Biden — 22%
Harris — 18.5%
Warren — 14.5%
Sanders — 13.5%
Buttigieg is in a distant fifth, at 3.5%, and the rest of the field is at 3% or less. Mayor Pete was well prepared and sounded sober and sincere in his responses. He was also arguably the least explicitly Woke candidate in the field–and it looks like he doesn’t have a chance. We’re in the midst of The Great Awokening. This isn’t a time for calmly reading from the lectern, it’s a time for writhing on the floor and speaking in tongues.
Elizabeth Warren has a serious black problem. The Quinnipiac poll specifically reported on black support (the CNN poll only drilled down to “white” and “non-white”). Black support shakes out as follows:
Biden — 31%
Harris — 27%
Sanders — 16%
Booker — 5%
Warren — 4%
Expect Harris to keep courting this electorally crucial demographic. Biden’s only parry is the Obama-Biden administration’s legacy. Will Obama implicitly endorse one of them while it matters? I suspect the former president will not. That’s what eight years of loyal service gets Biden–a snub! In fairness, had Obama’s VP been someone not in the running, Harris could reasonably expect to receive Obama’s support. His residual appreciation of Biden’s service will probably cause Obama to stay mum.
Speaking of, ratings on who is perceived to be the best on the four most pressing political issues (CNN again):
If not for the evergreen subject of race relations, it’d be Biden banging on about the economy and Sanders harping on health care. Harris wouldn’t even be in the conversation. But they’re white, she’s not, and race matters–a lot. So the smart money is now on Harris.
Don’t expect us to feel sorry for you, Joe. This is the future you chose.
As an aside, the primaries will probably be at their nastiest if it comes down to Harris and Warren.
I stand by my previous assertion that Trump’s toughest potential matchup is Biden while his easiest is Warren. The percentages of voters who approve of Trump’s presidential performance while simultaneously maintaining a favorable opinion of the following Democrats (from CNN):
Biden — 22%
Sanders — 13%
Warren — 7%
Harris — 7%
By a 61%-36% margin, registered Democrats support government-provided health insurance for “undocumented immigrants”. That’s correct–most Democrats think anyone, from anywhere in the world, should be able to receive free medical care in America if he can get here.
Isn’t the humanitarian thing to do, then, to arrange charter flights to bring the global poor from every corner of the globe to an ER near you? … I really hope there aren’t any Democrat staffers reading this!