Bold but not entirely trollish interpretation of the Great Awokening.
Western – White American – culture remains hegemonic around the world, even as its economic and military preponderance slips away. Assuming this cultural hegemony remains intact, cultural “innovations” that arise in the imperial metropolis inevitably seep their way into the colonies.
This is obviously correct within the Core West, e.g. Europe. It also strongly applies to Latin America. The main barriers are low English language proficiency (e.g. Hungary relative to Poland), and strong authoritarian states (e.g. China, to a lesser extent Russia).
But these “innovations”, while creating some ferment – with the effects not even uniformly negative – occur in advanced societies over a prolonged period of time, allowing them scope to come to a symbiosis with the pathogen.
Meanwhile, in countries to which the Great Awokening comes as a “complete package”, the consequences can be more dramatic and indeed terminal, as Nikolay Trubetzkoy described with respect to socialism in The Struggle Between Europe and Mankind.
16% of Gen Z in the US now identify as LGBT. So “child-free” is likely to soar to German levels over the next decades. OTOH, Western countries have had a century or more of selection for “breeders”. Amongst those who do have children, the average birth sequence is soaring ahead of Latin America, India, multiple Muslim countries. Now think about the “triple whammy” that many of these non-Western countries are going to face this century:
(1) Demographic transition – thus far, a universal phenomenon that is in happening even in Sub-Saharan Africa as a whole not notable in some regions/peoples, e.g. Kenyans, Christian Nigerians.
(2) In conjunction with well more than a century of post-Malthusian selection for breeders (France started earliest on this) that started much earlier than in the developed West.
(3) Once traditionalist barriers break down, as they always have, these Third World polities whose elites are in thrall to hegemonic Western culture will be culturally colonized to a much greater degree and more destructively so than was ever the case within the American noosphere, in which responses and adaptations to woke memes have co-evolved.
Non-nuclear smaller Powers that do offer up token resistance will be crushed by Woke Mil, which will remain functional at least so far as suppressing colonial revolts goes.
Just replace “socialist” with “woke” here:
Trubetzkoy emphasizes that socialism is just the latest expression of egocentric European pretensions to universality, rather than the road to salvation from European spiritual tyranny. As it relies on “militant cosmopolitanism” for its propagation, global socialism is only possible in the context of “universal Europeanization”. Once such a new world order is created, its champions will have to remain “armed to the teeth” to protect it – “The first order of business for the European socialist states would be to impose this system everywhere by fire and sword and then to exercise great vigilance to prevent apostasy”.
Palestinians these days are not doing so well relative to Israeli Jews, even in demographic terms. No reason the same won’t be true with respect to Anglo-Americans and Latinos half a century hence, or with respect to Europeans and Africans by 2100. Current Alt Right visions of a “rising tide of color” overwhelming white-world supremacy, of Eurabia, Reconquista, and Infinity Negroes, will be but amusing historical footnotes as the real racists – woke white Western supremacists – yet again reformat the world in their own image.
They will have near zero influence on global culture, they won't go into space or create AGI, they will furnish demographic stock for more advanced nations until they too are culturally colonized and their TFR goes to 1 in half a century. Not what I'd call adaptive.
— 🇷🇺 ANATꙮLY 🤔 KARLIN (@akarlin88) March 14, 2021