With the Olympics coming up this summer in Paris only three years after the covid-delayed Olympics in Tokyo, here’s a preprint attempting to debunk my arguments, going back to 1997, that Olympic running performance is related to human biodiversity.
Revisiting Stereotypes: Race and Running
Tade Souaiaiaa, Nabie Fofanah, Rawle De Lisle and Sheena Mason
The athletic achievements of African athletes in global running championships have long been subject to scientific and sociological inquiry. During the 1990s, a popular narrative emerged, suggesting that West African lineage conferred inherent sprinting advantages, and that North, South and East African’s are specialized for longer distances. Part and parcel to this narrative was the enthusiastic belief that it would very soon be substantiated by a genotyping revolution that would enable prognostication of individual athletic potential.
We revisit this hypothesis in the post-genomic era. First, we compare the global running records used to generate the racialist hypotheses with performances over the last twenty years (2004-2023). Focusing on the 100m reveals intriguing trends, including the ascendancy of Jamaica as a sprint powerhouse and the elevation of South African and East Asian sprinters to the global stage, a direct challenge to the racialist paradigm. In line with an in-depth analysis of the influences on elite runners, we build a regression model to predict 100m performance based on environmental and psychological factors.
Next, we direct our attention to 1500m, where the last two British champions have been part of a European resurgence that hasn’t been seen in decades. Examining three different time periods, we identify a thirty year national slowdown (1989-2018). Adapting our model to this time period reveals striking evidence that racial perception has greater impact on performance than racial physiology.
Synthesizing these findings, we introduce a psychocultural hypothesis, positing that interactions between racial perceptions and social dynamics shape the global distribution of running performance. We contrast this hypothesis with the racialist paradigm and propose extending it beyond sport where it offers insight across many domains.
The argument here is basically that if Nature can’t be proved beyond a shadow of a doubt to determine 100% of running results, then Nurture must be 100% responsible and race play no role whatsoever other than stereotype threat.
Personally, I’ve always argued for the interplay of nature and nurture, but the authors and their friends appear to be convinced that that’s cheating: you’ve got to pick one and only one: nature or nurture? Which is it?
As I may have mentioned once or twice over the decades and millennia, in the race for the World’s Fastest Man, the Olympic 100m dash, the eight finalists have been extraordinarily sub-Saharan by ancestry going back to the 1984 Los Angeles Olympics. At present, 79 of the last 80 finalists across the last ten Olympics have had at least one parent of primarily sub-Saharan ancestry.
On the other hand, a Chinese guy, Su Bingtian, broke that streak in 2021 by not just qualifying but winning his semifinal with a 9.83, using a spectacular start and then grimly muscling his way over the finish line in first:
And the fellow who almost caught him in the semi and won gold in the final with a 9.80, Lamont Marcell Jacobs, has an African American dad but a white mom.
So it could be that sprinting is getting slightly more diverse.
But still … 79 out of 80.
Most of the arguments the authors come up with are either ones that I’ve come up with too, or direct analogies. For example, they argue that countries go through cycles of greatness, such as British middle distance champions Steve Ovett, Sebastian Coe, and Steve Cram in the 1980s, or, with perhaps excessive enthusiasm, the British “Return to Greatness” in the mile since 2019.
I could well believe that an efflorescence of competition could egg runners on to great performances, as in Britain in the 1980s, whereas a decline in competition could sap times, as in America in the same era. Likewise, I wrote in 2004:
Why don’t American distance runners run as fast as they oncendid? It appears to be an instructive interaction of nature and nurture.
The decline has been absolute, not just relative to the rest of the world. From 1965 through 1967, three American high school boys (Jim Ryun [now a GOP Congressman from Kansas], Marty Liquori, and Tim Danielson) ran the mile in under four minutes. It didn’t happen again until Alan Webb did it in 2001. I suspect that what took the air out of the American middle distance balloon was Kenyan Kip Keino beating Ryun at Mexico City in the 1500m in 1968. This was at high altitude, where Keino was at home, so it didn’t seem so bad at first, but then the Kenyans just kept on winning. A huge boom in recreational distance running started in America in 1972 when Frank Shorter won the Olympic Marathon, but it didn’t lead to a new generation of world-class runners. The top endurance talent must have gone into mountain climbing or triathlons or bicycle racing or something else where they didn’t have to
compete with the Kenyans.
Anyway, here are currently the 100 fastest marathon runners of all time. The authors decline to consider marathon running for reasons. But it looks pretty informative to me:
Competitor DOB Nat Ethnicity Kelvin KIPTUM 02 Dec 1999 KEN Eliud KIPCHOGE 05 Nov 1984 KEN Kenenisa BEKELE 13 Jun 1982 ETH Sisay LEMMA 12 Dec 1990 ETH Benson KIPRUTO 17 Mar 1991 KEN Birhanu LEGESE 11 Sep 1994 ETH Mosinet GEREMEW 12 Feb 1992 ETH Timothy KIPLAGAT 18 Sep 1993 KEN Dennis KIMETTO 22 Apr 1984 KEN Evans CHEBET 10 Nov 1988 KEN Gabriel Gerald GEAY 10 Sep 1996 TAN Lawrence CHERONO 07 Aug 1988 KEN Alexander Mutiso MUNYAO 10 Sep 1996 KEN Emmanuel MUTAI 12 Oct 1984 KEN Wilson Kipsang KIPROTICH 15 Mar 1982 KEN Amos KIPRUTO 16 Sep 1992 KEN Vincent Kipkemoi NGETICH 03 Jan 1999 KEN Mule WASIHUN 20 Oct 1993 ETH Tadese TAKELE 03 Aug 2002 ETH Deresa GELETA ETH Getaneh MOLLA 10 Jan 1994 ETH Bashir ABDI 10 Feb 1989 BEL Somali Patrick Makau MUSYOKI 02 Mar 1985 KEN Tamirat TOLA 11 Aug 1991 ETH Herpasa NEGASA 11 Sep 1993 ETH Guye Idemo ADOLA 20 Oct 1990 ETH Morhad AMDOUNI 21 Jun 1988 FRA Tunisian Dawit WOLDE 19 May 1991 ETH Stanley Kipleting BIWOTT 21 Apr 1986 KEN Kinde ATANAW 15 Apr 1993 ETH Reuben Kiprop KIPYEGO 21 Aug 1996 KEN Haile GEBRSELASSIE 18 Apr 1973 ETH Leul GEBRESILASE 20 Sep 1992 ETH Marius KIPSEREM 17 May 1988 KEN Asefa MENGSTU 22 Jan 1988 ETH Bernard Kiprop KOECH 31 Jan 1988 KEN Geoffrey MUTAI 07 Oct 1981 KEN Kaan Kigen ÖZBILEN 15 Jan 1986 TUR Kenyan Barnabas KIPTUM 08 Dec 1986 KEN Joshua BELET 10 Feb 1998 KEN Elisha ROTICH 12 Apr 1990 KEN Ronald KORIR 10 Apr 1991 KEN Ayele ABSHERO 28 Dec 1990 ETH Geoffrey KAMWOROR 22 Nov 1992 KEN Tesfaye ABERA 31 Mar 1992 ETH Duncan KIBET 25 Apr 1978 KEN James Kipsang KWAMBAI 28 Feb 1983 KEN Sammy KITWARA 26 Nov 1986 KEN Vincent KIPCHUMBA 03 Aug 1990 KEN Seifu TURA 19 Jun 1997 ETH Tsegaye MEKONNEN 15 Jun 1995 ETH Dickson CHUMBA 27 Oct 1986 KEN Jonathan Kipleting KORIR 20 Nov 1986 KEN Hayle LEMI 13 Sep 1994 ETH CyBrian KOTUT 06 Jun 1992 KEN Hiskel TEWELDE 15 Sep 1986 ERI Bethwel KIBET 04 Aug 1991 KEN Tsegaye KEBEDE 15 Jan 1987 ETH Solomon DEKSISA 11 Mar 1994 ETH Hailemaryam KIROS 05 Feb 1997 ETH Haftu TEKLU 21 Jan 2000 ETH El Hassan EL ABBASSI 13 Apr 1984 BRN Moroccan Asrar HIYRDEN 25 Nov 1999 ETH Hillary KIPSAMBU 04 Feb 1985 KEN Andualem BELAY 05 Apr 1992 ETH Lelisa DESISA 14 Jan 1990 ETH Titus EKIRU 02 Jan 1992 KEN Mekuant AYENEW 24 Oct 1991 ETH Yemane TSEGAY 08 Apr 1985 ETH Berhanu SHIFERAW 31 May 1993 ETH Barselius KIPYEGO 22 Jul 1993 KEN Stephen KISSA 01 Dec 1988 UGA Kibiwott KANDIE 20 Jun 1996 KEN Tadesse TOLA 31 Oct 1987 ETH Shura KITATA 09 Jun 1996 ETH Tsegaye GETACHEW 30 Nov 1996 ETH Dino SEFIR 28 May 1988 ETH Getu FELEKE 28 Nov 1986 ETH Abebe NEGEWO 20 May 1984 ETH Daniel DO NASCIMENTO 28 Jul 1998 BRA Black Brazilian Feyisa LILESA 01 Feb 1990 ETH Endeshaw NEGESSE 13 Mar 1988 ETH Kenneth Kiprop KIPKEMOI 02 Aug 1984 KEN Mathew Kipkoech KISORIO 16 May 1989 KEN Chalu DESO 14 Dec 1997 ETH Abayneh DEGU 01 Dec 1998 ETH Brimin KIPKORIR 1989 KEN Gashau AYALE 22 Aug 1996 ISR Ethiopia Markos GENETI 07 Jun 1984 ETH Titus KIPRUTO 25 Jun 1998 KEN Paul TERGAT 17 Jun 1969 KEN Sammy Kipchoge KORIR 12 Dec 1971 KEN Jonathan MAIYO 05 May 1988 KEN Kengo SUZUKI 11 Jun 1995 JPN Japanese Abdi NAGEEYE 02 Mar 1989 NED Somali Philemon KIPLIMO 10 Oct 1998 KEN Bazezew ASMARE 11 Sep 1996 ETH Amanal PETROS 17 May 1995 GER Eritrean Gadisa BIRHANU 15 Sep 1992 ETH Philemon RONO 08 Feb 1991 KEN
It appears to be 1 Japanese, 1 black Brazilian, 2 North Africans, and a whole bunch of East Africans, almost all of them Kenyans or Ethiopians. Among the top 100 all-time marathoners, there are 46 running for Ethiopia and 44 running for Kenya.
What about among the top 100 100 meter men?
Mark | WIND | Competitor | DOB | Nat | Ethnicity |
9.58 | 0.9 | Usain BOLT | 21 Aug 1986 | JAM | Caribbean Black |
9.69 | 2 | Tyson GAY | 09 Aug 1982 | USA | African-American |
9.69 | -0.1 | Yohan BLAKE | 26 Dec 1989 | JAM | Caribbean Black |
9.72 | 0.2 | Asafa POWELL | 23 Nov 1982 | JAM | Caribbean Black |
9.74 | 0.9 | Justin GATLIN | 10 Feb 1982 | USA | African-American |
9.76 | 0.6 | Christian COLEMAN | 06 Mar 1996 | USA | African-American |
9.76 | 1.2 | Trayvon BROMELL | 10 Jul 1995 | USA | African-American |
9.76 | 1.4 | Fred KERLEY | 07 May 1995 | USA | African-American |
9.77 | 1.2 | Ferdinand OMANYALA | 02 Jan 1996 | KEN | Luhya Bantu |
9.78 | 0.9 | Nesta CARTER | 11 Oct 1985 | JAM | Caribbean Black |
9.79 | 0.1 | Maurice GREENE | 23 Jul 1974 | USA | African-American |
9.8 | 1.3 | Steve MULLINGS | 29 Nov 1982 | JAM | Caribbean Black |
9.8 | 0.1 | Lamont Marcell JACOBS | 26 Sep 1994 | ITA | White and African-American |
9.82 | 1.7 | Richard THOMPSON | 07 Jun 1985 | TTO | Caribbean Black |
9.83 | 0.9 | Bingtian SU | 29 Aug 1989 | CHN | Chinese |
9.83 | 0.9 | Ronnie BAKER | 15 Oct 1993 | USA | African-American |
9.83 | 1.3 | Zharnel HUGHES | 13 Jul 1995 | GBR | Caribbean Black |
9.83 | 0 | Noah LYLES | 18 Jul 1997 | USA | African-American |
9.84 | 0.7 | Donovan BAILEY | 16 Dec 1967 | CAN | Caribbean Black |
9.84 | 0.2 | Bruny SURIN | 12 Jul 1967 | CAN | Caribbean Black |
9.84 | 1.2 | Akani SIMBINE | 21 Sep 1993 | RSA | Southern African |
9.85 | 1.2 | Leroy BURRELL | 21 Feb 1967 | USA | African-American |
9.85 | 1.7 | Olusoji Adetokunbo FASUBA | 09 Jul 1984 | NGR | West African |
9.85 | 1.3 | Michael RODGERS | 24 Apr 1985 | USA | African-American |
9.85 | 1.5 | Marvin BRACY | 15 Dec 1993 | USA | African-American |
9.85 | 0.4 | Kishane THOMPSON | 17 Jul 2001 | JAM | Caribbean Black |
9.86 | 1.2 | Carl LEWIS | 01 Jul 1961 | USA | African-American |
9.86 | -0.4 | Frank FREDERICKS | 02 Oct 1967 | NAM | Southwest African |
9.86 | 1.8 | Ato BOLDON | 30 Dec 1973 | TTO | Caribbean Black |
9.86 | 0.6 | Francis OBIKWELU | 22 Nov 1978 | POR | West African |
9.86 | 1.4 | Keston BLEDMAN | 08 Mar 1988 | TTO | Caribbean Black |
9.86 | 1.3 | Jimmy VICAUT | 27 Feb 1992 | FRA | White and West African |
9.86 | 0.8 | Divine ODUDURU | 07 Oct 1996 | NGR | West African |
9.86 | 1.6 | Michael NORMAN | 03 Dec 1997 | USA | Black-Japanese |
9.86 | 0.2 | Oblique SEVILLE | 16 Mar 2001 | JAM | Caribbean Black |
9.86 | 0.7 | Micah WILLIAMS | 12 Nov 2001 | USA | African-American |
9.87 | 0.3 | Linford CHRISTIE | 02 Apr 1960 | GBR | Caribbean Black |
9.87 | -0.2 | Obadele THOMPSON | 30 Mar 1976 | BAR | Caribbean Black |
9.88 | 1.8 | Shawn CRAWFORD | 14 Jan 1978 | USA | African-American |
9.88 | 1 | Walter DIX | 31 Jan 1986 | USA | African-American |
9.88 | 0.9 | Ryan BAILEY | 13 Apr 1989 | USA | African-American |
9.88 | 1 | Michael FRATER | 06 Oct 1982 | JAM | Caribbean Black |
9.88 | 0 | Letsile TEBOGO | 07 Jun 2003 | BOT | Southern African |
9.89 | 1.6 | Travis PADGETT | 13 Dec 1986 | USA | African-American |
9.89 | 1.6 | Darvis PATTON | 04 Dec 1977 | USA | African-American |
9.89 | 1.3 | Ngonidzashe MAKUSHA | 11 Mar 1987 | ZIM | Southern African |
9.89 | 0.2 | Isiah YOUNG | 05 Jan 1990 | USA | African-American |
9.89 | 0.8 | Kenneth BEDNAREK | 14 Oct 1998 | USA | African-American |
9.89 | 0.1 | Andre DE GRASSE | 10 Nov 1994 | CAN | Caribbean Black |
9.89 | 1 | Ackeem BLAKE | 21 Jan 2002 | JAM | Caribbean Black |
9.89 | 1.3 | Pjai AUSTIN | 19 Sep 2000 | USA | African-American |
9.89 | 1.8 | Courtney LINDSEY | 18 Nov 1998 | USA | African-American |
9.89 | 0.8 | Issamade ASINGA | 29 Dec 2004 | SUR | Caribbean Black |
9.9 | 0.4 | Nickel ASHMEADE | 07 Apr 1990 | JAM | Caribbean Black |
9.9 | 2 | Benjamin AZAMATI | 14 Jan 1998 | GHA | West African |
9.9 | 1.8 | Elijah HALL | 22 Aug 1994 | USA | African-American |
9.9 | 1.8 | Godson Oke OGHENEBRUME | 27 May 2003 | NGR | West African |
9.9 | 0.9 | Cravont CHARLESTON | 02 Jan 1998 | USA | African-American |
9.91 | 1.2 | Dennis MITCHELL | 20 Feb 1966 | USA | African-American |
9.91 | 0.9 | Leonard SCOTT | 19 Jan 1980 | USA | African-American |
9.91 | -0.5 | Derrick ATKINS | 05 Jan 1984 | BAH | Caribbean Black |
9.91 | -0.2 | Daniel BAILEY | 09 Sep 1986 | ANT | Caribbean Black |
9.91 | 0.7 | Churandy MARTINA | 03 Jul 1984 | NED | Caribbean Black |
9.91 | 1.1 | James DASAOLU | 05 Sep 1987 | GBR | West African |
9.91 | 1.8 | Femi OGUNODE | 15 May 1991 | QAT | West African |
9.91 | 1 | Julian FORTE | 07 Jan 1993 | JAM | Caribbean Black |
9.91 | 1 | Terrence JONES | 08 Nov 2002 | BAH | Caribbean Black |
9.91 | 1.8 | Shaun MASWANGANYI | 01 Feb 2001 | RSA | Southern African |
9.91 | 1.1 | Rohan WATSON | 29 Apr 2002 | JAM | Caribbean Black |
9.92 | 0.3 | Andre CASON | 20 Jan 1969 | USA | African-American |
9.92 | 0.8 | Jon DRUMMOND | 09 Sep 1968 | USA | African-American |
9.92 | 0.2 | Tim MONTGOMERY | 28 Jan 1975 | USA | African-American |
9.92 | -0.2 | Seun OGUNKOYA | 28 Dec 1977 | NGR | West African |
9.92 | 1 | Tim HARDEN | 27 Jan 1974 | USA | African-American |
9.92 | 2 | Christophe LEMAITRE | 11 Jun 1990 | FRA | White |
9.92 | -0.8 | Kemar BAILEY-COLE | 10 Jan 1992 | JAM | Caribbean Black |
9.92 | 0.9 | Jak Ali HARVEY | 04 May 1989 | TUR | Caribbean Black |
9.92 | 1.4 | Udodi Chudi ONWUZURIKE | 29 Jan 2003 | NGR | West African |
9.93 | 1.4 | Calvin SMITH | 08 Jan 1961 | USA | African-American |
9.93 | -0.6 | Michael MARSH | 04 Aug 1967 | USA | African-American |
9.93 | 1.8 | Patrick JOHNSON | 26 Sep 1972 | AUS | Australian Aboriginal-Irish |
9.93 | 1.1 | Ivory WILLIAMS | 02 May 1985 | USA | African-American |
9.93 | 1.8 | Kemarley BROWN | 20 Jul 1992 | JAM | Caribbean Black |
9.93 | 1.7 | Clayton VAUGHN | 15 May 1992 | USA | African-American |
9.93 | 1.9 | Kim COLLINS | 05 Apr 1976 | SKN | Caribbean Black |
9.93 | 0.8 | Cameron BURRELL | 11 Sep 1994 | USA | African-American |
9.93 | 1.6 | Christopher BELCHER | 29 Jan 1994 | USA | African-American |
9.93 | 0.8 | Cravon GILLESPIE | 31 Jul 1996 | USA | African-American |
9.93 | 1.9 | Arthur CISSÉ | 29 Dec 1996 | CIV | West African |
9.93 | -1.2 | Reece PRESCOD | 29 Feb 1996 | GBR | Caribbean Black? |
9.93 | 0.1 | Eugene AMO-DADZIE | 22 Jun 1992 | GBR | West African |
9.94 | 0.2 | Davidson EZINWA | 22 Nov 1971 | NGR | West African |
9.94 | -0.2 | Bernard WILLIAMS | 19 Jan 1978 | USA | African-American |
9.94 | 1.7 | Diondre BATSON | 13 Jul 1992 | USA | African-American |
9.94 | 1.4 | Andrew FISHER | 15 Dec 1991 | JAM | Caribbean Black |
9.94 | 1 | Ameer WEBB | 19 Mar 1991 | USA | African-American |
9.94 | 0.9 | Wayde VAN NIEKERK | 15 Jul 1992 | RSA | Cape Coloured |
9.94 | 1.6 | Jo’Vaughn MARTIN | USA | African-American | |
9.94 | 1.3 | Gift LEOTLELA | 12 May 1998 | RSA | Southern African |
9.94 | 0.8 | Joseph Paul AMOAH | 12 Jan 1997 | GHA | West African |
Among the top 100 all-time 100 meter men (9.94 or lower), there is one East Asian (Su Bingtian), one white (Frenchman Christophe LeMaitre), one half Austrialian Aborigine and half Irishman (Patrick Johnson), and one Cape Coloured (Wayde Van Niekerk). I believe there are two half-blacks (Jacobs and Jimmy Vicault, although I could be be understating this number).
Update: A reader points out USA sprinter Michael Norman has a black father and a Japanese mother. (Another black-Japanese sprinter, Abdul Hakim Sani Brown, often the anchorman for Japan’s fine 4x100m relay team, is in the second 100 with a personal best of 9.97 seconds.)

Guess the Nilotic marathoner vs. the Bantu 100m man
There is now one East African top man in the 100m, Ferdinand Omanyala of Kenya. Yet, note that he is of the Bantu tribe, which is quite distinct from the Nilotic Luo tribe of former president Obama. Omanyala is much wider and more muscular than the Kenyan Nilotic Kalenjin distance runners, such as marathon great Eliud Kipchoge.
The authors make a big deal about how the fact that there are now five Southern Africans (and one Southwest African, 1990s star Frankie Fredericks of Namibia) somehow disproves the “racialist” perspective that West Africans are better at sprinting and East Africans at distnace running, but the theory was always that sub-Saharans have overall advantages in running speed that are partly specialized by sprint vs distance.
43 of the top 100m men are African-American, 32 are ethnically Caribbean, and 11 of the top 100 are ethnically recent West Africans.
The authors emphasize that West Africans are not as abundant as the theory that West Africa is the motherlode of sprint speed would suggest, but there are obvious nurture differences: life expectancy in Nigeria is only 54 years compared to 74 years in Jamaica.
So, I dunno. It look like, as of 2024, that both Nature and Nurture play significant roles in running performance. But then I’m a bad person, so I would say that, wouldn’t I?
“North, South and East African’s”
Glaring grammatical error right there in the second sentence. I’m unable to take any of it seriously after that.
In your previous post you mentioned Bannister, which got me thinking: Could it just be that Africans didn’t have as much chance to compete on an international stage before, say, 1960? (In the 1896 first Olympics, for example, it seems that every last athlete was white.) And no matter what your genes are like, you still need to train, and I also assume that such training wasn’t available to those in the Third World until about mid-century. So you have a British runner breaking the record. I mean, it’s not that non-Africans have gotten *slower*, is it?
In other words it’s magic (or I suppose voodoo is apropos). It’s our thoughts that make blacks faster.
This “magical thinking” suffuses American racial discourse so thoroughly that people barely notice it. It is used to explain just about every disparity that exists.
While it is true that whites may be discouraged from certain sports by black prevalence (e.g. urban high school basketball), this isn’t the case with running, which is not a team sport. What is happening is that competition has gone global, and when white athletes figure out they can’t compete at the international level they either get on with life or choose a sport in which they have a chance of winning.
As an added note on magical thinking, it is odd to see these people who so readily dismiss appeals to the Almighty as primitive superstition ascribing the power to alter the physical world to the thoughts of mere humans. To me this looks like regress to a stone age mentality, and yet here it is in an academic journal…
Steve, this--certainly these clowns--is not worth your time.
The whole "race does not exist" nonsense is deeply bound up in the minoritarian attack--"racists!" --upon America's--ergo the West's--white gentiles, our people, culture, history, achievements. Why we are bad people, who don't even deserve our nation(s). And shouldn't even worry about wonderful diversity streaming across the border making us stronger!
These particularly clowns are just parroting what deeply evil destructive people have already established as orthodoxy. But it's silly on its face.
Yes nurture matters. I notice there's not a single one of these top 100m runners born before I was. Tracks and shoes and training and conditioning are just way better. American blacks are way over-represented relative to West Africans--because white people produce nice stuff, blacks in America get to use. And yes "nurture" includes "psychocultural" factors like some elite white runners seeing the racial landscape and figuring out where to use their talents--or bothering at all. But the gist of it is ... nature. Race is real and race matters. Genes matter--a whole bunch--in every walk of life.Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Nachum, @ThreeCranes
Agree with your point about it not being a team sport in the way that basketball is. If you went to a mostly white high school and had world class speed, this fact would be obvious from gym class. It would also be obvious that this would be a fairly effortless way to get a scholarship to college.
If there were a lot of white people who had potential to hold world records in sprints, we would know it.
The skewed numbers Steve reports for top top top level sprinters are astounding. People who aren't used to statistical analysis of human populations just don't get how incredibly unlikely this is.Replies: @Ganderson
2. Jakob Ingebrigtsen (Norway)
3. Narve Gilje Nordås (Norway) Norway currently has two all-time great runners: the aforementioned Jakob Ingebrigtsen (middle distance Olympic and multiple-time World gold medalist) and Karsten Warholm (400m hurdles world record holder.) Kristian Blummenfelt (triathlon Olympic gold medalist/Ironman world record holder) also deserves a mention.The greatness of Yugoslavian athletes is often discussed on this forum, but I think Norwegians edge them out for the Best White Athletes title. Yugoslavs excel at team ball sports: basketball, soccer, water polo. So do Norwegians--Erling Haaland is as great a soccer player as any Yugoslav has ever been--but they also frequently have strong competitors in all kinds of individual sports: tennis (and table tennis), golf, cycling, climbing, strongman. And they of course historically dominate winter sports. All this despite a population below 6 millon. They even stand out in weird niche semi-sports: the greatest "freestyle footballers" are brothers from Norway. And the greatest chess player is Magnus Carlsen (yeah, they have a lot of brains too.)Replies: @Bill P, @BB753
But how many of these fastest men were born as women? Huh?
I’ll bet a bunch of them were.
(Hmmmmm...)
The standard of work and training to become an Olympic athlete is staggering. So before it was more, who really is the most naturally talented. Today it is more talent + training.
And just because black guys are overall obviously better 100m sprinters writ large doesn’t mean a really good non-Bantu couldn’t appear too, it’s just statistically less likely in their populations. Depending on how much LD or population-specific mutations are at play, we don’t know.
But an elephant in the room here is that drugs can make you really, really, really good at the 100m.
And while the turning of a blind eye at Usain Bolt’s insane times (Remember when he won at Beijing and slowed down at the end to strut?) due to a combination of him being so charismatic and being so lean (The image of most steroid abusers being they can’t help but put on more muscle in places you wouldn’t think they were training very hard, ala his infamous team mate Yohan Blake, AKA “The Beast” who looked exactly like all the mid 90s roided freak 100m runners) meant he was spared any incongruity at the idea that nobody before or since has even come close to his times except guys who were doping.
So people were able to reach those times and create a smooth distribution to Bolt-land but only by using PEDs.
So the Chinese guy’s time should invite discussion because it looks like 9.80 is about the limit in terms of not running with PEDs.
Table of fastest 34 times ever.

https://tomnew.medium.com/usain-bolt-lance-armstrong-and-the-duck-test-303b7b891e7e
https://track-stats.com/drug-100m-the-fastest-men-and-their-bans
Table of fastest 10 men ever, orange means they’ve been caught at least once for doping. Both Carter and Greene have been since this was made.
Greene was never caught but was forced to admit to paying another athlete 10k to buy drugs, but claims innocence of knowing what he was buying which either makes him the dumbest person alive or an obvious lie. He says he was buying them for his friends…
But it is suspicious that both Green and Bolt were parts of teams and eras in their countries when their programs were massively doping. Jamaican’s golden era ended when their drug testing regime came under scrutiny. And why would the Jamaicans taint their naturally talented athletes by hiring the Doctor Mengele of sports? Why hire a disgraced doper as your programme doctor except to dope? Surely if you naturally had such dominant athletes you’d have no problem getting a legitimate expert.
So I’m not so sure the Chinese guy was legit given that 9.80 ceiling for non-dopers. Outside Bolt who is so far away from everybody else but he is affable, not arrogant and charming and lean so we just ignore what we’d find impossible to ignore in another sport. It’s hard to just look at times anymore. But there are over 1.2 billion people in China (Albeit a lot less proportionally in their physical prime right now due to the 1 child policy), if the government trawled hard enough I’m sure they could find the exception that proves the rule.
Scott Alexander refers to this motivated reasoning as Isolated Demands for Rigor, i.e. when a hypothesis goes against your preferred world-view, you won’t believe it without an impossible level of proof, and you might not believe it even then. Meanwhile, if a hypothesis reinforces your priors, you will believe it at first glance.
I would bet the likelihood of the Chinese sprinter being on PEDs is higher than 98.75%. It doesn’t sound like they even considered that possibility.
Surely, if race play no role in running (apart from marathon, they tell us) we should've seen a bunch of Chinese sprinters bringing home medals for their country, right?As a matter of fact, China seems to have won more Olympic medals in walking than running.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Olympic_medalists_for_China Damn those Asians, be it IQ or running, they just insist on ruining The Narrative!
It is almost as extreme among women.
In the marathon 80% of the top 100 times are of either Ethiopian or Kenya origin.
In the 100m 77% are of West African descent – counting African-American, Caribbean and West African as West African descent.
The Australian Patrick Johnson has a Melanesian mother (what Australians call Torres Strait Islander) which is a different race to Aborigine (a bit more intelligent for starters)
He broke 10 seconds only once and many question that time’s accuracy (which happened in Japan)
I’ll get out the turtle shell rattle and chicken blood. Olympics here I come!
And then there are those nations who aren’t even in the conversation. Has the cultural running revolution just not reached Central America yet? Potential powerhouse Hindu sprinters are concencentrating on cow racing?
Shoulder to the boulder they begin, again, their grim task of rolling their lumpy rock up the hill.
This "magical thinking" suffuses American racial discourse so thoroughly that people barely notice it. It is used to explain just about every disparity that exists.
While it is true that whites may be discouraged from certain sports by black prevalence (e.g. urban high school basketball), this isn't the case with running, which is not a team sport. What is happening is that competition has gone global, and when white athletes figure out they can't compete at the international level they either get on with life or choose a sport in which they have a chance of winning.
As an added note on magical thinking, it is odd to see these people who so readily dismiss appeals to the Almighty as primitive superstition ascribing the power to alter the physical world to the thoughts of mere humans. To me this looks like regress to a stone age mentality, and yet here it is in an academic journal...Replies: @AnotherDad, @Erik L, @Anonymous, @nebulafox
Agree.
Steve, this–certainly these clowns–is not worth your time.
The whole “race does not exist” nonsense is deeply bound up in the minoritarian attack–“racists!” –upon America’s–ergo the West’s–white gentiles, our people, culture, history, achievements. Why we are bad people, who don’t even deserve our nation(s). And shouldn’t even worry about wonderful diversity streaming across the border making us stronger!
These particularly clowns are just parroting what deeply evil destructive people have already established as orthodoxy. But it’s silly on its face.
Yes nurture matters. I notice there’s not a single one of these top 100m runners born before I was. Tracks and shoes and training and conditioning are just way better. American blacks are way over-represented relative to West Africans–because white people produce nice stuff, blacks in America get to use. And yes “nurture” includes “psychocultural” factors like some elite white runners seeing the racial landscape and figuring out where to use their talents–or bothering at all. But the gist of it is … nature. Race is real and race matters. Genes matter–a whole bunch–in every walk of life.
A Scott Alexander Adjacent Article by Eliezer Yudkowsky in Less Wrong.
This "magical thinking" suffuses American racial discourse so thoroughly that people barely notice it. It is used to explain just about every disparity that exists.
While it is true that whites may be discouraged from certain sports by black prevalence (e.g. urban high school basketball), this isn't the case with running, which is not a team sport. What is happening is that competition has gone global, and when white athletes figure out they can't compete at the international level they either get on with life or choose a sport in which they have a chance of winning.
As an added note on magical thinking, it is odd to see these people who so readily dismiss appeals to the Almighty as primitive superstition ascribing the power to alter the physical world to the thoughts of mere humans. To me this looks like regress to a stone age mentality, and yet here it is in an academic journal...Replies: @AnotherDad, @Erik L, @Anonymous, @nebulafox
“You can’t coach speed.” -Jimmy Johnson
Agree with your point about it not being a team sport in the way that basketball is. If you went to a mostly white high school and had world class speed, this fact would be obvious from gym class. It would also be obvious that this would be a fairly effortless way to get a scholarship to college.
If there were a lot of white people who had potential to hold world records in sprints, we would know it.
The skewed numbers Steve reports for top top top level sprinters are astounding. People who aren’t used to statistical analysis of human populations just don’t get how incredibly unlikely this is.
Hockey remains overwhelmingly white; the occasional Mike Grier, PK Subban, and Kyle Okposo notwithstanding. A friend of mine, a retired DI coach once told me that he thought the reason so many good players came out of the Upper Midwest was genetic. Applies to Scandinavia, at least Sweden and Finland, too. In Canada there’s a huge nurture component- in Canada you can turn on late night TV and listen to a discussion between Farley Mowatt and Margaret Atwood about who’s gonna win the Stanley Cup. Same phenomenon in Finland. Finland and Canada are the only countries where hockey is #1- even in Russia and Sweden it’s at best 1A after soccer.
Even so, the NHL (and a bunch of D I college teams) went all in on Blackety Black Month. The Bruins even retired Willie O’Ree’s number, pretty much because he is black; UMass played the “Black National Anthem” before their games. (Not just hockey, but hoops and lax, too- and lax is even whiter than hockey.)
The real reason they want to deboonk the racialist argument is because if they do come out and admit that West Africans are superior sprinters based on genetics, they might have to admit that other traits like intelligence are genetic as well. As much as they want to say blacks are superhuman gods and simply better than us, better judgment dictates that they can’t make this argument as it can go both ways. And a lot of these “academics” have made a career out of crafting complex dogma to explain why almost all cornerbacks are black or why trillions of dollars won’t close the scholastic achievement gap (cabal of racists! implicit white supremacy! lead pipes!)
As far as the dominance of Jamaica in recent years, their doping standards aren’t nearly as stringent as America’s. While I assume every country (not just Russia) dopes as much as they can get away with, Jamaica probably has a crafty regime that they can handwave by saying they’re poor. It also makes me suspicious of the Chinese runner since some of their world-class weightlifters have failed drug tests in recent months, but maybe he is just an outlier.
Well, that sounds very scientific /s. These guys obviously have advanced degree in blah, blah, blah. In no sport is success so obviously genetic-based as running — and especially sprinting. You just strap on your shoes and whoever’s leg muscles move faster for ten seconds wins.
When West and East Africans, respectively, are 100,000% over-represented, the Bayesian prior for genetic superiority is pretty overwhelming. Of course, if you really insist on talking about “psychosocial” issue those exist everywhere and always. (“What makes a kid try out for track, why do some cultures value certain events more than others, blah, blah”).
The only interesting questions at this point is to isolate the physical mechanisms (fast-twitch muscle fibre metabolism and oxygen uptake in hemoglobin, etc), and to try to identify the associated genes.
with a population of around 1.4 billion there’s bound to be one fast guy and China is adept at finding him…….the West Africa ,East Africa running axis is a nose on your face thing …..nature ,nature ,nature,………all forms of animal/plant husbandry people are meanwhile beavering away using genetics to improve their bloodlines.
I was struck by the second of these two sentences in the Abstract:
The part that’s true is the claim that various people did predict variations of “it’ll soon be possible to analyze a person’s genotype and say something about their athletic potential.” The dates of their references 12-19 are 2013 (peer-reviewed), 2007 (p-r), 2004 (essay), 2003 (p-r), 2008 (e), 2000 (e), 1993 (e), and 1999 (p-r).
The part that’s false is the notion that such “enthusiastic beliefs” were “part and parcel” of the idea that human biodiversity (a term unmentioned by Souaiaia et al) is a useful lens for looking at athletic performance. HBD is an explanatory framework. An analogy: Darwin promoted the idea of Natural Selection because it made sense of stuff that he observed, not because he enthusiastically believed in a yet-to-be-invented discipline.
The part that’s funny is that fellow travelers of Souaiaia et al are in positions of power in the biomedical establishment (e.g. the NIH, Scientific American), and are doing everything possible to obstruct, defund, and outlaw research that might shed light on the influence of genotype on an individual’s human potential.
If these true believers truly believed, they’d be eager to see those deluded HBD’ers’ investigations founder on the rocks of The Blank Slate.
But for reasons that are as mysterious as they are unfathomable, that’s not how it’s playing out.
This is like saying you have refuted natural selection because Darwin didn't know how DNA works.Replies: @res
Steve, this--certainly these clowns--is not worth your time.
The whole "race does not exist" nonsense is deeply bound up in the minoritarian attack--"racists!" --upon America's--ergo the West's--white gentiles, our people, culture, history, achievements. Why we are bad people, who don't even deserve our nation(s). And shouldn't even worry about wonderful diversity streaming across the border making us stronger!
These particularly clowns are just parroting what deeply evil destructive people have already established as orthodoxy. But it's silly on its face.
Yes nurture matters. I notice there's not a single one of these top 100m runners born before I was. Tracks and shoes and training and conditioning are just way better. American blacks are way over-represented relative to West Africans--because white people produce nice stuff, blacks in America get to use. And yes "nurture" includes "psychocultural" factors like some elite white runners seeing the racial landscape and figuring out where to use their talents--or bothering at all. But the gist of it is ... nature. Race is real and race matters. Genes matter--a whole bunch--in every walk of life.Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Nachum, @ThreeCranes
Academics are obviously highly incentivized to get published and cited. But apparently getting cited for being silly and wrong also counts. In short, social science seems to resemble Twitter — it’s all about engagement.
The part that's false is the notion that such "enthusiastic beliefs" were "part and parcel" of the idea that human biodiversity (a term unmentioned by Souaiaia et al) is a useful lens for looking at athletic performance. HBD is an explanatory framework. An analogy: Darwin promoted the idea of Natural Selection because it made sense of stuff that he observed, not because he enthusiastically believed in a yet-to-be-invented discipline.
The part that's funny is that fellow travelers of Souaiaia et al are in positions of power in the biomedical establishment (e.g. the NIH, Scientific American), and are doing everything possible to obstruct, defund, and outlaw research that might shed light on the influence of genotype on an individual's human potential.
If these true believers truly believed, they'd be eager to see those deluded HBD'ers' investigations founder on the rocks of The Blank Slate.
But for reasons that are as mysterious as they are unfathomable, that's not how it's playing out.Replies: @Hypnotoad666
As weak as it is, the current pathetic rearguard defense of the Blank Slate seems to be: “Specific genes for the trait haven’t been identified yet, So checkmate.”
This is like saying you have refuted natural selection because Darwin didn’t know how DNA works.
My impression: sprints (40m to 400m) are dominated by sub-Saharan blacks (and their progeny). Middle distances (800m to 1500m are a mix of races). Long distances (5000m and up are dominated by East Africans The obvious implication is that success in various running events is affected by the different average muscle composition and physiological parameters among the races and sub-races of mankind. Nurture would affect the outcomes only at the margins. A particularly dedicated training regimen would improve the times of a runner but would not seriously affect the distribution of outcomes by race (e.g., you will get an occasional non-black outstanding sprinter but he will be an outlier among an otherwise nearly all black competitors). As in other sports, athletes will gravitate to the events/positions that maximize their chances for success.
After reading Mr. Sailer’s two tables, showing at a glance the huge over-representation of certain racial/ethnic backgrounds in sprinting and distance running, I had to chuckle because this post comes immediately after a post entitled, “I Refute It Thus!” These tables are nearly as solid as the rock Dr. Johnson was kicking.
This is like saying you have refuted natural selection because Darwin didn't know how DNA works.Replies: @res
And that seems to transition to “but you can’t explain all of the variance for the trait” as specific genes are found.
As speed goes the last white to lead the SEC in rushing was Wayne Jones in 1973. Until last year when the guy from Missouri did it.
I know it’s a bad thought to have, but could there be any chance that Su Bingtian’s spectacular start was assisted in some way – the biochemical equivalent of a JATO pack?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/JATO
What exactly are the biomechanics of the start as compared to the sprint, where fast twitch muscle fibre seems very important?
The Olympics are highly prestigious, a great nation needs its great heroes, and there’s a long, long history of “by any means necessary”. It’s amazing how many current women’s Olympic records were set in the 1980s, either by Soviet, US or East German ladies.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Olympic_records_in_athletics#Women’s_records
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OlZyHtbueQU
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FwcnMUaPtmU
The Japanese national record holder is on roids too
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I9vXLMmKo9o
You can tell because their physiques all look like this
https://www.thesun.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/wrestler-john-cena-appears-ring-270813068.jpg
But the key difference between the start and top-speed sprinting concerns relative strength. The start is all about relative strength and consequently favors short people. But tall people with lower relative strength compensate for lower acceleration with a longer acceleration, which means they reach the same max speed but later.
This is because a full contraction of a long muscle takes longer but also does more work (transfers more energy) than an equally strong short muscle ("equally strong" meaning it has the same cross-sectional area and therefore produces the same amount of force.)
Another aspect of height is that the scaling of the body is not uniform. The long bones often grow in the middle so that the lever arms of muscles do not elongate proportionally. This makes the levers more suited for top speed than for strength and acceleration.
Steve, this--certainly these clowns--is not worth your time.
The whole "race does not exist" nonsense is deeply bound up in the minoritarian attack--"racists!" --upon America's--ergo the West's--white gentiles, our people, culture, history, achievements. Why we are bad people, who don't even deserve our nation(s). And shouldn't even worry about wonderful diversity streaming across the border making us stronger!
These particularly clowns are just parroting what deeply evil destructive people have already established as orthodoxy. But it's silly on its face.
Yes nurture matters. I notice there's not a single one of these top 100m runners born before I was. Tracks and shoes and training and conditioning are just way better. American blacks are way over-represented relative to West Africans--because white people produce nice stuff, blacks in America get to use. And yes "nurture" includes "psychocultural" factors like some elite white runners seeing the racial landscape and figuring out where to use their talents--or bothering at all. But the gist of it is ... nature. Race is real and race matters. Genes matter--a whole bunch--in every walk of life.Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Nachum, @ThreeCranes
American blacks also benefit from athletic scholarships and other targeted funding Africans don’t generally have access to.
Steve, how many fingers am I holding up?
“Uh, four”
ZZZZZZZZZZ
“OW!! OK, five! It’s five!”
I don’t think you really believe that.
ZZZZZZZZZZ
Might throw Jakob Ingebrigtsen into a kind of nordic celtic anglo periphery which is expected to dominate from about 800-5000 meters in the Olympics as it has, him specifically at the longer distances, the last 3 years. Many of them Scots born training in US, winning at the even more prestigious World Championships which track athletes regard as the best field. Definitely a cultural aspect of running around the rural trails there historically.
These mens much larger bodies make it exceptionally hard to haul the weight at any distances above 5K however.
I think that, when you factor in steroid levels, all will become clear.
From the “study” text:
Did anyone in this study bother to define “psychocultural” for us?
And this:
How could “racial perception” (or any “perception”) which means “the state of being or process of becoming aware of something through the senses.” be responsible for noting that Africans/African heritage DNA appears to result in extraordinary performance superiority in certain kinds of running races?
Very odd that Tade Souaiaiaa, Nabie Fofanah, Rawle De Lisle and Sheena Mason (who seem to have African or African inspired names) seem to support a theory which says, in essence, that Black! superiority in some kinds of foot racing is merely an illusion of ‘perception” and “psychocultural” bias.
Odd to see this self-hating Black! authored study be celebrated
Does ordinary perception, like at the quantum mechanics level, alter the location, just by looking at a Kenyan racer besting everyone else, nearly all of the time?
So the theory here is, “if you see an East African winning a race, by looking at the winner they simply become East African” even even they are Thai? So if we don’t “perceive” their race/ethnicity then results are just randomly distributed across humanity?
If some White group of researchers argued that the Black! dominance of NBA basketball by Blacks! was merely a perception issue with “psychocultural” bias, would this be celebrated as some sort of “anti racist” research?
Some questions must not be asked…
This "magical thinking" suffuses American racial discourse so thoroughly that people barely notice it. It is used to explain just about every disparity that exists.
While it is true that whites may be discouraged from certain sports by black prevalence (e.g. urban high school basketball), this isn't the case with running, which is not a team sport. What is happening is that competition has gone global, and when white athletes figure out they can't compete at the international level they either get on with life or choose a sport in which they have a chance of winning.
As an added note on magical thinking, it is odd to see these people who so readily dismiss appeals to the Almighty as primitive superstition ascribing the power to alter the physical world to the thoughts of mere humans. To me this looks like regress to a stone age mentality, and yet here it is in an academic journal...Replies: @AnotherDad, @Erik L, @Anonymous, @nebulafox
Well, some white runners can win international competitions, particularly in the middle distances. Last year’s 1500m World Athletics Championship podium:
1. Josh Kerr (Scotland)
2. Jakob Ingebrigtsen (Norway)
3. Narve Gilje Nordås (Norway)
Norway currently has two all-time great runners: the aforementioned Jakob Ingebrigtsen (middle distance Olympic and multiple-time World gold medalist) and Karsten Warholm (400m hurdles world record holder.) Kristian Blummenfelt (triathlon Olympic gold medalist/Ironman world record holder) also deserves a mention.
The greatness of Yugoslavian athletes is often discussed on this forum, but I think Norwegians edge them out for the Best White Athletes title. Yugoslavs excel at team ball sports: basketball, soccer, water polo. So do Norwegians–Erling Haaland is as great a soccer player as any Yugoslav has ever been–but they also frequently have strong competitors in all kinds of individual sports: tennis (and table tennis), golf, cycling, climbing, strongman. And they of course historically dominate winter sports. All this despite a population below 6 millon. They even stand out in weird niche semi-sports: the greatest “freestyle footballers” are brothers from Norway. And the greatest chess player is Magnus Carlsen (yeah, they have a lot of brains too.)
Of the top 5 sprinters listed only Usain Bolt has not been caught and/or suspended for matters concerning PED’s. So, obviously, nurture via PED’s is an important factor in determining success at the highest level of sprinting.
….Fifty Eight Straight Years of Gold Medals in Basketball…WHITE MEN in the US used to dominate: basketball. 2004…..Then U.S. Blacks get Bronze….The US had a solid 80 year track record of winning the GOLD MEDAL in basketball. NO sportsman in the entire world is paid as much as an American Black is paid to play BASKETBALL. Our Black professional basketball players competed against AMATEUR White basketball players. The media mania of US Black basketball players has no parallel. Corporate sponsorship of Blackball exceeds that of all corporate sponsorship for soccer in the entire rest of the world. Only has-been athletes in the countries whose WHITE players BEAT us play basketball, while the real athletes there play soccer. Few if any other countries permit professionals to play in an Olympics event which was DESIGNED for amateurs, not professionals. The children in no other country grow up playing, seeing, talking about, and virtually force fed basketball. The White men who beat our huge Black basketballers were SHORT. The US has the world’s best, if not only, basketball coaches. No sportsman in the world has better basketball equipment, training, and experience than an American Black. Our Blacks were backed by a multi-trillion dollar affirmative action infrastructure which NO MAN anywhere else on the planet benefits from, proof positive once and for all that affirmative action is a multi-trillion dollar FAILURE.
“We revisit this hypothesis in the post-genomic era.”
Maybe it should be the “Post-genomic era”. Isn’t it just more genteel, more polite, to complement everyone and their performance?
“A little praise is not only merest justice but is beyond the purse of no one.” – Emily Post
As far as the dominance of Jamaica in recent years, their doping standards aren't nearly as stringent as America's. While I assume every country (not just Russia) dopes as much as they can get away with, Jamaica probably has a crafty regime that they can handwave by saying they're poor. It also makes me suspicious of the Chinese runner since some of their world-class weightlifters have failed drug tests in recent months, but maybe he is just an outlier.Replies: @William Badwhite
Not at all. Everyone knows that evolution stopped at the neck. 🙂
If any of these clowns need a stem cell transplant they’ll hopefully NOT change their tune, I hope they die.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/health-science/race-matters-when-a-patient-needs-a-stem-cell-or-marrow-transplant/2013/08/05/51abdf04-f2d9-11e2-ae43-b31dc363c3bf_story.html
If we go back to year 2000, one in five of the world population were Chinese.
Surely, if race play no role in running (apart from marathon, they tell us) we should’ve seen a bunch of Chinese sprinters bringing home medals for their country, right?
As a matter of fact, China seems to have won more Olympic medals in walking than running.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Olympic_medalists_for_China
Damn those Asians, be it IQ or running, they just insist on ruining The Narrative!
2. Jakob Ingebrigtsen (Norway)
3. Narve Gilje Nordås (Norway) Norway currently has two all-time great runners: the aforementioned Jakob Ingebrigtsen (middle distance Olympic and multiple-time World gold medalist) and Karsten Warholm (400m hurdles world record holder.) Kristian Blummenfelt (triathlon Olympic gold medalist/Ironman world record holder) also deserves a mention.The greatness of Yugoslavian athletes is often discussed on this forum, but I think Norwegians edge them out for the Best White Athletes title. Yugoslavs excel at team ball sports: basketball, soccer, water polo. So do Norwegians--Erling Haaland is as great a soccer player as any Yugoslav has ever been--but they also frequently have strong competitors in all kinds of individual sports: tennis (and table tennis), golf, cycling, climbing, strongman. And they of course historically dominate winter sports. All this despite a population below 6 millon. They even stand out in weird niche semi-sports: the greatest "freestyle footballers" are brothers from Norway. And the greatest chess player is Magnus Carlsen (yeah, they have a lot of brains too.)Replies: @Bill P, @BB753
Hey, I’m partial to Norwegians (my wonderful grandma was one of them), but they have arguably the most physical fitness-oriented culture on earth, so it would be interesting to see how much nurture can contribute to results by studying Norway. It’s kind of like the Jamaica of Europe in that they punch way above their demographic weight when it comes to Olympic medals, but genetically they are very much like their neighbors in Sweden, Denmark and Britain who get more modest results.
Never world beaters historically except in the winter sports.
Ingebrigtsen is the classic example of training to use 2/3 lest steps than his competitor to make up for his lack of speed
Whiteman won the WAC in 2022
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QcRrBYx2XG8
For those newcomers to this universe, here’s a good starting point on how things are in the real world.
https://www.humanbiologicaldiversity.com/
I don’t disagree! (Though I’m not so sure there aren’t meaningful genetic differences between Norway and its neighbors: it has a quite different geography than them which plausibly could have led to recent selection for traits relevant to athletic success. And how many Brits or Danes have you seen who look like Erling Haaland?) But, I also don’t think the role of culture should disqualify them from Best White Athletes contention. It’s also good to remember that the propensity to defer gratification and grind away at things that lack much financial/social benefit (immediate or in general) is itself a heritable trait much more common in the WEIRD parts of Europe.
Norway has a diversity of phenotypes. You have people like Karsten Warholm, who looks very British/Celtic, Erling Haaland, who looks indigenous WHG Scandinavian/Germanic, and Magnus Carlsen, who has more of an eastern European look IMO. Broadly speaking you could say Warholm represents the people who introduced R1b lineage, Haaland I and Carlsen R1a.
Maybe the authors would care to make it interesting.
I’ll take sub-Saharan origin in all running events and they can have everyone else on earth.
I like my odds.
2. Jakob Ingebrigtsen (Norway)
3. Narve Gilje Nordås (Norway) Norway currently has two all-time great runners: the aforementioned Jakob Ingebrigtsen (middle distance Olympic and multiple-time World gold medalist) and Karsten Warholm (400m hurdles world record holder.) Kristian Blummenfelt (triathlon Olympic gold medalist/Ironman world record holder) also deserves a mention.The greatness of Yugoslavian athletes is often discussed on this forum, but I think Norwegians edge them out for the Best White Athletes title. Yugoslavs excel at team ball sports: basketball, soccer, water polo. So do Norwegians--Erling Haaland is as great a soccer player as any Yugoslav has ever been--but they also frequently have strong competitors in all kinds of individual sports: tennis (and table tennis), golf, cycling, climbing, strongman. And they of course historically dominate winter sports. All this despite a population below 6 millon. They even stand out in weird niche semi-sports: the greatest "freestyle footballers" are brothers from Norway. And the greatest chess player is Magnus Carlsen (yeah, they have a lot of brains too.)Replies: @Bill P, @BB753
Hum, Yugoslavia no longer exists. It’s a mess of 7 different countries now, thanks to the State Department.
The left has a religious belief that there is no biological basis for race and they will gladly die before abandoning that belief. As in the case of every other religion, facts are meaningless.
Race is rarely a strength, but it is nice to see the WaPo at least partially admit that there is a connection between biology and race.
On the subject of race, the left always reminds me of that Chesterton quote about how when men stop believing in God, they will believe in anything.
MIZ…
Steve, this--certainly these clowns--is not worth your time.
The whole "race does not exist" nonsense is deeply bound up in the minoritarian attack--"racists!" --upon America's--ergo the West's--white gentiles, our people, culture, history, achievements. Why we are bad people, who don't even deserve our nation(s). And shouldn't even worry about wonderful diversity streaming across the border making us stronger!
These particularly clowns are just parroting what deeply evil destructive people have already established as orthodoxy. But it's silly on its face.
Yes nurture matters. I notice there's not a single one of these top 100m runners born before I was. Tracks and shoes and training and conditioning are just way better. American blacks are way over-represented relative to West Africans--because white people produce nice stuff, blacks in America get to use. And yes "nurture" includes "psychocultural" factors like some elite white runners seeing the racial landscape and figuring out where to use their talents--or bothering at all. But the gist of it is ... nature. Race is real and race matters. Genes matter--a whole bunch--in every walk of life.Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Nachum, @ThreeCranes
FIFY
OT — YET STILL ANOTHER case of Boeing going boing. Apparently this is the fifth in a week and it’s only Wednesday.
https://www.irishstar.com/news/us-news/boeing-777-makes-emergency-landing-32342032
OT- Stockholm by night
Very few coloreds
Well they are the richest real white country in the world if thats what you mean.
Never world beaters historically except in the winter sports.
Ingebrigtsen is the classic example of training to use 2/3 lest steps than his competitor to make up for his lack of speed
Whiteman won the WAC in 2022
Staggering numbers. A subset of Ethiopians and Kenya are to marathon running as Border Collies are to dog agility contests.
Could’ve make that into analogy question on the old SAT test. One way to weed out the Woke.
Ok so post it. Stop being cucks
World Hog Calling Champion, 2023.
No picture of Tade here, for some reason: https://www.downstate.edu/faculty/index.html?page=11
A C.P. Scott said (maybe) of television, “The word is half Greek, half Latin. No good can come of it.”
What contributes more to an extra-long career– stamina, or longevity? Blacks are weak in one of these but strong in the other. The Black-Japanese Sachio Kinugasa broke Lou Gehrig’s streak record. (And– thanks to his never having benched himself for a labor action– still holds it.)
Yes he’s on roids. The swimmers and boxers are on roids as well.
The Japanese national record holder is on roids too
You can tell because their physiques all look like this
This "magical thinking" suffuses American racial discourse so thoroughly that people barely notice it. It is used to explain just about every disparity that exists.
While it is true that whites may be discouraged from certain sports by black prevalence (e.g. urban high school basketball), this isn't the case with running, which is not a team sport. What is happening is that competition has gone global, and when white athletes figure out they can't compete at the international level they either get on with life or choose a sport in which they have a chance of winning.
As an added note on magical thinking, it is odd to see these people who so readily dismiss appeals to the Almighty as primitive superstition ascribing the power to alter the physical world to the thoughts of mere humans. To me this looks like regress to a stone age mentality, and yet here it is in an academic journal...Replies: @AnotherDad, @Erik L, @Anonymous, @nebulafox
If there’s one thing I know, it’s that I don’t know much.
Middle distance running (800, 1500, mile) has shown more racial parity at elite levels over the last 50 years than sprints or long distance (ie, less SSA dominance).
It wasn’t just the Chariots of Fire era Brits in the 1980s.* A Norwegian, a German, and a Russian took Olympic gold in the 800 in 1996, 2000, and 2004, respectively, and MENA athletes have often been dominant in the 1500 and mile (Hicham El Guerrouj, Noureddine Morceli, Taoufik Makhloufi…)
I have a pet theory as to why this is… when I was running the 800 and 1600 in high school, the general consensus was that those races, and in particular the 800, were the most “painful” races in track and field. In the 800 you’re basically sprinting the whole way. No human group seems to have *really* evolved to run like that, so middle distance running ability is going to correlate less with a particular physique and more with… I dunno, pain tolerance, sheer determination, insanity? Or maybe the relative parity is just a coincidence. And the Kenyans have been pretty dominant lately.
*Yes, I know the movie’s about the 1924 Paris Olympics, but it was made during a time of widespread British enthusiasm for track and field largely arising from the success of Sebastian Coe and Co.
This is not a confounding variable.
Meanwhile, the death of Nex Benedict, a biological woman who identified as something else despite a very feminine appearance, has been found to be suicide from overdose of benadryl and Prozac. Sexual dysfunction among women is one of the known side effects of Prozac. But of course, the media are attributing the death to the indirect effects of discrimination against trans people instead of questionable medication of a teenager.
https://testosteronedecline.com/testosterone-data/
Fascinating.
The biomechanics are poorly understood, but the East Asians seem to experiment with them more (and more successfully) than other nations. Look, for example, at Japan’s Shuhei Tada who lately seems to be on the verge of falling over during acceleration in all his 60m races. He also looks very unimposing for a world-elite sprinter (a well-developed upper body is more crucial to 100m than to 60m)
But the key difference between the start and top-speed sprinting concerns relative strength. The start is all about relative strength and consequently favors short people. But tall people with lower relative strength compensate for lower acceleration with a longer acceleration, which means they reach the same max speed but later.
This is because a full contraction of a long muscle takes longer but also does more work (transfers more energy) than an equally strong short muscle (“equally strong” meaning it has the same cross-sectional area and therefore produces the same amount of force.)
Another aspect of height is that the scaling of the body is not uniform. The long bones often grow in the middle so that the lever arms of muscles do not elongate proportionally. This makes the levers more suited for top speed than for strength and acceleration.
OT, but related: this has got to be the purest, most-highly concentrated form of NPR BS – a program called Code Switch:
Also recently featured was this gem:
It’s hard to imagine something better documented than the clearly enunciated wish of globalist institutions that we “Eat ze bugs”. But then a “conspiracy theory” is anything that an NPR announcer has been told is bad think. And why is the phrase “global elites” an anti-semitic trope?
It seems to fit the usual pattern--only our overlords are allowed to notice things in public. A little like another anti-semitic "conspiracy theory"--the Great Replacement. We're lunatics for noticing, but Michelle Goldberg can write about it enthusiastically.
Every world record for strength is held by a white man of northern European descent.
Not to dispute anything that’s been said here, but I saw an amusing aspect of the cultural side of track. At a track meet for junior highschoolers in Oakland, California, that I attended, they ran about ten heats of the 50 and 100, but only one of the 800, and none of anything longer.
https://twitter.com/x_rahulraj/status/1767755901325189340
https://twitter.com/jillsdaniel/status/1766414081819599195
Fascinating. Replies: @Steve Sailer
I sometimes add [More] tags to good but excessively long comments. This is a rare time when I deleted the [More] tag so that more people would see Ruchir Sharma’s analysis.
I thought it was a canard? LOL
It seems to fit the usual pattern–only our overlords are allowed to notice things in public. A little like another anti-semitic “conspiracy theory”–the Great Replacement. We’re lunatics for noticing, but Michelle Goldberg can write about it enthusiastically.
NPR Code Switch reporters Gene Demby, Jess Kung, Leah Donnella, Christina Cala, Xavier Lopez, Dalia Mortada, B.A. Parker, Lori Lizarraga, and Veralyn Williams introduce this week’s guest:
Depressingly,
Perhaps Demb et al. would enjoy learning about BiDil. Or perhaps not.
An ignorant reporter is a happy reporter.
https://www.npr.org/transcripts/740072055 So Demby enjoyed learning about one version of the BiDil story. But whether or not that constitutes "learning about BiDil..."Replies: @ic1000
I first read about this in a (reasonably famous) old Runner’s World article. Just wondering, Steve, did they write about it first or you? (Nothing snarky, just want to understand the chain of influence.)
Also, any chance you have a link or cite for that old article? I can’t find it by Googling. Since “race” has two meanings in Runner’s World context.
Agree with your point about it not being a team sport in the way that basketball is. If you went to a mostly white high school and had world class speed, this fact would be obvious from gym class. It would also be obvious that this would be a fairly effortless way to get a scholarship to college.
If there were a lot of white people who had potential to hold world records in sprints, we would know it.
The skewed numbers Steve reports for top top top level sprinters are astounding. People who aren't used to statistical analysis of human populations just don't get how incredibly unlikely this is.Replies: @Ganderson
I think Jimmy’s wrong, at least to the extent that you can most likely coach people to be faster, but you’re also not going to turn Alex Karras into Herb Washington. (Showing my age there!)
Hockey remains overwhelmingly white; the occasional Mike Grier, PK Subban, and Kyle Okposo notwithstanding. A friend of mine, a retired DI coach once told me that he thought the reason so many good players came out of the Upper Midwest was genetic. Applies to Scandinavia, at least Sweden and Finland, too. In Canada there’s a huge nurture component- in Canada you can turn on late night TV and listen to a discussion between Farley Mowatt and Margaret Atwood about who’s gonna win the Stanley Cup. Same phenomenon in Finland. Finland and Canada are the only countries where hockey is #1- even in Russia and Sweden it’s at best 1A after soccer.
Even so, the NHL (and a bunch of D I college teams) went all in on Blackety Black Month. The Bruins even retired Willie O’Ree’s number, pretty much because he is black; UMass played the “Black National Anthem” before their games. (Not just hockey, but hoops and lax, too- and lax is even whiter than hockey.)
The original source has some methodology information.
https://testosteronedecline.com/testosterone-data/
Reality does not map well to your split. Here is Demby interviewing Angela Saini in 2019.
https://www.npr.org/transcripts/740072055
So Demby enjoyed learning about one version of the BiDil story. But whether or not that constitutes “learning about BiDil…”
Is the difference in speed between blacks and others as great as the difference in cognitive ability?
Are blacks faster on average, or just faster at the elite level? I played sports in SEC territory and there was always one or two black guys on my teams who were a step or two faster in a straight line, but most didn’t stand out. Granted, I never played with or against someone like Herschel Walker or Deion Sanders, but they are extreme outliers among blacks.
https://www.npr.org/transcripts/740072055 So Demby enjoyed learning about one version of the BiDil story. But whether or not that constitutes "learning about BiDil..."Replies: @ic1000
If I were black and had life-threatening hypertension, I wouldn’t want to be a patient of Dr. Demby. But that’s just me.
From 2023.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9838393/
None than I can think of, but in high school I did have a Swedish friend, a Geat from Vastergotaland IIRC, who had that look.
Norway has a diversity of phenotypes. You have people like Karsten Warholm, who looks very British/Celtic, Erling Haaland, who looks indigenous WHG Scandinavian/Germanic, and Magnus Carlsen, who has more of an eastern European look IMO. Broadly speaking you could say Warholm represents the people who introduced R1b lineage, Haaland I and Carlsen R1a.
!
(Hmmmmm…)
We’ve been through this before, Mr. Sailer. Bears worth repeating.
Here is a study that NOTICED the biological angle regarding the differences in black and white athletes.
https://www.livescience.com/10716-scientists-theorize-black-athletes-run-fastest.html
Speaking about location, Kenya has won an astonishing 63 medals at the Olympic Games in races of 800m and above (21 gold!), since 1968.
It turns out it is not Kenya as a whole that usually emerged victorious, but individuals from a region in the Rift Valley called Nandi. So context matters here, since an argument could be made that distance running is a Nandi phenomenon. The success of “black” distance running is concentrated in a decidedly small area, with the vast majority of the continent under-represented.
When it comes to the sprints, why has Africa not dominated? The combined forces of several nations (e.g. Guinea-Bissau, Sierra Leone, Liberia, Ivory Coast, Togo, Niger, Benin, Mali, the Gambia, Ghana, Gabon, Senegal) have not won a single sprinting medal (to my knowledge) at the Olympics or World Championships; rather, it has been the Jamaicans and the Americans.
Just because some black people are good (or bad) at something does not imply that black people in general will be good (or bad) at something. Training, funding, and past success ALL play a role here.
Is there not far more genetic variation WITHIN than BETWEEN racial groups?
Moreover, the Great Rift Valley ranges in elevation from c. 1,300 ft (395 m) below sea level (the Dead Sea) to c. 6,000 ft (1,830 m) above sea level in south Kenya. So the higher elevation there is similar to Boulder. Thus, the subset of the Kenyan population who strive to be runners train in an area that offers a comparative advantage. That is the exact strategy used by Scott Fauble.
Speaking about hypertension…
From 2023.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9838393/