Contagion (2011), which I watched in February – my only film so far this year – chronicles the spread of an r0=4, IFR=~25% zoonotic virus called MEV-1 originating from Chinese bats. So, relevant.
The standard Hollywood movie wouldn’t mention r0 or fomites, so it wasn’t time wasted. The directors really took care with getting the details right, which included consulting epidemiologists.
The lockdown in this movie lasted for many months until the discovery of a vaccine, with no talk of reopening that I can recall. This makes sense, obviously a 25% mortality plague differs from a 1% mortality one that’s only highly risky for older people.
As of the discovery of the vaccine, 2.5 million Americans had died, and 26 million worldwide. We are currently one order of magnitude off from that number. But that makes sense. Since COVID-19 mortality is far lower, the measures undertaken to contain SARS-2 are much less extreme than would have been undertaken for MEV-1.
Even the conspiracy theory aspect is highlighted. As with our own timeline, there is talk that it could be a bioweapon at the start. One of the main characters is a conspiracy blogger peddling homeopathic cures (which he quietly profits from). I suppose we have these equivalents in the “5G cause COVID-19” people and the like. But one type of conspiracy character they left out, probably because he would strain credibility, is the person who insists that Corona is a hoax. But I have had a couple of friends/acquaintances declare that to me this May, one of whom is a left-winger (calling me a “COVID fascist”), one of whom is a right-winger (“ostensible nationalist” whose going along with the globalists). Like, I could kinda understand that back in January. But in May, when daily deaths in the US are still running at more than 1,000 per day – after two months of lockdown? As they say, life is stranger than fiction.
There were a few WTF moments.
Most prominently, some Hong Kong government bigwig kidnapped a WHO official at gunpoint to blackmail her into procuring vaccines for his village clan. Probably not that likely.
The robbers who shot and looted the protagonist’s neighbor’s house were all whites. Probably not that likely.
But these are minor gripes.