be a better time or opening for them to try. And that’s remembering how Ukraine was going to be what we all associate him with before.

In fact if I were the Democrats I’d be hoping for a Trump win Zionists and anti-Zionists alike. Trump was generally very hard on rhetorical support for Israel but weak on actually doing much in terms of fighting wars for them, it was all very much kabuki shadow boxing with Syria and Iran. (Though does anyone else remember how the media campaign against Trump suddenly stopped when he launched cruise missiles at Syria? Fareed Zakaria said “Tonight he truly became president”, that all fell away when it turns out he had them aim for empty desert and told the Syrians beforehand. It was all a negotiating tactic when meeting with Xi) That’s why the neocons lost their minds about him and ultimately was able to shift into a war with Russia. It was all about his comments on a war with Syria. Of course, ethnic animosity towards his being against inviting the world as much as invading was there too.

However, it seems like Trump won’t be able to resist a war with Iran given how much he is boxing himself in with his rhetoric and how many on the right are too. He may yet surprise and certainly if he ends the war in Ukraine the logic of the regional war itself becomes compromised. Though even if it ended tomorrow Russia would take time to recover (And it has lost some key ships that were instrumental in deterring another Iraq with Syria last time) so maybe not. Indeed, maybe no longer having to support the Ukrainian army will only free up more weapon supplies to fight this war with Iran and or Syria. You may get a temporary halt to the flow at the border now for weaker political ability to fight it after he leaves the scene.

So if you’re the Dems and stuck having to have the president completely bend over for the Israel lobby and fighting this insane war and become complicit in mass ethnic cleansing, then better for it to be Trump and force and association between this astounding madness and immigration restriction and help discredit populists and anti-immigration politics generally. That assumes Trump’s bite will match his bark for Israel which is an open question. Trump does have the ability to make big decisions and I do not think he would enjoy fighting Iran for Israel. He could take a lesson from Putin and take Jewish oligarch money for an election and turn around and betray them. It’s not like they can do anything more to him.

The Biden admin was a crazed counter-revolution and went full-tilt naked invade the world, invite the world. It has helped to discredit these ideas very much. There only hope is to discredit the alternatives through marrying themselves to a crazed war of mass ethnic cleansing for Israel. Creating a link between the two in the public consciousness. Even if everyone who came up with these ideas was harassed for being against wars for Israel as much as mass migration. But after the “goy bye” who can tell?

One thing is for sure, the 4 year long coup campaign, particularly played out by the media brought the legitimacy of the US electoral system into total disrepute through “Russiagate” (Which has also led to the Ukraine war and byproxy Israel’s current omni-war in the Middle East through the tying down of the Russian military and attention in Ukraine) for half the population with Trump’s victory in 2020; Trump’s loss in 2024 after the same campaign did so for the other half. Who can you trust to tell you what’s happening, what’s a weird pattern and that everything was legitimate or legitimate enough? That’s a problem.

The election will probably come down to White women in a handful of states. It could come down to a few hundred thousand White women voting on abortion.

Loves to kill them babies – babies what I loves to kill. Chop they little heads off. Nibble on they tiny feet.

“What’s Going to Happen in the Electron?”

Well, actually, that’s an absurd question because an electron is an elementary particle, meaning it is not made up of any smaller particles, so there is no “in” in an electron….

Oh, you said election, never mind. I mean, who knows? Why do you ask? Don’t bother me.

Trump. Not even close. Then we get four years of peaceful protests.

There were barely enough white people left in America to elect Trump in 2016, and even at that he didn’t win the popular vote. Now, forget it. Brownoid presidents will be the norm from here on out.

You have to look at early vote versus the same early vote on the same day and state as 2020 and 2016.

So Dems have a huge lead in PA but much less than before.

In GA rural areas the early vote starts later than black Atlanta so the GOP closes strong the last week before the election.

Trump is doing great in the EV!

Trump wins, and the Republicans get majorities in both houses.

However, as a lame duck president Trump is considerably disempowered, and is unable to carry out most of the quackery he promised during his election campaign due to the fact that business oriented moderate Republicans in Congress suddenly rediscover their voice.

Both parties will agree to pass much more bipartisan legislation than anybody expected.

A sensible immigration bill will pass Congress, and there will be no need to build concentration camps to hold immigrants awaiting a court hearing.

There will not be punitive tariffs on imports, but Congress will pass legislation both to encourage manufacturing within the borders of the US and American territories and to encourage American exports.

Puerto Rico will secede from the US and join CARICOM.

Donald Trump will resign for reasons of ill health within 12 months. Elon Musk will sell Twitter.

Based on the enthusiasm gap, early voting, and Harris being a truly incompetent and repellant candidate except to suburban women, Trump pulls it out, somewhere between narrowly (270-80) and moderately (310-320) in the electoral vote. Based on nearly every poll he is poised to make it a race. If the polling is as skewed as previously he seems certain to win. If its improved, things will be much closer but he does seem to be ahead. Mail in voting is also way down. I think this at least somewhat reduces fraud.

I do not think he will win the popular vote, although a near tie or a narrow win there would be an encouraging sign, and would give him a (slightly) easier term.

We can hope he learned from his first time mistakes. If not, expect a similarly useless four years with near constant shrieking from the left. If he selects a non Swamp administration (I know, I know) maybe a few good things could happen and set up a Vance term.

Trump gets over 80 million votes and picks up 312 electoral votes. Trump unexpectedly wins one of the following four states in an upset… Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Mexico, or Virginia.

How the Democrats react to this… tough call. I could see them doing everything they accused Trump of doing in 2020. But they are in a really bad position. Do they think the American people would buy Harris exceeding Biden’s 2020 total?

Plan A in 2020 is not Plan A in 2024. Plan A for the Democrats in 2024 was that Trump would lose popularity with criminal convictions and be forced off the ballot through lawfare. That fell through when they lost 42 out of 44 cases in court trying to get him off the ballot, and Trump’s popularity increased despite, or perhaps because of, his criminal cases. Plans B and C also failed. They are on Plan D.

It’s over, Steve. Kămălā Hærrıs has secured the endorsement of Ricky Martin, of “Livin’ La Vida Loca” fame.

Trumpslide, overcoming massive fraud.
Wins popular vote, too.

I hope Trump wins, but after 2020, I’m not betting on anything.

So are cuckservatives doing anything to obstruct Democrat vote fraud? Are they???

No. They are not.

Cuckservatives are at best ok with vote fraud, and at worst are actually enabling it by gaslighting the public about how it didn’t happen last time.

Doomsday will arrive soon, alas. Remember that past omen of the End Times :

The pro wrestler from the 80s and 90s, ‘Kamala the Ugandan Giant’, actually had the real last name ‘Harris’.

James ‘Kamala’ Harris passed away just the DAY before this more recent Kamala Harris became the running mate on the 2020 Democratic ticket. It all happened in the Aug 9-10, 2020 period of 24 hours.

Hence, there was an original ‘Kamala Harris’ 30 years ago :

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kamala_(wrestler)

To think, the first ‘Kamala Harris’ passed away just the day before the second ‘Kamala Harris’ was appointed on the Veep slot, at a time when never has a Veep had a better chance of actually becoming POTUS due to Biden’s advanced age.

What a coincidence. This was truly an immense coincidence.

This was an Omen of supernatural proportions. It should still not be taken lightly, even four years on. Coincidences of such precision are always omens.

Just like Trump turning his head at exactly the correct split second was also an act of divine intervention. Perhaps this divine act cancels out the previous ‘Kamala’ omen of end times.

This is not good. You can gin up all the ballots you need to win in less than three days.

Nevada Supreme Court DENIES Republican appeal in mail-in ballot lawsuit. Non-postmarked ballots received up to three days after Election Day will be counted.

https://instapundit.com/680558/

Kamala is XXY.

AGREE.

It just doesn’t matter, because whoever we vote for cannot steer this ship. This is delusional. Sure, each individual does have some effect, but however much, it is miniscule in comparison to The Powers That Be who control media, academia, finance, and who essentially own many politicians at the higher levels. Plus most unelected government apparatchiks wouldn’t dare do anything to harm their own sinecures.

We can’t do anything.

Anything other than this, the eventual, inevitable result of their hubris:

Although I don’t have very strong feelings one way or the other about abortion, it does seem likely to me that the main reason prospective mothers and fathers want to get abortions is usually for some kind of economic reasons. (Of course there might also be medical reasons in some cases. My mother nearly died from preeclampsia when she was pregnant with me, but that didn’t stop her from going on and having three more children and living to almost the age of 80.)

For example they feel they cannot afford the medical costs of giving birth, or having to give up working to care for a child at home, or pay a large percentage or all of the income in child care expenses, or pay a large part of their earnings in child support payments (in the case of the father).

Here in Ecuador, which is usually reckoned to be a poorer country than the USA, virtually no self-respecting young woman would be seen out without a toddler clutching a doll toddling at her side, and yet abortion is something that you hardly ever hear about.

Perhaps this is because abortion is not legal except in cases of rape, rape of a mentally retarded person, or if they pregnancy is a threat to the life of the mother. Of course such laws are open to interpretation. If a pregnancy makes a prospective mother so depressed that she might kill herself, does that qualify as a threat to the life of the mother? And isn’t continuing a pregnancy to term always more of a threat to the life of the mother than an early abortion?

I can’t really figure this out. Is the United States a much poorer country than we are led to believe? Or is it simply not true that people cannot afford to have children, and they just say this because they would prefer to have cats to children?

Or is it the case that women in some states want to have abortions and cats, and women in other states want to have children? Beats me.

As the United States is a secular country it seems to me that religious arguments should be left out of consideration when making laws, because, by definition, different religions have different beliefs.

At one time the Republic of Ireland and the piece of Northern Ireland that is attached to the United Kingdom were differentiated by whether it was legal to buy condoms, but those times are long past.

I’m not real stressed about the US getting into a shooting war with Iran to help Netanyahu mutilate more women and children and avoid jail. It’s just not really viable.

Nobody in the neighborhood is going to give us basing or overflight permission and unlike Israel we can’t violate the Arab states sovereignty so flippantly. So that just leaves the Navy and Marines, with some very- low sortie contribution from USAF B-2s and B-52s out of Diego Garcia. Meaning you’re going to have to pull at least 3 CSGs and 3 ARGs to do anything operationally significant. We have at most 6 of each underway at any time (often less) and ADM Paparo, the last competent flag officer in the USN has signaled that he needs at least 5 CSGs to keep the PLAN in their cage if they make a play for Taiwan, and that TF77 won’t engage until they are at full strength for an old school Mahanian decisive battle throw down.

So the minimum threshold to support our dear allies in their quest to slaughter 90 million Persians would require committing “fleets in being” in such numbers that Taiwan becomes free real estate for the ChiComs. Frankly, Israel, Iran, and Taiwan could all suffer total existence failure tomorrow and approximately zero US national interests would be affected, but no rational person is going to commit to a war they will definitely lose in a strategic sense, which will also free up their #1 rival to conquer one of their “allies” and break out of the first island chain.

She has narrow-set eyes and a primitive, pre-homo sapiens skull-face. That is all I need to see, and I don’t even know who she is.

I wouldn’t have done her, for those grotesque reasons. There’s your answer.

She has narrow-set eyes and a primitive, pre-homo sapiens skull-face. That is all I need to see, and I don’t even know who she is.

I wouldn’t have done her, for those grotesque reasons. There’s your answer.

They’re drinking beer, not hardstuff. British police take wine with their lunch. I don’t see a problem apart from the cigarettes, which are an evil invention intended to be just short of what you need, a kind of planned obsolescence.

‘…That could still be enough of a push for Democrats to win. If Trump wins there will be too much hate against him to effectively fight a war on behalf of Israel becaue the media will become very negative about it to hurt the Trump presidency. I think most Jewish oligarchs see Harris as the best candidate for Israel.’

Ironically, that’s more or less how I would rationalize voting for Trump; a Trump win turns Israel into a partisan issue.

…I’m not all that convinced by that myself — but happily, I don’t have to be. Portland-Eugene-Bend means Harris wins Oregon for sure. So I can vote for Jill Stein; me voting for Trump won’t make any difference anyway. The more she picks up, the less automatic Democratic support for Israel becomes.

I’ll guess that there won’t be any surprises in the states that currently look solid one way or the other, that Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania will break for Harris, and that North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada will break for Trump. That will give a final Electoral College score of 270 Harris/ 268 Trump. I’ll go further out on a limb and guess that Trump will win the popular vote, that Republicans will pick up control of the Senate even though more voters will have backed Democratic candidates for the Senate, and that Democrats will pick up control of the House even though more voters will have backed Republican candidates for the House. That result will make everyone miserable, in most cases deservedly so.

No matter who you vote for, the future is going to be a scary place, but you can pretend that this election will make a difference.

Sadly, what was Enoch-Powell level of realism and a firm repudiation of minoritarianism 60+ years ago when these worms started pushing it.

By now the fabric of what was America is pretty worm eaten as witness by the fact that this vapid, anti-white whore has even a chance of winning the Presidency and certainly will get 45%+ of the national vote even in a “best case” scenario.

Even if Trump wins–as he should–our slumping-toward-Brazil future looks grim. This really does look like “the Chinese Century”. They too have their issues–they have to crack the fertility issue–and a parasitic elite. But what they do not have is an establishment in thrall to this minoritarian/immigrationist idiocy, utterly dominant in our feminized media and elite institutions.

I understand you are crazy and not worth arguing with, but for anyone else wondering, Steve and Greg don’t advocate either for sending American troops to Ukraine or continued COVID lockdowns.

Trump, by a comfortable margin in the Electoral College is the way to bet.

I guess if I’m going to put down a number than I’ll go with 297-241 Trump.

I.e. Harris wins–or steals–just one of the swingers. But that’s the uncertainty.

Harris has a ton of money, it is not impossible that the Parasite Party ground game can get their voters ballots to the polls bin. I’m not sure the polls and “likely voter” models account for the level of ballot harvesting these people can do. So almost anything is possible. And a lot of normie Americans could wake up November 6th–or 7th or 8th–and have a very bad taste in their mouth, realizing the whole “America a democracy” thing has been tossed out the window.

Been going back and forth. I mean, if it were a real election Trump would obviously win, so it’s a matter of who the Deep State wants. I think it will be Trump, for two reasons. First, he’s more pro-Israel and can get the Scots-Irish warrior class behind a war in the Middle East. Second, I think we are on the verge of an economic calamity which will make 2008 look like a walk in the park. In the eyes of TPTB, better to have Trump and the Republicans in charge so they can take the blame for it.

Whatever happens, I am stocking up on toilet paper and whiskey this week.

Ammo too.

News headline from second day of Trump II admin…

TRUMP MAKES HISTORIC DEAL WITH CONGRESS: IMMIGRATION TO BOOST BY 30% IN EXCHANGE FOR INCREASED AID TO ISRAEL

The Washington Post, the San Francisco Chronicle, the LA Times, and now USA Today have refused to endorse Kămălā Hærrıs.

One potential barometer of sentiment is the data for options contracts for November 8, 2024, for the Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT).

DJT options contracts for November 8, 2024
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/DJT/options/?date=1731024000

For example, if you look at equivalently priced contracts (calls or puts) closest to the in-the-money threshold for the respective types of contracts, as of today, market sentiment is positive for DJT.

These data may be more indicative than the price of DJT stock, which is up 400% in the last five weeks. Trading in DJT is the 2024 version of the Trump Casino!

‘…and have a very bad taste in their mouth, realizing the whole “America a democracy” thing has been tossed out the window.’

And at that point, no matter what happens, it’s not good.

As the President of the Senate certifies the 2024 Presidential election, the winner is K. Harris!

New York Times article discusses how some federal judges claim to be confused by Heller/Bruen standard.

William Kirk discusses all the cases that have been GVR’d in recent years and how that has not changed a single thing. The Courts continue to rule the same way, ignore Supreme Court precedent and often times, actually taunt the Supreme Court with their outright denial of higher court precedent.

William Kirk discusses the proposed findings of fact and conclusions of law that GOA and the other plaintiffs have filed in the matter of (IL) Barnett v. Raoul.

Fuck…your…taxes…period pic.twitter.com/GBhIF9HvaN

— Firearms Policy Coalition (@gunpolicy) October 26, 2024

Bloomberg Bucks Start Flowing as Harris Struggles Down the Home Stretchhttps://t.co/ZCz1KIhiTo

— Bearing Arms (@BearingArmsCom) October 28, 2024

Warren Burger Was Wrong: 19th Century Sources Confirm the 2nd Amendment Protects an Individual Right

In case you missed this 11pm on a Friday night banger. https://t.co/dLTC49NR46

— Kostas Moros (@MorosKostas) October 28, 2024

‘…A sensible immigration bill will pass Congress, and there will be no need to build concentration camps to hold immigrants awaiting a court hearing…’

I like to think that by ‘sensible,’ you mean we’ll dispense with the hearings.

Disagree.

Robert Kennedy Jr. says that Donald Trump is breaking tradition by privately funding his transition team and has already started it three months early.

Kennedy began by talking about why he’s chosen to trust Trump, saying, “I’ve talked to Donald Trump specifically about this, and I said, ‘Look, the last time you were in there, you put John Bolton in charge of NSA, and Mike Pompeo in charge of the CIA… and he said, ‘Here’s the difference… when I got in last time, I had no idea how to govern, and I got surrounded by donors and corporate people who said you appoint this guy and appoint that guy… I appointed a lot of bad people.’

He continued, “I was listening this morning to this extraordinary interview that Donald Trump did with Joe Rogan yesterday… and he said, ‘This time I’m not gonna do that.’ He told us that (too), and he didn’t just promise that, but he did something no other president’s done before. Normally, the transition team is not created until November 6th because GAO, the General Accounting Office, pays for all the cost of the transition team. Trump said, ‘I’m not gonna do it this time. I’m not gonna do it their way. I’m gonna start my own transition team three months early.’ And he got private donors to fund it, and he’s appointed 20 people including me and Tulsi, and there’s people of all different kinds of ideology and people who we’re gonna have to go up against on that transition team and fight for our vision. But I can tell you this, which is unique: there are no corporate lobbyists on that transition team. And, usually, it’s 100% corporate lobbyists. So it’s very, very different, and it gives me lots of hope that this government is gonna be different than any government we’ve ever seen.”

Or is it simply not true that people cannot afford to have children, and they just say this because they would prefer to have cats to children?

I think that’s very often the case

People exaggerate the effect of political advertising.

I lived in the USA for 30 years and I think I only ever saw two political advertisements on TV, heard a few on the radio, and saw billboards on the interstate highways.

I remember hearing Barack Obama saying in not very good Spanish that he approved a message on the radio.

It really isn’t that hard to avoid them, even though political consultants obviously believe that swing voters pay attention to TV ads for candidates.

Den Wilhelm den doofen, indeed

How Israel Maintains Control over the USA (all 4 parts) pic.twitter.com/HmwNpJE1Kb

— Ryan Dawson (@RyLiberty) February 10, 2024

“It really isn’t that hard to avoid them, even though political consultants obviously believe that swing voters pay attention to TV ads for candidates.”

Or maybe political consultants get paid a percentage of the ad dollars spent win or lose.

…due to the fact that business oriented moderate Republicans in Congress suddenly rediscover their voice.

You mean their donors’ voice.

Puerto Rico will secede from the US…

Boy, are you an optimist.

Elon Musk will sell Twitter.

To whom?

I will go out on a limb and predict that John Barrasso wins his bid to be reëlected as U.S. Senator from Wyoming.

(Disclosure: The oddsmakers say Barrasso has a greater than 99% chance of winning. SafeNow is playing it safe.)

Seriously, here’s the point. Barrasso recently polled nationally as the most popular US Senator. His first career was as a physician, before becoming a rational, logical, nerdy, intelligent, honest, hard-working Senator. This result is what happens when engineers, physicians, etc. – – rather than lawyers – – become our political leaders. Keep up the good work, John.

I will go out on a limb and predict that John Barrasso wins his bid to be reëlected as U.S. Senator from Wyoming.

Amzing. Somebody here still reads the New Yorker.

The Covid lockdowns and the money printing to offset the negative economic effects of the lockdowns ended up having a worse economic effect than imagined by leading to high inflation and a lower standard of living

Nah, inflation was under control in Jan. 2021. The problem was Biden-Harris’ “net zero” carbon policy and the shutting down of oil and gas leases on federal lands. That was the first body blow. The second came after the Ukraine war and the sanctions on Russia, which sent the price of energy soaring. That was the killer blow. Biden spinned it as “Putin’s price hike” but Putin had nothing to do with it. It was Biden, always.

Speaking of Covid, I believe Trump is leaving money on the table by not hammering Biden-Harris six ways to Sunday on their vax mandates and vicious demonization of vaccine refuseniks.

If there’s a doctor in an Agatha Christie story, he’s the killer.

The smaller D – R difference doesn’t interest me as much as the huge F – M difference.

Right now, it is showing 10.1% difference (about 1.15 million votes in just 6 states) at about 25% of expected votes (running 47.5 million now). If this scales to the whole electorate, Harris will have a blowout win. If that happens, one can almost certainly conclude that Roe overturn killed Trump.

Want to learn more about how this can happen?

Read my latest article!https://t.co/gvVU0TqYDZ

— Crémieux (@cremieuxrecueil) October 27, 2024

She has narrow-set eyes and a primitive, pre-homo sapiens skull-face. That is all I need to see, and I don’t even know who she is.

I wouldn’t have done her, for those grotesque reasons. There’s your answer.

Don’t talk shit about Marjorie Taylor Greene. She’s going to be our next attorney general.

Trump will probably win despite the drag put on his campaign by anti-abortion groups… They demand everything and yet give nothing in return.

You are backwards in your first paragraph. It is the Republicans and alleged ‘conservatives’ who demand that Middle Americans, especially Christian conservatives, give them their all while the Republicans and pressed ‘conservatives’ give only lip service to their voting base.

This individual’s grades in modern history and political science are clearly as bad as those he earned in moral philosophy. (I say “he” guardedly.)

So are you a Jew or a Judaizing WASP or just another money-loving post-Christian?

Some commenters are so consistently bad that they give off the scent of a troll. Just for the record, those pro-abortion state referenda that keep passing (and the pro-child ones that keep failing) see seven-digit donations by the likes of Michael Bloomberg and Marsha Zlatin Laufer.

This may point to Loyalty’s true loyalty.

We can’t know who will win, but we do know what will happen after the victory.
Trump wins – we will have riots

Trump just held a rally in a Madison Square Garden, and packed it to the rafters, and most people ignored the dog that didn’t bark: no riots or even major protests.

The left isn’t energized now; elites are defecting; Jeff Bezos just set off a preference cascade among newspapers refusing to endorse Kamala; the richest man in the world is a Trump supporter and owns the social medium of record… this isn’t 2020.

If any billionaire doesn’t line up and kiss the ring of whoever gives better tax cuts, he should be sued for malpractice. Isn’t it their ‘fiduciary duty’? Trump isn’t even half coy about being generous with tax and other favors to the oligarchs.

Earlier today I was looking at 2020 polls at 270ToWin, and comparing them to the actual election results.

270ToWin had Biden winning nationally by 8%. He won by 4.4%. It had Biden winning Pennsylvania by 3.7%. He won it by 1.2%. It had Biden winning Michigan by 5.5%. He won by 2.8%.

If the polls are off as much this year as they were in 2020 then Trump should win handily. Of course pollsters (you would think) try to adjust their methods to correct for their previous failures, but I doubt they really have. The Republicans are more motivated this year, and many Democrats are demoralized. Biden/Harris have spent the last 3.5 years royally screwing up the country, for no very good reason. Vast swaths of the country – and no small percentage of young people – have a sense of impending doom, and realize that the Democrats bear a fair share of the blame.

Trump is crazy, but we’ve had him before and things went pretty OK (before he surrendered to the COVID insanity, anyway). Besides, we’re used to his crazy. But Kamala is just quite possibly the worst candidate either major party has ever nominated, and she is entirely not up to the task.

Donald Trump wins. He sweeps the “blue wall.” He wins Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, North Carolina. I predict Trump wins at least one of the states where polls show Harris with less than a double digit lead: Minnesota, New Hampshire, Virginia, Maine and/or New Mexico.

Prediction: Trump with at least 312 electoral college votes, and a popular vote victory.

I predict that Trump will win, but if there’s a smidgen of doubt it’s a result of the fact that Democrats overperformed in the 2022 mid-terms and seem to have outperformed in most of the special elections I’ve read about.

I don’t think that enthusiasm will carry over into this election, but it might.

The bigger problem Republicans have, long-term, is that Democrats are well on their way to replacing the American voter with foreigners. In 2016 Trump won by less than 80,000 votes total in Michigan, Pennsylvania & Wisconsin. How many (overwhelmingly Democratic) immigrants have been naturalized since then? How many anchor babies have turned 18 since then?

Early votes by party are 39.9% D, 36.3% R, 23.8% I, indicating better D enthusiasm? ground game? By gender: 54.2% F, 43.8% M, indicating more woman power, helping D?

I would also add: the results you linked to show much stronger early voting turnout among both whites (65.7%) and older voters, with 80% of all early votes cast by people over 40. And Republicans lead for in-person voting with 40.3% compared to 31.4% for Democrats.

I’d be surprised if Mr. Sailer has stated any position on “sending American troops to Ukraine or continued COVID lockdowns,” especially of late. But he was an armchair warballer in a blue and yellow jersey with Z’s name on the back for nearly a year after Russia’s invasion and a ninny during the dempanic, especially about the, at best, marginally effective vaccines therapeutic crapshots. If deployment or lockdown orders are issued, wouldn’t you predict iCrickets?

Which quite apparently was Loyalty’s point — Mr. Sailer opposes the Establishment on practically nothing outside his HBD boys only tree fort. What’s “crazy” about noticing that?

Smells like Ilana Mercer’s February 6, 2016, The Winning Trump Ticket & Cabinet (Part I). (Don’t waste your time looking for Part II.)

SOS, microwaved.

After the election, the msm will announce that Harris has won, 306-232.

If the democrats are really feeling cheeky, they’ll give the election to Harris, 538-0.

Actual count: 306-232, Trump victorious.

What do you expect? We live in a totalitarian country.

I expect Trump will win. The zionist lobby decided to throw its weight behind him after the events of October 7, 2023.

https://static.wikia.nocookie.net/arthur/images/0/09/DW_S8E06.png/revision/latest?cb=20210618002045

What ever happens, you won’t read the truth about it from the corporate media whores.
Bezos spills the beans about WaPo:

After “Colossal” Exodus Of Subscribers, WaPo Boss Bezos Explains “The Hard Truth” About Not Endorsing Kamala

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/colossal-mass-exodus-over-200000-wapo-subscriber-cancellations-after-bezos-blocks-harris

It’s hard not to laugh.
So I did.

Oh … My … Gawd.
Why do they even bother passing laws against deepfakes?

I think it is easy to get caught up in things, what with the “divine” bullet-dodge and whatnot. However, Trump had the enthusiasm and the momentum in 2020 too, but it wasn’t enough. The Republicans squandered (on purpose?) the last four years, and all the structural problems that helped Biden are still in place. Plus, the abortion voters.

I want to hope, but I suspect there will be a narrow Harris victory.

People expecting a Trumpslide need to remember the 2022 Red Wave that never materialized.

If Trump does win, I think there will be an internal battle within the administration between a “tech” faction that wants essentially progressive policies (immigration, strong government support of technological competition with China, continuing GAE entanglements) with non-woke governing norms (free speech, no court packing, less DEI and AA) and a “hard-core” faction that is mildly isolationist and protectionist. The “tech” faction will win out. Expect no one inside the White House to be for extreme measures like actually closing the border, deporting recent immigrants, or dismantling the DHS/DNI construct.

But I suspect a narrow Harris victory followed by four more years of anonymous White House persons actually running the government while the media cover up Harris/Walz gaffs. Without charismatic leadership, it will be difficult for Dems to push through big changes in gun laws, court packing, etc. However, Reps will continue to bend over for the border.

Ds tend to lead in the early vote and Rs come on strong at the end as has been mentioned. Also, party ID is least predictive in presidential races, or so I’m told.

You sound s if you really are silly enough to think any of this is legitimate, is fair, is not rigged. Anglo-Zionist Democracy is as much anti-realistic entertainment as is WWE.

Its poetic name, if you will, is Oceania. Its most honest cognomen is WASP-Zionist Empire.

There is always something MAJORLY wrong with anyone who poohs poohs abortion, because abortion is the child sacrifice of the Modernist rebirthing of Semitic Fertility Cult.

I doubt that you are a combination of ignorant enough and stupid enough ton true think that anti-abortion votes have been given everything by Republicans and have given nothing (I assume meaning working hard to elect Republican candidates) back Republicans. That means I must assume you are knowingly polluting the waters.

I suppose you have some points here.

But rooting for Russia and Iran is pretty bleak.

Elsewhere it’s been suggested that Tim Walz can’t be gay because he had an affair with a Chinese woman.
Convicted pederast / boy rapist Jerry Sandusky is married with six children.

For some reason when I watch TV connected to VPN in Dubai (to a server supposedly in Los Angeles), I get the Nevada ads. I have never lived in a swing state so don’t have a lot of history watching political ads, but they seem to be even more dishonest than usual. The Harris and Jackie Rosen (mostly anti-Sam Brown) ads are over the top, talking about how she’s the pro-freedom, tax-cutting candidate. It seems like an alternate universe.

There are also an incredible number of ads for Measure 3, which feature patriotic non-black voters saying to vote for Measure 3 because it will implement open primaries. Measure 3 also actually implements ranked-choice voting, which none of the commercials mention.

The only silver lining when Harris is declared the winner: she is the president that America deserves.

American troops and the CIA have already been involved in Ukraine for years.

Cochran hinted it would be a good idea if someone assassinated Putin. That would make things dramatically worse. He’s unhinged on the topic. Apparently, the kind of warball Cochran likes best is anything where a white country gets the stuffing beat out of it.

Like every anti-abortion zealot, you hold bizarre religious views. In fact, you are a nut. The funny thing about you guys is that you are singularly lacking in compassion. You beat your chest about loving embryos, but would bring an endless stream of deformed, retarded children into the world for the sole purpose of suffering. Because you think that’s what Jesus wants? You think Jesus is a psycho sadist?

This is beyond stupid. As I’ve pointed out, there have been at least 20 billion spontaneous abortions in human history (called miscarriages). They happen all the time. No one has performed more abortions than God Almighty.

There has always been election fraud since Barabbas vs Jesus for Judah’s Man of the Year.

Not necessarily. It can be a judge.

Washington Post recommends abstention, but in the citizenship exam one of the questions is what is the most important right of citizenship? And the answer is voting.

Doesn’t matter who you vote for, but just vote anyway.

Doesn’t matter who you vote for, but just vote anyway.

You see that sentiment thrown around a lot every other fall, and it is pure bullshit. Pure bullshit spread by the party that benefits from votes being cast for ephemeral and vapid reasons.. so that party does its best to make its appeal as ephemeral and vapid as it can be.

Personally, I’d love for people to vote. I want everyone to vote. But I want them to vote for the right candidate for the right reason. And if they aren’t motivated enough to do that, they should stay the fuck home and shut the fuck up.

“marginally effective vaccines”

Older people over 60, including Steve, seemed to be more supportive of the vaccines and lockdowns during the Covid epidemic. For people in that age group, staying home and then getting vaccinated when vaccines became available was a good idea.

I have always been skeptical of government solutions to problems because they often, for the sake of simplicity, take a one size fits all approach.

In the case of Covid, there was a vast difference in how dangerous it was to a 20 year old versus a 70 year old. There was also a big difference between how dangerous it was to someone healthy versus someone unhealthy. I did not catch it for over a year and then did so after being in a serious accident that sent me to the hospital. Decisions on how to prevent or treat the disease should have been left to individuals, but instead they were made by government officials and based on maximizing big pharma profits.

Harris will win a close election. Then she will let so many immigrants in that the U.S will turn into California…a one party state where Democrats win every election for the rest of time.

Hope I’m wrong.

The smaller D – R difference doesn’t interest me as much as the huge F – M difference.

If this scales to the whole electorate, Harris will have a blowout win. If that happens, one can almost certainly conclude that Roe overturn killed Trump.

Let’s unpack your logic:

a) Women are reduceable to their cunts uteri
b) They believe this themselves
c) They vote accordingly
d) Nothing motivates them more

The F-M difference in the D direction hatched and grew during the decades when Roe was an impregnable fortress. (Women had been slightly more R than men before that.) Something else was responsible for the shift.

Like 50 years of the corruption of our young women.

You seem to have lost track of an important strikethrough.

The point is that

1) the COVID shots were and are “vaccines” only under a conveniently revised regulatory definition

2) as was finally acknowledged after a shitstorm of duplicitous propaganda and coercion, the rushed products were never even tested for efficacy WRT to transmission/infection as opposed to symptomatic amelioration

3) even at that, people were fearpharmed by “95% effective” blah blah because they failed to understand the distinction between relative and absolute statistics

Commenters like Kratoklastes were calling it out all along. But Mr. Sailer not only fell for it, he helped the Establishment put it over on millions of trusting, tyrannized people. His default mode is actually quite the opposite of his cultivated reputation.

Your second paragraph only makes sense if it is addressed to “Loyalty”, not to me. In which case, it makes a lot of sense.

Strong economy, crime is down, Harris wins handily.

Riots by conservatives are put down after much hand wringing.

County moves forward into a new golden age.

I expect Trump will win. The zionist lobby decided to throw its weight behind him after the events of October 7, 2023.

The mayor of Dearborn is a Zionist?

I’m a Democrat.
I’m anti-Zionist.
I’m anti-white.

I’m voting for Kamala because she makes whites poorer. Simple as.

“in the citizenship exam one of the questions is what is the most important right of citizenship? And the answer is voting. Doesn’t matter who you vote for, but just vote anyway.”

Meh, that’s just one cherry-picked bureaucrat’s sentimental opinion. There are lots of important rights, though strictly speaking most of those enumerated are God-given, not “of citizenship” so there’s that.

Still, your “doesn’t matter who you vote for, just vote anyway” metric has some potential for comedy gold…

— Doesn’t matter what you speak about, just keep talking

— Doesn’t matter who you shoot at, just shoot at someone

— Doesn’t matter whether you did anything or not, just get a speedy trial

Whoops I guess that last one is out the window, after 1/6. Funny how nobody ever grilled Kamala the Criminal Lawyer about any of that… So, guess what you can look forward to, when she “wins”.

I don’t think it will backfire, the media was already calling it a Nazi rally as you know, so a guy who told some jokes about Puerto Rico being a garbage dump isn’t going to hurt anything. I saw a clip of a guy stating the number one search on google after the rally was, garbage in Puerto Rico. ( Paraphrased here, don’t recall the exact key words)

Trump did what he does best, trolled them into calling themselves out. People all over Tik Tok and X are talking about the landfill problems and the crooked government on our fine little island.

I don’t buy Trump not knowing before hand what the comedian was going to say. With that I’ve seen the guys show a few times and from what I hear it’s a very popular show with Z aged men. Who knows man I could be way off base, but every time I think Trump screwed up he proves me wrong.

At this point I want him to win just so we can watch these insane clowns melt down , it’s gonna make 2020 look like a a hippie sit in. Interesting times indeed.

So are you a Jew or a Judaizing WASP or just another money-loving post-Christian?

You really seem to have a chip on your shoulder about “WASPs”.

Are we to infer that you are some sort of bitter swarthy ‘wog’ with no money?

Faux pas? Trump goes to Green Bay with Brett Favre? Who decamped to the expansion team and division rival next door? My Cheesehead mother-in-law at the time: “Don’t let the door hit you on the way out!”

But this would be a blip, a speed bump for Trump. The other side topped (or bottomed) that almost immediately:

Fourth Quarter, You Say? Harris Campaign Posts ANOTHER Sports L With Doug Emhoff-Doc Rivers Ad

What with Doc Rivers and the masturbation ad in Michigan, these people really identify with chokers!

By the way, was that guy under the covers engaging in “internal poling”?

Harris is going to crush him like the repulsive creature from the blackest hell he is.

I am not proposing any new logic here. Just observing that an election with such a huge disparity in F – M tends to go to D. If, on November 4th, the F – M remains 10% or above, it will be a Chicxulub event in American politics on November 6th. I won’t be able to imagine what politics will look like after that since it breaks a quarter century of “stuck in neutral” dynamic. The monster truck will shift to Drive or Reverse, but Neutral it won’t be.

So, Harris wins in November, and you’ll hear her insane cackling laugh for the next eight years, as she brings in twenty million illegals, placing them in every small town in every red state in America. Regardless of the topic, she’s laughing at you, on behalf of the people who are succeeding in destroying western civilization.

Good take Anon7, except if she wins, I’m quite skeptical of the “eight years”.

Harris embodies pretty the core traits of the Parasite Party–whiny “i’m oppressed” minoritarianism, parasitism, silly anti-empirical ideology, utter vapidity and toxic femininity.

That’s the one upside to Harris. Yeah, the Parasite Party may still be funded and run in large part by smarter Jewish guys. But Harris nicely embodies what the party *is*. And I think this is going to turn off a lot of normal people–especially men–who still had blinders on.

Nah, inflation was under control in Jan. 2021. The problem was Biden-Harris’ “net zero” carbon policy and the shutting down of oil and gas leases on federal lands. That was the first body blow. The second came after the Ukraine war and the sanctions on Russia, which sent the price of energy soaring. That was the killer blow. Biden spinned it as “Putin’s price hike” but Putin had nothing to do with it. It was Biden, always.

I don’t want to be an autist harping on this but I’ve brought this up multiple times to other people. Democrats try to blame gas prices on the Ukraine invasion or other Russian machinations, but I remember otherwise.

Biden took office. Within days he killed that XL Pipeline deal with Canada. Gas went up almost immediately and kept going up for 1 1/2 -2 years.

Trump will probably win despite the drag put on his campaign by anti-abortion groups. Yeah I said it, eat it. They demand everything and yet give nothing in return.

For the record, this–as Kaiser was poking at–is ahistorical.

The usual quick and dirty of the modern Republican party in the 6th party system was that it was a triad of
— national security hawks
— fiscal (or at least “lower taxes!”) conservatives
— and social conservatives.
The social conservatives provided the most votes, but the Republicans actual program in office–especially Reagan on–was heavy defense spending (against the Soviets and then for the neocon’s wars) and marginal tax rate cuts, but essentially nothing for the social conservatives.

Normie/traditionalist angst–worry over the declining condition of social conditions for traditional family life–was cultivated and tapped, but actual pushback against the destruction, much less actual “pro-family” policy was–still is–essentially non-existent.

Normie/traditionalist angst–worry over the declining condition of social conditions for traditional family life–was cultivated and tapped, but actual pushback against the destruction, much less actual “pro-family” policy was–still is–essentially non-existent.

Figuring out how to reverse tanking birthrates is *the* biggest issue facing the West – more important than balancing the budget and more important, even, than immigration (though reducing immigration would probably help boost native fertility rates). If we don’t reverse the decline in birthrates then nothing else matters.

One lesson learned during the George W. Bush presidency is that nobody minds if the president hardly ever holds press conferences and if when he does speak, he reads from teleprompters. They’ll do the same with Harris, sequestering her in the White House except for smiling and waving Kamala walking to helicopters, walking off planes, giving canned speeches to adoring audiences.

She’s a symbol, she allows white Americans who have been indoctrinated with self-hatred and shame about racism to expiate their guilt. She can bring old white boomer dad Walz in for an occasional whipping, opening one cultural center after another in America’s heartland. Why not eight years? This stuff writes itself.

I really wish the blinders would come off, as you say, but if it hasn’t happened by now, I fear what would be required to make it happen. Actual armed takeovers of medium-sized towns by Haitian gangs, open warfare between the Arabs in Dearborn, MI and the Jews in Oakland county, the dollar no longer the reserve currency of world trade (BRICS is already bigger than G7 by GDP) and everybody calls in their markers which puts an end to the money-printing that makes social security and medicare possible.

But in the meantime, life in our nation’s capital goes on as usual, which I think is the point of the exercise.

“…it is notable that the numbers of such ballots are many multiples of the margin by which ‘Biden won’…”

Are we to gather from this that the large majority of the fraud was caught and discounted before or during the counting, but the overwhelming volume of fraudulent voting was enough to swamp the systems with attrition and eventually push Biden over the top?

“Figuring out how to reverse tanking birthrates is the biggest issue facing the west.”

This also seems to be a problem for high IQ NE Asian countries. In all these countries women have decided getting jobs and living a materialistic lifestyle while engaging in recreational sex rather than getting married and taking care of children is their preferred way of life.

Marriage rates did not start to decline until after the sixties. There are still people alive now who personally observed an era where marriage and having children was the norm. This is not something where we need to figure out what to do. We can just look at what worked in the past. The hard part is getting there since the women who like the way things are now are also voters who will try to block any return to the past.

Men are going to have to show that they are not going to go along with the current status quo. You can see them now forming into a voting bloc. Personally, I do not like seeing males joining into a political coalition with each other. While I often find women frustrating to deal with, it is hard to really hate them. It is primarily men, though, who keep our advanced technological society running smoothly and that is not really appreciated by a lot of women now.

Scenario B would just launch a race war where we kill all the coloreds we see. That’s fine. Nasty work, but that’s what it means.

There is zero proof it was stolen. Many court cases were filed, and all failed. People need to get over this. 2020 was lost due to Trump’s behavior.

Raytheon wins.

East coast media don’t know this, but there isn’t automatic solidarity among Spanish speakers. Mexicans and Central Americans probably think the PR joke was hilarious.

Oh, they had a plan, not for the backlash but for their own pet project, and they were open about it: complete abortion ban in all cases. They wasted no time pushing this through every sympathetic state, but when it went to referendum even conservative voters rejected the measures. This was to counter the Democrat position of fully legal abortion up until birth (and a little after), a position most people find abhorrent. For the sane majority who would be fine with legal abortion through the 1st trimester and exceptions for extraordinary cases, there are no options.
Your only choices are shooting poison in a babys head as it’s born or infinity blacks. Thanks democracy!

truly peaceful protests like the Pink Pussy Hat march or “mostly peaceful protests” like St George of Floyd???

“What do you expect? We live in a totalitarian country.”

This is just straight up gaslighting in your part. The Bezos or Gates or the other American billionaires would be at full throat if this was the case.

JFC, you’re a shill. The message at that venue alienates those whom Trump supposedly says is rallying behind his cause.

“This is just a big punch in the gut for Republicans who have sincerely and over a period of time been working to grow strong relationships and roots in Puerto Rican communities, particularly here in the state of Florida,” said former Rep. Carlos Curbelo (R-Fla.).

Read the room.

“The left isn’t energized now”

Citations required.

“Jeff Bezos just set off a preference cascade among newspapers refusing to endorse Kamala; the richest man in the world is a Trump supporter”

Right, because elites like him want more tax breaks and less regulations. Of course he is going to run interference for him.

I suspect that Trump wins only because the Supreme Court interferes. And if somehow Harris does emerge victorious, it’s not because of voter fraud. It’s because people are tired of Trump’s nonsense. Of course you and others are already penciling him in automatically—after all, he says he will win. And if he doesn’t, he goes back to his “massive voter fraud lie” that was exposed by Sydney Powell and Rudy Giuliani.

a ninny during the dempanic, especially about the, at best, marginally effective vaccines therapeutic crapshots. If deployment or lockdown orders are issued, wouldn’t you predict iCrickets?

The fact this post doesn’t have 2-3 responses of 3,000 to 5,000 words by HA illustrates how much this Coronoa nonsense has been put to bed.

have never lived in a swing state so don’t have a lot of history watching political ads, but they seem to be even more dishonest than usual. The Harris and Jackie Rosen (mostly anti-Sam Brown) ads are over the top, talking about how she’s the pro-freedom, tax-cutting candidate. It seems like an alternate universe.

Here in Florida we have some brown person running against Rick Scott, and every ad is how he’s going to raise taxes and slash medicare and social security. Neither are remotely true.

The only silver lining when Harris is declared the winner: she is the president that America deserves.

But the 200mm or so Americans don’t deserve it. The 100mm+ Paper Work Americans/Non Americans do deserve it.

In fairness, SS wasn’t all that bad about Covid. For example, I remember him posting several times about how the mainstream media used deceptive photos to exaggerate how closely beach goers out his way were congregating seaside.

That said, yeah – he pretty much missed the boat there.

That’s the biggest problem with immigration. What are we doing, trying to “naturalize” foreigners anyway? Why do we need to ever do this? We already have plenty of citizens. If people come and want to work and live, and behave themselves, and pay taxes thats fine, they can get a Work Visa or maybe under very rare circumstances, Permanent Residency, but that should NEVER involve citizenship. They should not get that and nor should any kids they have.

Oh, and, yeah – when it comes to Russia & Ukraine? Is there any distance between Steve Sailer and Victoria Nuland?

Once upon a time, SS passionately opposed the neocons.

I will take your word on that. Forgive me. I did then read and notice that a lot of her positions are right on.

Thank you, Dad, for recognizing my “Enoch-Powell level of realism.” Though not as great as that man, I cannot help but feel that I now share his feelings — about my own homeland.

You get it, at least as far as the immigration (the invasion, invited and facilitated from within!)

I value your comments.

Honestly I thought the joke was super weak even if the crowd had been in a mood to laugh (his pacing was all off, so they didn’t think it was a comedy show. Comics don’t talk that slowly). But if you’re going to do Third World jokes, you gotta go a little harder than that. He just didn’t put much work or thought into this joke. There’s so much he could have done – like taken a shot at AOC and her tia’s shack that the roof blew off, or literally anything else about the place, like the fact that it has disability claims rates that are higher than every single US state.

Comics have made better jokes about PR statehood for example – He just didn’t take advantage of any of the news cycle or a specific political adversary.

Consequently, the crowd didn’t laugh because they weren’t even sure what the point was; is it that PR is full of garbage? Is it that the people are trash? Nobody knows. Maybe the former is worth a laugh, but you need a setup for it so it isn’t confused with the latter….because nobody is gonna laugh if you’re just like “There was poopy TP in the trash can at Walmart …..Hahah, Messicans, amirite?”

Only illegals can afford to have kids. Everyone else has to file a tax return. Illegals don’t, because their kids are the ones getting all the benefits. The kids have no earned income but collect enough bennies for the entire family (Section 8, SNAP/EBT, direct cash assistance, Free Obamacare, etc) And then in CA the state showers them with money that citizens can’t get, plus free tuition at any UC. Try getting any of that crap with a valid Social Security number. You have to fill out FAFSA.

Everyone? Illegals? Foreigners who can’t even be bothered to learn English? Fuck that- why should they vote?

There are still people alive now who personally observed an era where marriage and having children was the norm.

And that was among blacks!

I don’t know how the election will turn out, but however it does, things are going to get worse.

“Oh, and, yeah – when it comes to Russia & Ukraine? Is there any distance between Steve Sailer and Victoria Nuland?”

Nope. Nor should there be. Ukraine is fighting for its life to be free as a white nation.

I would imagine, though, the alarm bells are sounding off in your head, as Russia and North Korea joining forces in Ukraine.

Looks like MAGA’s Kremlin friends are allied with Communists. I thought that’s a big no no. So when will Trump denounce Putin?

“For example, I remember him posting several times about how the mainstream media used deceptive photos to exaggerate how closely beach goers out his way were congregating seaside”

Yeah, he was trying too hard then.

https://www.unz.com/isteve/fake-photos/#comment-3874082

“But the 200mm or so Americans don’t deserve it. The 100mm+ Paper Work Americans/Non Americans do deserve it.”

No, doesn’t work that way. But if you insist, by your own metric, it’s hypocritical on your part given that your own ancestors were paper work Americans.

As China races ahead of the USA , the. That may burst the bubbles that our elites reside in , and perhaps then they will , if only of necessity , become more realistic

Newsome

Our first dyslexic president.

It was a based black woman who stopped that demon-possessed crazy white bitch who was yelling at that baby. Blacks have a lot of problems but white women are decadent and not even trying to be right.

I suspect that Trump wins only because the [American people] . . . interfere.

Fixed it for you.

“… but essentially nothing for the social conservatives.”

They got some conservatives on the Supreme Court. But there is only so much that matters. The anti-abortion people are now free to pass extreme anti-abortion laws. But it turns out such laws are also extremely unpopular even in most red states. The anti-abortion people are in denial about this. Advocating for laws opposed by 80% or 90% of the population is just political suicide. At least if they might actually go into effect because the courts will no longer throw them out.

You didn’t fix anything. Remember, Trump says he will win. No matter what. In a landslide. He already has his lawyers and minions ready to gin up the massive voter lie again. Powell and Giuliani lost their careers over it. You and others avoid addressing this fact.

Even though he said it as joke, I read it as Latinos tend to litter more than others. He also suggested they don’t use contraceptives and hence cause faster browning of America. Somehow, that did not become controversial. I think both were good in subliminally suggesting need to reduce illegal immigration.

But I do say no more than 5 to 6 billion killed, tops. Uh, depending on the breaks.

Alas. Oh well. It exists.

“County moves forward into a new golden age. ”

Your “New Way Forward” will leave your “County” going over the edge of a cliff.

Oh, and, yeah – when it comes to Russia & Ukraine? Is there any distance between Steve Sailer and Victoria Nuland?

Outside of Unz it is normal to support Ukraine. The UN voted 143-5 that Russia’s invasion was unjust and that the land belongs to Ukraine.

Are you that offended by Steve disagreeing with you? Does that keep you up at night?

Also do explain this obsession with Nuland. Let’s hear a rational explanation of how a mid level government administrator changed the Ukrainian government even though the pro-Russian president was removed by Ukrainian parliament and was disavowed as a criminal by his own party. Did she make Yukanovich take millions in bribes? Did she use her magic Jew powers to make him loot his own mansion and flee to Russia? His former mansion is now a public museum of corruption. Tourists can view the lavish spending such as a $35k light fixture that cost more than his annual salary.

Or maybe a better idea would be to find a pro-Putin website like MOA where they will censor the full story in favor of “Putin the victim of US Jews” which as a narrative completely falls apart in an open forum. It holds up about as well as young earth creationism or liberal race denial.

Go ahead, dazzle us with a rational explanation. The other Putin lovers would be thrilled as they have been unable to explain it.

Iran and Israel don’t do much for our national interest but Taiwan is pretty much all the high end manufacturing and semiconductors so losing it would be an economic gut punch. Followed by an uppercut, and then a body slam.

You are right about the point you are making, in the sense you are making it.

I am more talking about the political activists. According to GOP operators I’ve heard from, the anti-abortion crowd was always uncompromising in demanding what they wanted (zero abortions ever) but not willing to work with others in a realistic manner.

I would say most of the actual voters were going to vote GOP anyway. Most of voters are not that zealous about abortion and put economic and national security above.

It’s been noted that when the Establishment GOP started talking to the white working class (i.e. Reagan Democrats), they had no idea how to approach them. So instead they used Moral Majority types as a proxy. As in, “you preacher boys know these people, we will buy you off and you tell your people to vote GOP”. Which is kinda what the Dems did with Black preachers.

his HBD boys only tree fort

Sailer never seems to have outgrown his 10-year-old “girls are icky” mentality. Lately, he seems to have gotten a wild hair up his ass about women who were in sororities in college. Maybe he put the moves on one at one of his speaking engagements and got shot down.

https://static.wikia.nocookie.net/arthur/images/0/09/DW_S8E06.png/revision/latest?cb=20210618002045

Whatever it was, it didn’t come through.

I believe they originally thought the vax would stop or slow transmission. When it turned out it didn’t, they were unwilling to admit yet another error. Panicking the youngish, non-obese, and healthy was criminal regardless.

You, sir, have a diseased mind.

A thoughtful comment. I agree totally.

I believe they originally thought the vax would stop or slow transmission.

No, “they” lied about it. As was evident to anyone who took the time to read about the study – aborted at that – used to justify the rollout. The only metric for efficacy from the get go was a reduction in a defined set of symptoms, which looked really big and scary if all you compared were the people who suffered them. But, Pfizered or salined, both cohorts bore a negligible risk of serious harm from the infection.

You made a great point but it has been sitting in moderation for going on two days.

Democratic activists having persuaded themselves that they have a right to cheat, I do not know whether the swing-state Republican parties are sufficiently organized to contain election fraud. Even if they are, who’s going to stop negro Democratic-party rowdies from muscling elderly white Republican poll watchers out of the room when the truckload of fake ballots arrives? It only takes two minutes to mix the fake ballots in with the real ones. Once mixed, cannot be unmixed, regardless of subsequent orders from election authorities and the courts.

I am aware of nothing that prevents Pennsylvania Democrats from swamping the legitimate Pennsylvania vote with fake ballots constituting 10 or even 20 percent of the whole. No one is going to prosecute the fraudsters, regardless of the obviousness of the evidence; and the negro underclass is not much deterred by prosecution, anyway.

Fraud is undoubtedly already underway in various post offices overnight.

Harris will win Pennsylvania and Michigan by fraud and will win Nevada, too, which leaves Trump with the necessity to win both North Carolina and Georgia plus either of Wisconsin and Arizona. Of the last four, the abortion issue and the Great Replacement will deliver North Carolina and Arizona to Harris and Trump’s personality—which I love but many hate—will deliver Wisconsin, leaving Trump only with Georgia, where black turnout will flag a bit and fraud will be contained. Electoral college totals: Harris 303; Trump 235. Tragically, Trump spends Inauguration Day in a New York prison cell.

Stealing this election won’t be easy. Chaotic Democratic execution might botch the theft, but Harris has sufficient genuine support to begin with that I believe that the cheaters can push her over the top into the White House. If Harris were white, then last-minute defections due to complex, inarticulable female-rival emotions among white women would consign Harris to Sarah Palin’s fate; but Harris is not white and, thus, the defections will not occur. Harris will win.

Trump might win if the Israeli government decided that a Trump victory were in their interests, but I suspect that Douglas MacGregor has it right: Trump is too wild a bronco for Israelis to feel sure that they can control him. This time, Israel will not directly interfere.

That’s my prediction. Whether the result is permanent one-party Democratic rule probably depends on what Zionists want.

the massive voter lie

Another of your many comments revealing your childishness. Were you an adult, which you aren’t, you’d understand that groups of people tend to act consistently with their general group traits. There has always been voter fraud particularly among the D coalition and particularly in urban areas. That’s a fact. The more you reduce the barriers to voter fraud as we’ve done with mail voting, and the more you are in areas where the ‘culture’ is more tolerant of crime and criminals in general, the more frequent it will be. Dishonest people don’t limit themselves to breaking into homes and holding up citizens.

There is no real deterrence when the authorities are in on the crime or turn a blind eye because election challenges have impossible to meet standards for proving fraud. For instance, in the 2004 general election in the King County, Washington, there were more than 1000 invalid ballots that mysteriously found there way from the secure invalid ballots cage to be counted on election night likely making the difference in a close gubernatorial race in favor of the D. King County is. 70% D county and the election workers who made this error (?) that none confessed to were patronage hires of the D Executive. The judge who heard the challenge wouldn’t or couldn’t take proportions into consideration when adjudicating the election, proportions that would have changed the outcome (reducing the 1000 ballots proportionate of the D and R vote ) and so by introducing 1000 invalid ballots into the vote stream ambiguity which greatly favored Ds likely changed the result and was allowed to stand. This is how voter fraud is effectuated; by introducing ambiguity into the ballot counting process in jurisdictions that favor one party over another.

“It’s because people are tired of Trump’s nonsense.”

Indeed. However nearly 50 percent of “the people” evidently beg to differ, notwithstanding the usual Trump humbug. What does that tell you about this thing of ours?

[T]he anti-abortion crowd was always uncompromising in demanding what they wanted (zero abortions ever) but not willing to work with others in a realistic manner.